Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fernandina Beach, FL
November 10, 2024 5:44 AM EST (10:44 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:47 AM Sunset 5:32 PM Moonrise 2:15 PM Moonset 12:48 AM |
AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 251 Am Est Sun Nov 10 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon - .
Today - East winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots this afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: east 6 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A chance of showers this morning, then showers likely this afternoon.
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: east 6 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
Monday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: east 5 feet at 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Monday night - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tuesday - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: east 6 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy.
Thursday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 251 Am Est Sun Nov 10 2024
Synopsis -
a frontal boundary will be stalled over the area waters today and then move back northward tonight. Breezy east to southeast winds will continue today with rough seas expected. A small craft advisory remains in effect today and into tonight for most of the area waters. Winds and seas will slowly subside by Monday. A series of dry cold fronts will then push southeast across our local waters next week, with strengthening north to northeast winds and gradually building seas forecast.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 09, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
54 nautical miles east southeast of flagler beach. 60 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 81 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
a frontal boundary will be stalled over the area waters today and then move back northward tonight. Breezy east to southeast winds will continue today with rough seas expected. A small craft advisory remains in effect today and into tonight for most of the area waters. Winds and seas will slowly subside by Monday. A series of dry cold fronts will then push southeast across our local waters next week, with strengthening north to northeast winds and gradually building seas forecast.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 09, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
54 nautical miles east southeast of flagler beach. 60 nautical miles east northeast of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 81 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Fernandina Beach Click for Map Sun -- 12:48 AM EST Moonset Sun -- 02:57 AM EST 5.47 feet High Tide Sun -- 06:48 AM EST Sunrise Sun -- 09:00 AM EST 0.38 feet Low Tide Sun -- 02:15 PM EST Moonrise Sun -- 03:32 PM EST 6.00 feet High Tide Sun -- 05:30 PM EST Sunset Sun -- 09:43 PM EST 0.04 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Fernandina Beach, Amelia River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
3.2 |
1 am |
4.4 |
2 am |
5.2 |
3 am |
5.5 |
4 am |
5.1 |
5 am |
4.2 |
6 am |
3 |
7 am |
1.7 |
8 am |
0.8 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
1.8 |
12 pm |
3.1 |
1 pm |
4.3 |
2 pm |
5.3 |
3 pm |
5.9 |
4 pm |
5.9 |
5 pm |
5.3 |
6 pm |
4.1 |
7 pm |
2.6 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
0.3 |
10 pm |
0.1 |
11 pm |
0.7 |
St. Johns River Entrance Click for Map Sun -- 12:48 AM EST Moonset Sun -- 02:26 AM EST 1.97 knots Max Flood Sun -- 05:25 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Sun -- 06:48 AM EST Sunrise Sun -- 07:56 AM EST -1.72 knots Max Ebb Sun -- 12:02 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Sun -- 02:15 PM EST Moonrise Sun -- 02:52 PM EST 2.14 knots Max Flood Sun -- 05:30 PM EST Sunset Sun -- 05:52 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Sun -- 08:30 PM EST -1.89 knots Max Ebb Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
St. Johns River Entrance, Florida Current (3), knots
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
1.2 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
1.9 |
4 am |
1.3 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
-0.6 |
7 am |
-1.5 |
8 am |
-1.7 |
9 am |
-1.5 |
10 am |
-1.1 |
11 am |
-0.6 |
12 pm |
-0 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1.8 |
3 pm |
2.1 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
-0.1 |
7 pm |
-1.3 |
8 pm |
-1.8 |
9 pm |
-1.8 |
10 pm |
-1.5 |
11 pm |
-1 |
Area Discussion for Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 100835 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 335 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS EASTERN ZONES TODAY
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY-MONDAY...
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Isolated to scattered showers continue across the forecast area oriented from southeast GA southeastward to the northeast FL offshore waters. This is roughly where the stalled frontal boundary is located. The front is expected to begin lifting northward tonight.
The combination of elevated moisture with PWATs of 1.5 to near 1.8 inches, weak to moderate low level convergence, and favorable upper level winds should support some scattered to numerous showers during the daytime. Have nudged POPS up a bit compared to the NBM. Best chances, up to 50-70 percent are along the northeast FL coastal counties from St Johns county northward through southeast GA and east of Waycross. Like yesterday, briefly stalled bands of showers will support potential localized rainfall amounts of 1-2+ inches anywhere along the coast, but especially from Nassau county through coastal southeast GA, perhaps as far inland as Brantley and Wayne counties. Otherwise, warm and humid today with highs upper 70s north zones to lower mid 80s inland northeast FL. Breezy east to southeast winds expected during the day, mainly coastal counties.
Tonight, the convergence weakens considerably as the diffuse front lifts northward. Some slight chances of showers will be along the coast and over the marine waters through the late evening. With light sfc winds over land and moist low levels during the overnight periods, patchy to areas of fog are expected to develop, some of which may be dense at times. Lows in the 60s to about 70 expected tonight.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Monday, areas of early morning fog will gradually burn off by mid to late morning. Very light and variable winds expected as weak high pressure stretches over the area from the high over the western Atlantic near Bermuda. A progressive mid/upper level flow pattern will feature a compact shortwave racing into the NE US with another shortwave on it's heels arriving into the Great Lakes. The initial shortwave will carve a trough down through the Southeast and into Atlantic waters, supporting a cold front into the TN valley and central Appalachians. Meanwhile light low level south to SW flow and moist low level airmass will allow for a weak Atlantic seabreeze to shift onshore in the late afternoon.
A few showers are possible as moisture from weakening TC Rafael in the Gulf pools into the area well ahead of the front. Highs will approach, but likely remain shy of daily record high values Monday (see climate section).
Tuesday, the 2nd shortwave will deepen the mid/upper level trough over the east coast and allow the cold front to pass through the area by midday. Deep ridging aloft in the wake of the trough will build along the MS river into Ontario and support strong surface high pressure near the Great Lakes that will build southward and increasing winds from the northeast will follow the front Tuesday afternoon 10-15 mph along the coast with gusts to 25-30 mph.
The new airmass will bring in drier air later in the day with skies becoming mostly sunny. Highs will not be as warm as Monday as cool air advection begins with upper 70s over SE GA north of US 82, low 80s south of Waycross into NE FL, and mid 80s over north central FL. Lows Tuesday will start in the low/mid 60s inland and the upper 60s to near 70 along the coast.
Wednesday, deep ridging over the eastern third of the nation will support strong surface high pressure centered over southern Quebec into interior New England/Upstate New York and wedge south into our area. Breezy NE winds 15-20 mph at the immediate coast and 10-15 mph for most inland areas is expected through the day due to the influence of the strong high well to the north. Some marine stratocumulus will move onshore in the NE onshore flow, skies will remain mostly sunny further inland. Highs will be cooler than past days with near normal values in the low/mid 70s over SE GA and the upper 70s for much of NE FL to low 80s over north central FL. Lows will begin in the mid/upper 50s over inland SE GA and the Suwannee valley with 60s towards the coast as the NE flow brings in warmer air form the Atlantic.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
The period will begin with isolated/scattered showers ahead of another cold front that will move through the area on Thursday.
Not expecting heavy rainfall or T'storms as a potent shortwave drives through through the TN valley into the Carolinas as dry air in the low to mid levels keeps the rain activity more stratiform in nature with weak east to SE low level flow ahead of the front.
High pressure will build in from the NW in the wake of the front Thursday night into Friday and shift into the TN and OH valleys by Saturday with cool air advection due to NW flow aloft.
High Temperatures will be near normal during the period with lows slightly above normal Thursday morning becoming near normal Friday and Saturday mornings.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Main TAFs having low flight conditions, outside of the current isolated to scattered showers, will be SSI and VQQ. Periods of LIFR to IFR expected at these TAFs through about 14z. For rest of the TAFs, some MVFR will be possible, for the next 6 hours or so, both from cigs and from some vsby restrictions in the scattered showers. The area of scattered showers, currently from just north of CRG to just south of SSI, is slowly forecast to lift slightly northward into southeast GA through 10z-12z. Additional showers will be moving into SSI by 12z from the east. So the main problems going forward after about 12z-15z will be scattered showers, which are forecast to affect all the TAFs, except for possibly GNV, as most of the showers should be confined to the east of that terminal. MVFR to brief IFR can be expected in the showers today.
As mentioned previously, shower activity near the TAFs expected to diminish Sunday evening and overnight as they may be shifted further east over the marine waters.
MARINE
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Marine forecast remains on track with small craft advisory in effect for all waters. Current easterly winds and seas show about 15-25 kt and seas of up to 5-8 ft. Latest buoy readings are a bit higher than than guidance so have adjusted upwards today based on these initial conditions. Winds and seas are lower by Monday with all SCA ending by midday Monday with high pressure ridging over the area waters but elevated seas near 4-6 ft remain. The high moves out of the area Monday night as another cold front moves southward into the area Tuesday morning. Strengthening north winds expected Tuesday in the wake of the front, with small craft advisory returning again Tuesday evening/night, and lasting into Wed evening/night. Thursday, higher uncertainty on the marine forecast given the model disagreement.
Rip Currents: High rip current risk continues today through Monday given the moderate onshore flow and rough surf. Extended the rip current risk through Monday evening for this forecast package.
CLIMATE
Issued at 1232 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Record High Temperatures, Monday November 11th:
KJAX: 87/1986 KCRG: 85/1998 KAMG: 85/2020 KGNV: 89/2023
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 78 66 82 62 / 50 20 20 0 SSI 79 69 81 67 / 60 30 10 0 JAX 81 67 84 66 / 60 20 0 0 SGJ 81 69 83 69 / 50 20 10 0 GNV 83 65 85 65 / 20 10 0 0 OCF 85 66 86 67 / 10 10 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for FLZ124-125- 133-138.
GA...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for GAZ154-166.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ450.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EST this evening for AMZ452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ470.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Monday for AMZ472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 335 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS EASTERN ZONES TODAY
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY-MONDAY...
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Isolated to scattered showers continue across the forecast area oriented from southeast GA southeastward to the northeast FL offshore waters. This is roughly where the stalled frontal boundary is located. The front is expected to begin lifting northward tonight.
The combination of elevated moisture with PWATs of 1.5 to near 1.8 inches, weak to moderate low level convergence, and favorable upper level winds should support some scattered to numerous showers during the daytime. Have nudged POPS up a bit compared to the NBM. Best chances, up to 50-70 percent are along the northeast FL coastal counties from St Johns county northward through southeast GA and east of Waycross. Like yesterday, briefly stalled bands of showers will support potential localized rainfall amounts of 1-2+ inches anywhere along the coast, but especially from Nassau county through coastal southeast GA, perhaps as far inland as Brantley and Wayne counties. Otherwise, warm and humid today with highs upper 70s north zones to lower mid 80s inland northeast FL. Breezy east to southeast winds expected during the day, mainly coastal counties.
Tonight, the convergence weakens considerably as the diffuse front lifts northward. Some slight chances of showers will be along the coast and over the marine waters through the late evening. With light sfc winds over land and moist low levels during the overnight periods, patchy to areas of fog are expected to develop, some of which may be dense at times. Lows in the 60s to about 70 expected tonight.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Monday, areas of early morning fog will gradually burn off by mid to late morning. Very light and variable winds expected as weak high pressure stretches over the area from the high over the western Atlantic near Bermuda. A progressive mid/upper level flow pattern will feature a compact shortwave racing into the NE US with another shortwave on it's heels arriving into the Great Lakes. The initial shortwave will carve a trough down through the Southeast and into Atlantic waters, supporting a cold front into the TN valley and central Appalachians. Meanwhile light low level south to SW flow and moist low level airmass will allow for a weak Atlantic seabreeze to shift onshore in the late afternoon.
A few showers are possible as moisture from weakening TC Rafael in the Gulf pools into the area well ahead of the front. Highs will approach, but likely remain shy of daily record high values Monday (see climate section).
Tuesday, the 2nd shortwave will deepen the mid/upper level trough over the east coast and allow the cold front to pass through the area by midday. Deep ridging aloft in the wake of the trough will build along the MS river into Ontario and support strong surface high pressure near the Great Lakes that will build southward and increasing winds from the northeast will follow the front Tuesday afternoon 10-15 mph along the coast with gusts to 25-30 mph.
The new airmass will bring in drier air later in the day with skies becoming mostly sunny. Highs will not be as warm as Monday as cool air advection begins with upper 70s over SE GA north of US 82, low 80s south of Waycross into NE FL, and mid 80s over north central FL. Lows Tuesday will start in the low/mid 60s inland and the upper 60s to near 70 along the coast.
Wednesday, deep ridging over the eastern third of the nation will support strong surface high pressure centered over southern Quebec into interior New England/Upstate New York and wedge south into our area. Breezy NE winds 15-20 mph at the immediate coast and 10-15 mph for most inland areas is expected through the day due to the influence of the strong high well to the north. Some marine stratocumulus will move onshore in the NE onshore flow, skies will remain mostly sunny further inland. Highs will be cooler than past days with near normal values in the low/mid 70s over SE GA and the upper 70s for much of NE FL to low 80s over north central FL. Lows will begin in the mid/upper 50s over inland SE GA and the Suwannee valley with 60s towards the coast as the NE flow brings in warmer air form the Atlantic.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
The period will begin with isolated/scattered showers ahead of another cold front that will move through the area on Thursday.
Not expecting heavy rainfall or T'storms as a potent shortwave drives through through the TN valley into the Carolinas as dry air in the low to mid levels keeps the rain activity more stratiform in nature with weak east to SE low level flow ahead of the front.
High pressure will build in from the NW in the wake of the front Thursday night into Friday and shift into the TN and OH valleys by Saturday with cool air advection due to NW flow aloft.
High Temperatures will be near normal during the period with lows slightly above normal Thursday morning becoming near normal Friday and Saturday mornings.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Main TAFs having low flight conditions, outside of the current isolated to scattered showers, will be SSI and VQQ. Periods of LIFR to IFR expected at these TAFs through about 14z. For rest of the TAFs, some MVFR will be possible, for the next 6 hours or so, both from cigs and from some vsby restrictions in the scattered showers. The area of scattered showers, currently from just north of CRG to just south of SSI, is slowly forecast to lift slightly northward into southeast GA through 10z-12z. Additional showers will be moving into SSI by 12z from the east. So the main problems going forward after about 12z-15z will be scattered showers, which are forecast to affect all the TAFs, except for possibly GNV, as most of the showers should be confined to the east of that terminal. MVFR to brief IFR can be expected in the showers today.
As mentioned previously, shower activity near the TAFs expected to diminish Sunday evening and overnight as they may be shifted further east over the marine waters.
MARINE
Issued at 330 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024
Marine forecast remains on track with small craft advisory in effect for all waters. Current easterly winds and seas show about 15-25 kt and seas of up to 5-8 ft. Latest buoy readings are a bit higher than than guidance so have adjusted upwards today based on these initial conditions. Winds and seas are lower by Monday with all SCA ending by midday Monday with high pressure ridging over the area waters but elevated seas near 4-6 ft remain. The high moves out of the area Monday night as another cold front moves southward into the area Tuesday morning. Strengthening north winds expected Tuesday in the wake of the front, with small craft advisory returning again Tuesday evening/night, and lasting into Wed evening/night. Thursday, higher uncertainty on the marine forecast given the model disagreement.
Rip Currents: High rip current risk continues today through Monday given the moderate onshore flow and rough surf. Extended the rip current risk through Monday evening for this forecast package.
CLIMATE
Issued at 1232 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Record High Temperatures, Monday November 11th:
KJAX: 87/1986 KCRG: 85/1998 KAMG: 85/2020 KGNV: 89/2023
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 78 66 82 62 / 50 20 20 0 SSI 79 69 81 67 / 60 30 10 0 JAX 81 67 84 66 / 60 20 0 0 SGJ 81 69 83 69 / 50 20 10 0 GNV 83 65 85 65 / 20 10 0 0 OCF 85 66 86 67 / 10 10 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for FLZ124-125- 133-138.
GA...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for GAZ154-166.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ450.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EST this evening for AMZ452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ470.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Monday for AMZ472-474.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 0 mi | 56 min | ESE 5.1G | 76°F | 30.08 | |||
KBMG1 | 7 mi | 74 min | 76°F | 30.10 | ||||
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 10 mi | 74 min | 75°F | 74°F | 6 ft | |||
BLIF1 | 19 mi | 56 min | ESE 14G | 30.10 | ||||
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL | 19 mi | 56 min | SE 8G | 75°F | 30.11 | |||
DMSF1 | 20 mi | 56 min | 76°F | |||||
LTJF1 | 20 mi | 74 min | 77°F | 75°F | ||||
NFDF1 | 20 mi | 56 min | E 5.1G | 30.09 | ||||
JXUF1 | 23 mi | 56 min | 77°F | |||||
BKBF1 | 35 mi | 56 min | E 6G | 30.08 |
Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFHB FERNANDINA BEACH MUNI,FL | 4 sm | 29 min | SE 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 70°F | 83% | 30.10 | |
KJAX JACKSONVILLE INTL,FL | 17 sm | 48 min | NNE 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 30.09 | |
KNRB MAYPORT NS (ADM DAVID L MCDONALD FIELD),FL | 20 sm | 27 min | ESE 11G18 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 77°F | 72°F | 83% | 30.09 |
KCRG JACKSONVILLE EXECUTIVE AT CRAIG,FL | 23 sm | 17 min | E 07 | 3/4 sm | Overcast | Hvy Rain Mist | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 30.10 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFHB
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFHB
Wind History Graph: FHB
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of southeast
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Jacksonville, FL,
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