Mobile, AL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mobile, AL

March 4, 2024 3:15 AM CST (09:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:12 AM   Sunset 5:54 PM
Moonrise 2:42 AM   Moonset 12:35 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 912 Pm Cst Sun Mar 3 2024

.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am cst Monday - .

Rest of tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Areas of dense fog.

Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Areas of dense fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Patchy fog.

Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming west after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Wednesday - West winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - West winds around 5 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A slight chance of showers after midnight.

Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Friday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 912 Pm Cst Sun Mar 3 2024

Synopsis - Areas of dense fog will affect bays, sounds and nearshore waters through Monday morning. The pattern will remain favorable for fog development through at least the middle of the week. A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow generally prevails through Tuesday. Winds turn northwesterly to westerly on Wednesday, then an easterly to southeasterly flow resumes by Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mobile, AL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 040624 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1224 AM CST Mon Mar 4 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CST Mon Mar 4 2024

Dense sea fog is spreading inland from the coast late this evening and will advect slowly inland across the region for the remainder of the night. Visibilities at TAF sites are bouncing around somewhat, but generally at LIFR to VLIFR thresholds in many areas. LIFR to VLIFR ceilings are also widespread across the region, even in some areas where the dense fog has not yet developed. Visibility should improve between 14-15Z, though IFR to MVFR ceilings may hold in place through at least 18Z, especially near the coast. Fog may persist along the beaches and just offshore in the Gulf throughout the day on Monday. Mostly light east to southeasterly winds are expected through the period.
DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 607 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024/

New AVIATION

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024

As of 04/00z we have VFR at TAF locations, but dense fog is already lingering just south of the immediate coastline of AL and FL and extends offshore about 10 miles or so. This dense fog is expected to advect inland across the region tonight, with the PNS and JKA TAF sites likely lowering to IFR (or lower) early this evening and the MOB, BFM TAFs a little later in the evening.
Visibility restrictions down to LIFR to VLIFR thresholds will then be likely again across much of the region overnight into early Monday morning. Visibility should improve between 14-15Z, though IFR to MVFR ceilings may hold in place through at least 18Z, especially newer the coast. Fog may persist along the beaches and just offshore in the Gulf throughout the day on Monday. Mostly light east to southeasterly winds are expected through the period.
DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 437 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 437 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024

Weak shortwave ridging aloft is building across our forecast area this afternoon. Much of the morning cloud cover has scattered out and temperatures have warmed into the mid 70s to near 80 degrees across much of our region. By contrast, satellite imagery shows a layer of fog over our northern marine zones clipping our western Florida panhandle and Alabama barrier islands, where temperatures are in the mid 60s with visibility starting to tank at Destin, Field, and Dauphin Island. Radar also shows isolated rain showers popping up along a weak boundary/seabreeze oriented from southeast MS into south central AL. These may linger into the late afternoon before diminishing around sunset.

The primary forecast concern tonight continues to focus on fog development. As mentioned, areas of fog are already returning to area beaches this afternoon and fog should remain confined to near the immediate coast for the most part into the evening. Areas of fog should spread inland again late tonight into early Monday morning, with the latest CAMs and SREF probabilities of visibility below 1 mile showing a good signal for areas of dense fog development across the majority of the CWA at some point late tonight through early Monday morning. We have issued a Dense Fog Advisory for the coastal zones starting now given that some beaches are already socked in with low visibility. The advisory then starts around midnight for the remainder of the forecast area and is effective until 9 AM Monday morning. There is some potential for fog to linger near the immediate coast/beaches again late Monday morning into Monday afternoon. Deep layer moisture does begin to trend higher across our region through the day Monday within increasing southwesterly mid level flow ahead of a trough over the western CONUS. There will be potential for isolated to scattered rain showers (possibly a rumble of thunder) to develop over the region in this regime during the day Monday. Rain chances will range between 20-30% Monday. Lows tonight range from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs once again range from the mid 70s to near 80 over inland areas and perhaps only in the upper 60s to lower 70s along the beaches/barrier islands where low clouds and fog may linger. /21

SHORT TERM...
(Monday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 437 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024

Much higher rain chances and some storms return in the short term. A southern stream shortwave approaches the area Monday night and will move overhead Tuesday afternoon. Meanwhile, at the surface, there will be a few features at play. The first feature of interest is a prefrontal trough that is expected to push into the area during the day Tuesday with some of the guidance indicating that a weak surface low may attempt to develop over coastal Louisiana or Mississippi Tuesday morning. Rain chances will begin to increase from west to east late Monday night and especially into early Tuesday morning as the prefrontal trough approaches. Hi- res guidance suggests multiple loosely organized storms ongoing Tuesday morning over the Lower Mississippi Valley and into far western parts of the local area where a moist and somewhat unstable environment will be in place. Deep layer shear still looks to be around 35-45 knots across the area and perhaps even a little higher near coastal Mississippi and southwest Alabama. With these conditions in place, we could see some storm organization. If these storms are able to congeal into a larger cluster of storms, then we could potentially see a few strong to perhaps severe storms on Tuesday mainly over southeast Mississippi and far southwestern Alabama before the stronger convection moves offshore. The primary hazard with this cluster would be some gusty winds, but forecast soundings continue to indicate a deeply saturated profile along with PWATs around 1.5-1.8 inches and weak lapse rates which could hinder any robust downbursts. All that to say, that the severe potential is still low for Tuesday morning but not totally out of the realm of possibilities. Another item to note, is the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flooding concerns if storms are able to train over the same areas. Current rainfall accumulations with this system are around 1-3 inches with locally higher totals possible mainly along the coast.

The second surface feature of interest is a cold front that is expected to move through the area late Tuesday night before pushing offshore. Slightly drier air will push into the area behind the front with weak northerly surface winds and zonal flow returning in the upper levels. This will cause rain chances to decrease from west to east Tuesday evening and overnight with most areas remaining mostly dry on Wednesday. Temperatures won't cool down too much behind the front with highs on Wednesday topping out in the middle to upper 70s. Nighttime lows will see more of a difference with temperatures forecast to dip into the lower to middle 50s for most areas Wednesday night. Additionally, fog will continue to be a concern Monday night and potentially into Tuesday night as well. /14

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 437 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024

Conditions remain mostly dry and warm on Thursday as zonal flow persists in the upper levels. It should end up being a rather nice day with some clouds and highs reach into the upper 70s to around 80 degrees. The pattern begins to change Thursday night, however, with our next weather system is expected to move into the area on Friday.

Southwesterly flow aloft becomes established Thursday night into Friday as a more potent longwave trough pushes across the central US. At the same time, a lingering boundary over the Gulf waters will lift northward as a warm front which will result in rich, deep moisture advection off of the Gulf waters. Surface cyclogenesis is expected to occur over the central US in response to the deepening upper trough before ejecting northeastward over the Mid Mississippi Valley on Friday. The progressing surface low will send a strong cold front towards the area on Friday with it pushing through Friday night into Saturday morning. Rain chances will begin to increase from west to east Thursday night an especially into Friday and Friday night as the front moves into the area. We are still monitoring the potential for severe storms with this system given the overall synoptic pattern combined with forecast guidance indicating the development of a decent LLJ combined with ample deep layer shear and instability. As we get closer, we will likely see more run to run model consistency which will help to to iron out the specific details. Heavy rainfall/flooding may also become a concern given the the rainfall we will receive during the short term period event, and the abundant available moisture with this event.

The longwave trough will move into the Mississippi Valley on Saturday and exit to the east on Sunday with more zonal flow returning by the end of the period. Rain chances decrease during the day Saturday as the strong cold front sweeps through the area with a much drier and cooler air mass is expected to move into the area on Saturday night and Sunday. Temperatures remain well above seasonal norms through the period, with temperatures dropping Saturday night in the wake of the front. /14

MARINE...
Issued at 437 PM CST Sun Mar 3 2024

Areas of dense fog will affect bays, sounds and nearshore waters through Monday morning. The pattern will remain favorable for fog development through at least the middle of the week. A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow generally prevails through Tuesday. Winds turn northwesterly to westerly on Wednesday, then an easterly to southeasterly flow resumes by Thursday. /21

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 61 75 62 71 60 78 57 77 / 0 20 70 90 20 10 0 10 Pensacola 62 71 63 69 61 76 58 74 / 0 20 50 90 30 10 0 10 Destin 62 70 64 69 62 74 60 74 / 10 20 40 90 50 10 0 10 Evergreen 58 79 59 70 57 77 52 79 / 10 30 50 90 40 10 0 10 Waynesboro 59 78 59 70 57 78 53 80 / 10 30 60 90 20 0 0 10 Camden 58 78 59 69 57 75 52 77 / 0 30 50 90 40 10 0 10 Crestview 59 78 59 70 58 79 53 79 / 10 30 50 90 50 10 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for ALZ051>060-261>264.

Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for FLZ201-203-205.

Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for GMZ630.

Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ631>636-650-655.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 0 mi46 min 63°F 60°F30.05
PTOA1 3 mi46 min 64°F 64°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 4 mi46 min E 5.1G6 64°F 63°F30.02
MBPA1 13 mi46 min 65°F 65°F
EFLA1 19 mi46 min 65°F 65°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 23 mi91 min E 1 66°F 30.0666°F
DILA1 32 mi46 min ESE 14G16
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 32 mi91 min E 9.9 65°F 30.0665°F
FRMA1 33 mi46 min E 11G14 66°F 30.0066°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 36 mi46 min 65°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi46 min E 9.9G13 63°F 29.99
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 49 mi46 min E 1.9G4.1 65°F 73°F30.04


Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBFM MOBILE DOWNTOWN,AL 6 sm22 minE 051/2 sm-- Fog 64°F63°F94%30.03
KMOB MOBILE RGNL,AL 11 sm19 minE 081/4 sm-- Fog 64°F64°F100%30.01
KCQF H L SONNY CALLAHAN,AL 19 sm20 minESE 077 smOvercast64°F64°F100%30.02
Link to 5 minute data for KBFM


Wind History from BFM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
   
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
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Mon -- 01:41 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:17 AM CST     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:35 AM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:53 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:17 PM CST     1.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.2
2
am
-0
3
am
-0.2
4
am
-0.3
5
am
-0.4
6
am
-0.5
7
am
-0.5
8
am
-0.3
9
am
-0.1
10
am
0.1
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
1.6
5
pm
1.7
6
pm
1.8
7
pm
1.7
8
pm
1.6
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.2
11
pm
1



Tide / Current for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
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Mon -- 01:41 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:14 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:22 AM CST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:34 AM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:52 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:33 PM CST     1.53 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.1
5
am
-0
6
am
-0.2
7
am
-0.3
8
am
-0.4
9
am
-0.4
10
am
-0.4
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.1
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
0.9
5
pm
1.1
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.5
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1.3




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Mobile, AL,



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