Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bagdad, FL
![]() | Sunrise 5:44 AM Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 10:39 AM |
GMZ634 Expires:202506161515;;312933 Fzus54 Kmob 160215 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 915 pm cdt Sun jun 15 2025
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-161515- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 915 pm cdt Sun jun 15 2025
Rest of tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday - South winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Showers likely. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Friday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 915 pm cdt Sun jun 15 2025
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-161515- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 915 pm cdt Sun jun 15 2025
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 915 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 15 2025
Synopsis - Light to at times moderate onshore flow is expected into the coming week. Daily shower and Thunderstorm development will bring locally higher winds and seas to area waters. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Bay Point Click for Map Mon -- 02:38 AM CDT -0.21 feet Low Tide Mon -- 05:45 AM CDT Sunrise Mon -- 10:39 AM CDT Moonset Mon -- 03:47 PM CDT 1.66 feet High Tide Mon -- 07:52 PM CDT Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0 |
1 am |
-0.1 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.2 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
-0 |
6 am |
0.1 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1.3 |
1 pm |
1.4 |
2 pm |
1.6 |
3 pm |
1.6 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
1.6 |
6 pm |
1.5 |
7 pm |
1.4 |
8 pm |
1.2 |
9 pm |
0.9 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.5 |
Lora Point Click for Map Mon -- 02:14 AM CDT -0.21 feet Low Tide Mon -- 05:46 AM CDT Sunrise Mon -- 10:39 AM CDT Moonset Mon -- 03:00 PM CDT 1.66 feet High Tide Mon -- 07:52 PM CDT Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
-0.2 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.2 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
0 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.4 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.8 |
10 am |
1 |
11 am |
1.2 |
12 pm |
1.4 |
1 pm |
1.5 |
2 pm |
1.6 |
3 pm |
1.7 |
4 pm |
1.6 |
5 pm |
1.5 |
6 pm |
1.4 |
7 pm |
1.2 |
8 pm |
1 |
9 pm |
0.8 |
10 pm |
0.6 |
11 pm |
0.4 |
Area Discussion for Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 160535 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
New Aviation
DISCUSSION
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Now through Monday Night...
We start the period well defined low/mid level ridge of high pressure positioned from the southwest Atlantic. westward across the FL Peninsula into the central GUlf. A H20/H30 upper level trof axis aligned over the central Gulf coast and was marked by a cyclonic curvature in the cloud elements. This feature operating on a weakly defined coastal surface boundary draped from southeast AL/southwest GA border to down across the AL/NW FL coastal waters, combined with more than sufficient deep layer environmental moisture (PWAT's 1.8 to 2.1") and daily instability has resulted in pockets of cold cloud tops => scattering of showers and storms. As we go through the remainder of the day, the expectation is coverage will begin to increase over the land zones and move/develop northward. Forecasters are beginning to see this in radar trends in central MS. At the present time, the environment is characterized by high CAPE and low shear, resulting in typical summer-time ordinary, pulse type storms, which could become strong at times contributing to locally brief strong wind gusts and perhaps small hail upon collapse of storm centroids. We cannot rule out a brief severe storm, but the overall threat is low. Frequent lightning and brief, localized heavy rains are also possible with the stronger storms. Storms lingering into the evening are expected to weaken with the loss of instability. A similar pattern remains in place as we open the work week on Monday and Monday night.
Rip current risk along area beaches is low. /10
Tuesday Through Saturday...
An upper level ridge over the western Atlantic continues to nose into the Southeast and eastern Gulf as we roll toward mid-week. A shortwave trough to our west begins to lift out of the region as the ridge nudges deeper into the Deep South. As ridging builds overhead late in the week and into the weekend, rain chances will begin to decrease and the heat will begin to crank up. In the meantime, expect a diurnal convective pattern Tuesday through Thursday with high rain chances each afternoon. At this point, the highest POPs remain on Tuesday afternoon given the proximity of the shortwave trough. Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon give ample instability and minimal shear, so we can't rule out a few strong storms with gusty winds and frequent lightning being the main threats.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW on Tuesday and increases to a MODERATE on Wednesday and Thursday. The latest rip current probability guidance continues to trend toward a MODERATE risk by Friday. 07/mb
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through much of the forecast period.
Like days prior, scattered thunderstorms will develop along the seabreeze and lift northward, impacting the terminals at times during the afternoon. Confidence remains low on exact timing, along with the potential for isolated storms during the morning.
Given a lower confidence, have maintained a PROB30 for TSRA during the afternoon. If trends continue, the next forecast update (12Z)
may include an earlier arrival of storm chances. Otherwise, expect any activity to dissipate after sunset. /73
MARINE
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Light onshore flow to persist into the new week. Occasionally moderate southerly flow is possible, especially in the nearshore waters which will be influenced by the diurnal land and sea breeze pattern. Winds and seas will likely be temporarily higher in and near the vicinity of storms. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 74 89 75 90 75 91 75 92 / 40 80 10 70 20 70 30 60 Pensacola 78 88 79 89 78 89 78 91 / 40 80 20 60 30 70 30 60 Destin 79 89 80 90 79 90 79 91 / 50 80 20 50 30 60 30 60 Evergreen 72 91 72 92 72 93 73 94 / 20 80 10 50 10 70 20 60 Waynesboro 71 92 73 93 72 93 73 95 / 20 70 10 60 10 60 20 60 Camden 72 89 72 90 72 91 73 92 / 30 80 10 60 10 60 30 50 Crestview 73 90 72 92 72 92 73 94 / 30 80 10 50 10 80 20 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
New Aviation
DISCUSSION
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Now through Monday Night...
We start the period well defined low/mid level ridge of high pressure positioned from the southwest Atlantic. westward across the FL Peninsula into the central GUlf. A H20/H30 upper level trof axis aligned over the central Gulf coast and was marked by a cyclonic curvature in the cloud elements. This feature operating on a weakly defined coastal surface boundary draped from southeast AL/southwest GA border to down across the AL/NW FL coastal waters, combined with more than sufficient deep layer environmental moisture (PWAT's 1.8 to 2.1") and daily instability has resulted in pockets of cold cloud tops => scattering of showers and storms. As we go through the remainder of the day, the expectation is coverage will begin to increase over the land zones and move/develop northward. Forecasters are beginning to see this in radar trends in central MS. At the present time, the environment is characterized by high CAPE and low shear, resulting in typical summer-time ordinary, pulse type storms, which could become strong at times contributing to locally brief strong wind gusts and perhaps small hail upon collapse of storm centroids. We cannot rule out a brief severe storm, but the overall threat is low. Frequent lightning and brief, localized heavy rains are also possible with the stronger storms. Storms lingering into the evening are expected to weaken with the loss of instability. A similar pattern remains in place as we open the work week on Monday and Monday night.
Rip current risk along area beaches is low. /10
Tuesday Through Saturday...
An upper level ridge over the western Atlantic continues to nose into the Southeast and eastern Gulf as we roll toward mid-week. A shortwave trough to our west begins to lift out of the region as the ridge nudges deeper into the Deep South. As ridging builds overhead late in the week and into the weekend, rain chances will begin to decrease and the heat will begin to crank up. In the meantime, expect a diurnal convective pattern Tuesday through Thursday with high rain chances each afternoon. At this point, the highest POPs remain on Tuesday afternoon given the proximity of the shortwave trough. Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon give ample instability and minimal shear, so we can't rule out a few strong storms with gusty winds and frequent lightning being the main threats.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW on Tuesday and increases to a MODERATE on Wednesday and Thursday. The latest rip current probability guidance continues to trend toward a MODERATE risk by Friday. 07/mb
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through much of the forecast period.
Like days prior, scattered thunderstorms will develop along the seabreeze and lift northward, impacting the terminals at times during the afternoon. Confidence remains low on exact timing, along with the potential for isolated storms during the morning.
Given a lower confidence, have maintained a PROB30 for TSRA during the afternoon. If trends continue, the next forecast update (12Z)
may include an earlier arrival of storm chances. Otherwise, expect any activity to dissipate after sunset. /73
MARINE
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Light onshore flow to persist into the new week. Occasionally moderate southerly flow is possible, especially in the nearshore waters which will be influenced by the diurnal land and sea breeze pattern. Winds and seas will likely be temporarily higher in and near the vicinity of storms. The environment also looks to be supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 74 89 75 90 75 91 75 92 / 40 80 10 70 20 70 30 60 Pensacola 78 88 79 89 78 89 78 91 / 40 80 20 60 30 70 30 60 Destin 79 89 80 90 79 90 79 91 / 50 80 20 50 30 60 30 60 Evergreen 72 91 72 92 72 93 73 94 / 20 80 10 50 10 70 20 60 Waynesboro 71 92 73 93 72 93 73 95 / 20 70 10 60 10 60 20 60 Camden 72 89 72 90 72 91 73 92 / 30 80 10 60 10 60 30 50 Crestview 73 90 72 92 72 92 73 94 / 30 80 10 50 10 80 20 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 16 mi | 48 min | ENE 1.9G | 79°F | 87°F | 30.06 | ||
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 45 mi | 38 min | SSW 3.9G | 84°F | 85°F | 30.05 | 75°F | |
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 45 mi | 93 min | 0 | 78°F | 30.09 | 76°F | ||
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL | 46 mi | 78 min | ENE 7 | 80°F | 30.07 |
Wind History for Pensacola, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KNDZ WHITING FIELD NAS SOUTH,FL | 9 sm | 22 min | NNE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 30.06 | |
KNSE WHITING FIELD NAS NORTH,FL | 10 sm | 22 min | calm | 8 sm | Clear | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 30.06 | |
KPNS PENSACOLA INTL,FL | 12 sm | 25 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 30.05 | |
KHRT HURLBURT FIELD,FL | 20 sm | 23 min | N 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 75°F | 89% | 30.04 | |
KNPA PENSACOLA NAS/FORREST SHERMAN FIELD,FL | 22 sm | 22 min | NW 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 30.05 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNDZ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KNDZ
Wind History Graph: NDZ
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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Northwest Florida,

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