Sunday, July25, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Monticello, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 8:36PM Sunday July 25, 2021 12:31 PM EDT (16:31 UTC) Moonrise 9:13PMMoonset 7:16AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1013 Am Edt Sun Jul 25 2021 /913 Am Cdt Sun Jul 25 2021/
Rest of today..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 1013 Am Edt Sun Jul 25 2021
Synopsis.. Favorable marine conditions will exist through the middle of next week. Light to moderate northeast winds today will turn to the southeast and south tomorrow.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Monticello, FL
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location: 30.53, -83.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 251440 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1040 AM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021

UPDATE.

An even drier air mass has moved into the region today with PWAT values decreasing to 1.22 inches in the 12Z KTAE sounding. Hi-res models have the best chance for precip occuring just outside of our SE Alabama counties this afternoon, but a shower or two clipping those counties can't be ruled out. PoPs elsewhere within the CWA are <10% today. Wildfire smoke plumes from the Pacific NW wildfires have found their way into our region via upper level flow, giving the sky a hazy-type of appearance. Otherwise, a generally dry and warm summer day is in store, the forecast appears to be on track, no major updates are required this morning.

PREV DISCUSSION [642 AM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A strong mid-upper level ridge centered over the Plains will continue to extend east across the southeast CONUS. At the surface, a weak area of low pressure off the east-central Florida coast will slowly move west today. With this setup, a much drier airmass will continue to infiltrate the tri-state region on deep layer northeast flow. Point soundings at various locations show forecast PWs ranging from 1.20-1.50" by mid to late afternoon; highest over Dixie County.

As the surface low edges closer to the east coast of Florida tonight, low level flow will become more easterly bringing an influx of moisture and possibly a few showers to the far southeast big bend by late tonight or early Monday. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast area should be dry. It will be hot today with high temperatures reaching the mid 90s over most of the area. Lows tonight in the lower to mid 70s.

SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday].

An upper level ridge over the Rockies is extending south and east to cover our CWA by Monday. Both the surface and upper level winds will remain easterly/northeasterly then shifting to southerly by the evening. The Atlantic sea breeze will increase our PoPs chances for Monday in our eastern Big Bend counties with precip chances around 50-60 percent. With the shift to southerly winds by Monday evening, the Gulf coast sea breeze will increase our rain chances region wide for Tuesday afternoon with PoPs between 60-70 percent.

High temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will be in the mid 90s and the Low Tuesday morning is expected to be in the mid 70s.

The tropical wave that may become a tropical depression is expected to cross west over the FL peninsula by Tuesday. We will continue to monitor the situation to see if the system develops more organized tropical characteristics and how that will affect our weather in the days to come.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Night Through Sunday].

Precip chances increase for the long term as our winds will remain southerly for the start of the term. PoPs will be near 70% on Wednesday across the CWA. About a 60-70% chance for the SE Big Bend on Thursday. Rain chances will be about 50% for the afternoons through the remainder of the term as the winds shift westerly/southwesterly providing the forcing for seabreeze convection from the Gulf coast.

High temperatures for this term will range from the mid to upper 90s by the end of the week due to the upper level ridge that still is in play from the short term. Heat indices are expected to increase again into the low 100s but may remain below advisory criteria. Low temperatures for this term will be in the mid 70s.

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Monday]

A brief period of MVFR vsbys at DHN, ECP and VLD until shortly after sunrise. Otherwise, VFR with light east to northeast winds through the TAF cycle.

MARINE.

Favorable marine conditions will exist through the middle of next week. Light to moderate northeast winds this weekend will turn to the southeast and south early next week.

FIRE WEATHER.

There are no fire weather concerns at the present time.

HYDROLOGY.

No river flooding is forecast. Localized flooding of poor drainage areas is possible in the next few of days in areas that get training of thunderstorms. Generally widespread amounts of an inch or less is expected over the next few days but training and/or slower moving storms could exceed those amounts.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 97 73 95 75 92 / 10 10 40 30 70 Panama City 93 75 93 77 90 / 10 10 30 30 60 Dothan 93 72 94 74 93 / 10 0 30 20 70 Albany 94 72 95 75 93 / 10 10 40 20 70 Valdosta 96 72 93 74 92 / 10 10 50 20 70 Cross City 95 74 92 76 90 / 10 20 60 40 70 Apalachicola 89 76 90 78 89 / 10 10 30 30 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . Oliver NEAR TERM . Barry SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . Barry MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . Barry HYDROLOGY . Montgomery


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 39 mi98 min ENE 1.9 G 5.1 83°F 1015.9 hPa
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 51 mi32 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 83°F 1016.2 hPa (-0.4)68°F
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 75 mi47 min SE 5.1 84°F 1018 hPa75°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee International Airport, FL26 mi39 minVar 410.00 miFair86°F67°F53%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7NE6E84NE8NE6NE5NE4NE3CalmCalmE7E7SE3E3CalmCalmNE3E3E5E6E5E54
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N6E7NW3E3CalmN4N3NW4N4CalmCalmNE3NE4CalmN3E5NE6E7
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SW5W11W4SW5W3CalmSW4W3W4W5W5W4W3W3NW43NW10NW8

Tide / Current Tables for St. Marks, St. Marks River, Florida
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St. Marks
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:59 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:31 AM EDT     1.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:07 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:42 PM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.40.41.32.32.93.232.62.21.71.51.51.82.43.13.73.93.83.42.71.80.90.2-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Aucilla River entrance, Florida
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Aucilla River entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:26 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:32 AM EDT     1.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:34 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:43 PM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.21.122.83.13.12.82.31.81.51.51.82.32.93.53.93.93.62.921.10.3-0.3-0.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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