Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 7:58PM Friday July 10, 2020 7:21 PM CDT (00:21 UTC) Moonrise 11:53PMMoonset 11:01AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 353 Pm Cdt Fri Jul 10 2020
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 353 Pm Cdt Fri Jul 10 2020
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate west to southwest flow will prevail through Wednesday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible mainly near the coast through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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As of July 8 NOAA did a network migration which caused this Forecast section to break. They are aware of the problem and working on it with high priority.
location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 102328 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 628 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . Outside of a spotty shra/or a tsra this evening, VFR conditions expected tonight. Winds light and variable to calm. /10

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 357 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Saturday/ . A cluster of showers and thunderstorms moved into the area this morning and the left over clouds and outflow from this system has caused a slower warm up than anticipated today. The forecast was updated earlier to lower temps a few degrees and lower rain chances for the remainder of the day. As a result, heat advisory criteria will not be realized across much of the area and the advisory has been cancelled early.

The area will remain between an expanding upper ridge to our west and an upper trough to the east. At the sfc a weak boundary is expected to move into the area on Saturday morning, bringing drier air to portions of the area. Forecast sounding slow plenty of dry mid and upper level air that will mix down due to deep mixing from the hot temps during the late morning and afternoon. High temps on Saturday will be in the mid 90s in most areas with a few upper 90s possible. The drier air moving into the area from the north and east tomorrow will make getting to heat advisory criteria difficult in those areas. Other areas could see heat index values around 108 to 112 depending how far far the drier air makes into the area. In coordination with neighboring offices, we have issued an advisory for coastal areas and portions of southeast Mississippi. Only isolated showers and thunderstorms expected on Saturday due to the drier air and increased subsidence. /13

SHORT TERM /Saturday night Through Monday night/ . An upper level ridge axis centered over the Desert Southwest will extend east across the north-central Gulf Coast as an upper trough extends along the East Coast. The eastern portions of the upper ridge will break down by later Sunday afternoon and evening as a shortwave trough advances into the Southeast U.S. through Sunday night in northwest flow aloft. The forecast area will remain positioned between the upper ridge to the west and upper troughing over the Southeastern states through early next week.

Dry weather will persist Saturday night across the forecast area. Low level flow will shift back to the southwest late Saturday night into Sunday as surface high pressure shifts southeastward across the Gulf of Mexico. This will allow higher dewpoints to advect back inland across the region through Sunday. The combination of hot temperatures in the middle 90s along with increasing dewpoints back into the lower and middle 70s should result in widespread heat index values greater than 107 degrees over a large portion of the region. A heat advisory will likely be needed again on Sunday.

The aforementioned shortwave trough will help to initiate a mesoscale convective system in northwest flow aloft over the western Tennessee Valley on Sunday. This MCS should move southeast by late afternoon and evening, likely impacting much of interior southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle from late Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning. The atmosphere ahead of this MCS will be moderately to strongly unstable with sufficiently strong deep layer flow on the order of 25-30 knots. This should allow for the convective complex to remain somewhat organized and persistent, primarily driven by a balanced cold pool. There will be the potential for some severe wind gusts with this convective complex.

The forecast for Monday will be highly dependent upon the Sunday night MCS and mesoscale details. There remains a few possible outcomes. The most probable scenario is that the atmosphere remains rather worked over from the overnight convection that pushes all the way to our coastal waters. Lingering morning clouds and general stabilization behind the overnight MCS will keep conditions mainly dry through Monday morning. The atmosphere may recover by afternoon to support additional storms but this would remain rather uncertain in this scenario.

The alternative scenario is that the MCS weakens to the north and east of the Florida Panhandle late Sunday night and lays out a convective outflow which would become the new focus for convective development across portions of the area, especially coastal counties on Monday. The atmosphere would remain unstable in advance of the outflow and a few storms could approach severe limits with the potential for strong wind gusts from wet microbursts. The mesoscale details remain too uncertain at this time and the forecast for Monday remains more uncertain than preferred at this time. Any daytime convection on Monday should diminish by Monday evening with mainly dry and warm weather expected overnight. /JLH

EXTENDED TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . The East Coast U.S. upper trough lifts out to the northeast early next week as the large upper ridge over the Southern Plains builds northeastward. This ridge axis should remain centered to the north with much of the Gulf Coast south of the upper ridge within increasing deep easterly flow. A moist air mass will remain in place with a series of easterly disturbances moving through the flow aloft through the week. This should result in continued higher convective chances through next week, greatest across the southern half of the region and along the coast. Hot and humid conditions will continue through the extended forecast period, only tempered each day by mainly diurnally enhanced convection. /JLH

MARINE . No impacts are forecast except winds and waves higher near isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. /13

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CDT Saturday for ALZ263>266.

FL . Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CDT Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS . Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CDT Saturday for MSZ075-076-078- 079.

GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi52 min W 1 88°F 1013.9 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi97 min 89°F 1014 hPa76°F
WBYA1 11 mi52 min 87°F
PTOA1 11 mi52 min 89°F 77°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 12 mi82 min SW 12 88°F 1014.6 hPa
MBPA1 12 mi52 min 89°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi52 min WSW 6 G 7 84°F1014.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi52 min 91°F 85°F1014.5 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 17 mi82 min WSW 14 85°F 1014.9 hPa (-1.0)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi52 min WSW 14 85°F 1014.2 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi52 min W 16 G 18 84°F 1014.5 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi82 min WSW 8 G 9.9 85°F 1014.6 hPa (-0.9)
PPTA1 26 mi52 min 87°F 1014.9 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi82 min W 13 -40°F 1014.9 hPa (-1.0)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi97 min W 6 87°F 1016 hPa79°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi52 min NW 4.1 G 8.9 89°F 87°F1014.1 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi62 min W 12 G 14 83°F 82°F80°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi52 min 84°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi52 min WSW 8 G 8.9 85°F 1014.9 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi47 minWSW 310.00 miFair86°F78°F79%1014.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi29 minW 610.00 miFair89°F78°F70%1014.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi26 minSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F78°F80%1014.4 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi47 minW 9 G 1610.00 miFair86°F77°F77%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW5SW5CalmSW3W4W5W6W5W5W3W4NW7W5NW9N7NW6NW5NW4NW4W5W4W4SW5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W4W4W4W5NW4NW4W5W4SW5SW4SW5SW6SW5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW5CalmSW3CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmN8
G27

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:36 AM CDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:27 PM CDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:56 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:53 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.20.20.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.31.31.31.210.90.70.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:33 AM CDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:30 PM CDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:57 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:53 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.20.20.20.30.40.50.70.80.90.911.11.31.41.41.41.41.31.10.90.80.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.