Wednesday, January27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Monticello, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:08PM Wednesday January 27, 2021 6:17 PM EST (23:17 UTC) Moonrise 5:07PMMoonset 6:45AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 313 Pm Est Wed Jan 27 2021 /213 Pm Cst Wed Jan 27 2021/
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Tonight..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Thursday..North winds 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night.
Monday..Northwest winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 313 Pm Est Wed Jan 27 2021
Synopsis.. North winds will increase quickly tonight behind the cold front which brought storms to the area today. Advisory level winds will develop by midnight and persist through much of the day Thursday before subsiding. Favorable marine conditions will return by Friday continuing into Saturday as high pressure builds in.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Monticello, FL
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location: 30.53, -83.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 271949 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 249 PM EST Wed Jan 27 2021

NEAR TERM [Through Thursday].

Front continues to make steady progress over our southeastern counties and should clear the area by 4 pm. A few showers are possible, mainly north of I-10, through mid evening then dry and much cooler airmass overspreads the region. Breezy conditions will develop overnight continuing into Thursday and the SCA will be allowed to continue. Thursday looks mainly sunny with a cool northwest breeze although the wind will diminish later in the day.

SHORT TERM [Thursday Night Through Friday Night].

The cold front passage that came through earlier Thursday will lead to cooler and drier temperatures Thursday night into Friday. An upper level ridge will be building to our west as a surface high will be settling over the region. High temperatures on Friday will be in the upper 50s with light northerly winds.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday].

Following the aforementioned upper level ridge, an upper level low is expected to be centered over northern Oklahoma on Saturday and will move east or northeast. The associated cold front with this system will approach our CWA on Sunday, bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Ahead of the cold front, we can expect southerly flow for our region, which will aid in advecting low level moisture and increase our chances for precipitation. PoPs chances are about 60 percent throughout the region as the system moves from the west to east.

As the front passes, the upper level low will move east and move offshore from the coast of the Carolinas. After the front passes, a surface high moves in and an upper level ridge will be building to our west, keeping us dry for the next few days. Temperatures will be cool after the cold front from Sunday with highs in the upper 50s and lows in the upper 30s to low/mid 40s by midweek.

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Thursday]

VFR conditions with breezy northwest flow through the period.

MARINE.

Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently expanding in coverage across the offshore waters along the Florida Panhandle. This coverage is expected to continue through the remainder of the morning and early afternoon prior to the cold front moving through the region by the evening. Ahead of a cold front this morning, coastal marine fog is expected to develop along all near shore waters. A marine dense fog advisory has been issued for visibilities being reduced to lower than 1 mile across all near shore waters. As the aforementioned front moves through, an increased pressure gradient across all waters is expected to lead to small craft advisory conditions. These advisory level winds and seas are expected to remain through Thursday afternoon. Cautionary conditions are expected through the remainder of the work week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Recent widespread rains will preclude any enhanced fire danger for the foreseeable future.

HYDROLOGY.

Rainfall today through 18z has been heaviest along the I-10 corridor in the Florida Big Bend and also across the southernmost counties in South Georgia. Rainfall amounts of 1-1.5 inches were common with this most recent wave of storms. However, some isolated totals over 2 inches were reported around Tallahassee and Bainbridge. With the storms moving into the SE Florida Big Bend, where the rainfall will be welcome after several dry weeks, the threat for flash flooding has ended.

The additional rains today found their way into the Ochlockonee Basin and this will likely result in the Ochlockonee River near Concord getting very close to or just above minor flood stage. Fortunately, there wasn't enough rain to push it anywhere near moderate flood. There is also likely to be some modest rises on the Withlacoochee River near Valdosta that could bring the site to just under minor flood stage in the next couple of days. Aside from those locations, no river flood impacts are anticipate

With a relatively lengthy stretch of dry weather continuing into the late weekend, there are no other flood concerns through the short term period.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 41 57 34 58 38 / 10 0 0 0 0 Panama City 42 54 36 56 43 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 36 52 32 55 37 / 10 0 0 0 0 Albany 37 53 32 55 36 / 10 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 41 55 33 57 37 / 10 0 0 0 0 Cross City 46 58 35 60 38 / 20 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 44 55 37 55 45 / 0 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ Thursday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . Johnstone SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . Johnstone MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . Johnstone HYDROLOGY . Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 39 mi83 min N 2.9 G 5.1 70°F 1014.1 hPa
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 51 mi77 min WSW 5.1 G 6 65°F 1015.2 hPa (-0.0)65°F
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 75 mi92 min WNW 9.9 71°F 1016 hPa70°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee - Tallahassee International Airport, FL26 mi24 minWNW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F65°F81%1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7S3CalmCalmSW4CalmS4S4S5S5S6S8SW10SW6S6SW8S5NW15
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1 day agoS7S8S7S9--------------S8S6S7S8S6S6S5S6S8S11SW8S5SW3
2 days agoE3NE3CalmS4SE3------------CalmCalmE4SE3SE6S10S13S15S19S14S25S14S8

Tide / Current Tables for St. Marks, St. Marks River, Florida
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St. Marks
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:59 AM EST     2.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:29 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:46 AM EST     -0.84 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:53 PM EST     2.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:09 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:26 PM EST     1.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.82.72.31.710.3-0.3-0.7-0.8-0.50.21.122.62.72.62.21.71.31.11.11.42

Tide / Current Tables for Aucilla River entrance, Florida
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Aucilla River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:25 AM EST     2.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:44 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:28 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:47 AM EST     -0.85 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:20 PM EST     2.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:09 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:27 PM EST     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.82.51.91.20.4-0.3-0.7-0.8-0.60.10.91.72.42.72.72.31.81.31.11.11.41.92.4

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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