Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 7:25PM Saturday August 24, 2019 11:26 PM CDT (04:26 UTC) Moonrise 12:24AMMoonset 2:28PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1005 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Rest of tonight..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Winds light becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1005 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis..Light and variable winds are expected across the marine area through this evening, then will strengthen and become a more west to southwesterly tomorrow through the middle of next week. Seas remain 1-2 ft over the weekend and early next week, but a slight increase in seas is expected by midweek. Periods of scattered showers and Thunderstorms expected over the coastal waters through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 250307 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1007 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Convection has diminished with loss of daytime heating
and instability, although a few isolated showers are still
lingering over portions of south central al as of 10 pm cdt. A
deeply moist airmass remains in place across our area overnight,
and a few showers will remain possible over portions of the
interior and perhaps near the immediate coast and offshore toward
daybreak. We will leave a slight pop in place over this portion
of the region through late tonight. All other forecast elements
appear on track. 21

Prev discussion issued 708 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Isolated to scattered shra tsra will impact a few
locations across interior portions of southeast ms and
southwest south central al, as well as an adjacent portion of the
interior northwest fl panhandle for the next 2-3 hours. Localized
reductions in CIGS visibility, brief heavy rainfall, and frequent
lightning will be possible near the stronger cells. Very patchy
fog low ceilings may develop again across a few locations in
interior southeast ms and southwest al late tonight early Sunday
morning, but probabilities of impact remain low. Additional
scattered to locally numerous shra tsra expected to redevelop
across the region again Sunday. Otherwise,VFR conditions are
forecast to prevail in the local kmob kbfm kpns tafs through the
period. 21
prev discussion... Issued 315 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019
near term now through Sunday ... Deep tropical moisture off the
coast of texas louisiana will be the main source of rain through
the near term. Late tonight and into Sunday a shortwave over
western kansas dives south into the lower mississippi river valley
and merges with the broad surface trough associated with the
aforementioned tropical moisture. This system shifts eastward
throughout the day Sunday. Locally winds shift southerly as
southern alabama becomes more influenced by the upper trough and
broad surface low to the west. The southerly flow should allow the
sea breeze to move further inland by the afternoon to initiate
storms. Prior to the afternoons storms temperatures will be hot
again in the upper 80s and low 90s. Precipitable water values of
2.10-2.40 inches will be moist enough for heavy rainfall along the
inland sea breeze boundary. Severe potential is low as cape
values are only 1500-2000 j kg with a light shear profile. The
questionable factor still is the area of tropical moisture Sunday
afternoon into the evening. The national hurricane center has a
10% chance of cyclone formation over the next 2 days, but it is
likely the area of interest moves overland into louisiana before
any further development. Regardless, locally heavy rainfalls
derived from the system are possible over parts of louisiana and
southeastern mississippi. Dj 17
short term Sunday night through Tuesday night ... Showers and
thunderstorms should continue overnight Sunday. Minor shortwave
troughs moving through the upstream longwave trough will interact
with lingering outflow boundaries within a very moist airmass to
trigger scattered to numerous showers thunderstorms into Monday.

Convective coverage increases Monday as deep layer moisture pooling
over the area increases, pwats of 2.2 to 2.45 inches, and ml cape
increases during the day to 1500 to 2000 j kg with the upper
trough persisting aloft. Slow moving storms and storm mergers on
Monday may lead to locally heavy rainfalls of 2 to 4 inches
producing some localized flooding along poor drainages. By Tuesday
pwats over interior locations trend more toward normal for this
time of year (1.7 to 1.85 inches), but remain high along the coast
(2.0 to 2.4 inches). Weak vertical shear and elevated wbz heights
of 12,000 to 15,000 feet will inhibit the potential for severe
thunderstorms. The biggest impact during this period is expected
to be the potential for localized heavy rainfalls. Afternoon
temperatures on Monday should trend several degrees cooler than
normal due to shower activity and cloud cover and rebound a some
on Tuesday and trend closer to normal. Overnight lows will trend
near to a little warmer than climatological norms. 08
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... A cold front is projected
to approach SE ms and S al from the northwest Wednesday and move off
the al and western fl panhandle coast Wednesday night. Main upper
level dynamics will remain to our north leaving only weak forcing
and minimal vertical shear over the forecast area. Afternoon
instability and pwats climbing above two inches will lead to
scattered to numerous convection forming along the frontal
boundary as it moves southeastward during the day towards the
coast. A drier northwesterly wind flow will develop in the fronts
wake as surface high pressure builds in from the northwest. Low
and mid level high pressure builds in behind the front leading to
drier and warmer daytime highs Thursday and Friday... While
overnight lows by Thursday night fall into the low to mid 60s at
more northern interior locations to generally upper 60s to low 70s
closer to the coast. A moist return flow begins to develop by
Saturday as surface high pressure shifts eastward from the
tennessee valley area to the western atlantic. Isolated to
scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the weekend. 08
marine... As a broad surface trough near the texas louisiana border
moves northeastward and inland, light variable winds become more
southerly Sunday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
will be possible late in the weekend into the beginning of next
week. Late Monday storms should begin over the western marine
zones before expanding eastward into the evening. Lingering
atmospheric moisture over the gulf keeps the chance pops in place
through mid week. A cold frontal passage late Wednesday will cause
winds to strengthen and shift northerly. Seas could increase to 2
to 3 feet mid through late in the week associated with the front
but this is relatively short lived. Additional showers and
thunderstorms and increased seas will be possible next weekend.

Dj 17

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi56 min W 4.1 84°F 1015.2 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi101 min 79°F 1015 hPa76°F
WBYA1 11 mi56 min 88°F
PTOA1 11 mi56 min 84°F 75°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi56 min Calm G 1.9 85°F 87°F1015.5 hPa
MBPA1 12 mi56 min 81°F 76°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi62 min 84°F 87°F1015.3 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 17 mi86 min WSW 6 85°F 1014.9 hPa (+1.0)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi56 min SW 7 85°F 1014.9 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi86 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 84°F 1014.9 hPa (+1.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi56 min WSW 6 G 8 85°F 1015.1 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi56 min 84°F 1015.6 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi56 min WSW 7 85°F 1015.6 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi101 min WSW 2.9 84°F 1016 hPa78°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi56 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 83°F 87°F1015.6 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi36 min WSW 3.9 G 5.8 85°F 87°F1 ft1015.4 hPa76°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi62 min 84°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi62 min WSW 6 G 7 85°F 1015.1 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair80°F77°F90%1015.8 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi30 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F75°F93%1015.4 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair77°F76°F97%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)