Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Daphne, AL

FXUS64 KMOB 282325 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 625 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

New Aviation

DISCUSSION
Issued at 253 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

Tonight through Wednesday Night...

A cluster of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle will continue to drift southwestward this afternoon through mid evening before fully dissipating. These storms are expected to remain non- severe, but a few could continue to become strong with localized wind gusts to 40 mph and small hail. After this convection settles down, patchy fog development is likely after midnight, with areas of fog possible late tonight into Tuesday morning, mainly along and south of US Highway 84. Most visibilities are expected to lower to between 1 to 3 miles, with localized dense fog in low-lying and other fog-prone areas possible.

An upper ridge extending from the western Gulf to southeast Canada will continue to shift eastward over our region through midweek, with large-scale subsidence bringing dry conditions to the forecast area for Tuesday, with the exception of a few showers and storms over the extreme eastern portion of the forecast area by late in the afternoon. The upper ridge begins to breakdown on Wednesday in response to a medium amplified upper trough exiting the southern Rockies and out over the southern Plains. This will allow for another cluster of isolated showers and thunderstorms to develop across south central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle Wednesday afternoon. Again, it looks like the environment will be supportive of a few strong storms with localized wind gusts to 40 mph and small hail.

High temperatures will be in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees well inland from the coast through midweek, with low to mid 80s closer to the coast. Low temperatures in the low to mid 60s are expected north of I-10, mid to upper 60s south to the coast are expected. A Low Risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday night, followed by a Moderate Risk on Wednesday. /22

Thursday through Sunday...

The upper trough will exit the southern Plains late Wednesday night, and pass over the lower Mississippi River region and southeast states on Thursday. A stronger upper trough diving southeastward over midwestern states late in the week will send a cold front southward toward the coast by Friday night. As a result, a band of showers and thunderstorms will spread eastward across southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama Thursday afternoon, and will continue to spread across the remainder of our forecast area through the overnight hours while decreasing in coverage. A higher coverage (scattered to numerous)
showers and thunderstorms are forecast for Friday as the cold front approaches from the north and enters into our forecast area.
Specific impacts associated with this late week convection are too uncertain at this time, but we will continue to monitor throughout the week and provide more specific details in future forecasts. Mainly dry conditions are expected over the weekend as a drier airmass filters in from the north.

Temperatures will remain above normal through the period. A Moderate Risk of rip currents is expected Thursday and Friday. /22
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