Sunrise 5:50 AM   Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 3:23 PM   Moonset 3:04 AM

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GMZ655 Expires:202405190915;;443524 Fzus54 Kmob 182051 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 351 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-190915- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 351 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west late. Seas around 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms until early morning. Sunday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Monday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and east 1 foot at 3 seconds. Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Wednesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 351 Pm Cdt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis - A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night. The onshore flow increases slightly during the late part of the week. Little change in seas is expected.

FXUS64 KMOB 182044 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 344 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

Dry conditions will persist for the rest of the afternoon and into the early evening hours tonight, but High-Res models are in decent agreement in moving the remnants of the mesoscale system currently noted on satellite over northern MS and western TN to the south across AL later in the evening hours and possibly even into the western after midnight. It appears that convection associated with this feature will likely be weakening as it drops south across the region, but a few thunderstorms will be possible this evening into the early predawn morning hours on Sunday in association with this feature. There could be an isolated strong storm, but for the most part, the airmass has been pretty much worked over and instabilities will be rather low, so no widespread organized severe weather is anticipated. The activity should also be weakening and moving fairly quickly to the south, so additional widespread heavy rainfall is not expected either. After any convection associated with this feature fully dissipates by early Sunday morning, we expect a dry day on Sunday with no PoP (for a change).

Low temperatures tonight should range from the mid 60s over most interior locations, with upper 60s to low 70s expected close to and along the coast. High temperatures on Sunday will rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along the beaches. DS/12

SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

An eastward tilted upper level ridge has moved over the Mississippi River, with an upper level trough off the East Coast. Shortwave energy is directed south over the Southeast through the Short Term with this configuration in response, but with a drier airmass moving over the region, no rain is expected. Temperatures quickly rise back above seasonal norms, with mid 80s to around 90 expected for high temperatures Monday and Tuesday. Low temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s are expected over most of the forecast area through the period, except for low 60s over northeastern-most portions of the forecast area.

Even with an increasing tidal cycle into mid week, light and variable flow south of the coast will bring weak onshore swell and a low risk of rip currents into mid week.
/16

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

Into Thursday, the upper ridge shifts east a bit, then flattens Friday into Saturday, as an upper level shortwave trough approaches, then passes over the Southeast. A surface ridge builds west over the Gulf of Mexico mid week on, with organized southerly flow moving Gulf moisture inland. Guidance the last few days continues to be inconsistent with the amount and placement of the moisture return.
The latest guidance is placing the better moisture further north over the Southeast, and with that, keeping better PoPs for Friday and Saturday generally north of Highway 84. Have less confidence with this placement due to the inconsistent moisture placement recently. Temperatures remain at or above seasonal norms through the Extended.
/16

MARINE
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night. The onshore flow increases slightly during the late part of the week and going into next weekend. DS/12

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 67 88 66 88 68 87 67 86 / 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 69 87 69 85 70 84 70 84 / 20 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Destin 71 85 71 85 71 84 71 83 / 20 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 65 86 64 88 64 89 63 89 / 30 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 64 87 63 90 66 90 65 90 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 64 85 63 86 64 88 64 89 / 40 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Crestview 65 88 64 88 64 88 62 89 / 20 10 0 10 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None.
GM...None.

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Bay Point
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Sat -- 03:03 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:13 AM CDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:27 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:52 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Lora Point
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Sat -- 03:04 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:49 AM CDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:40 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:28 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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