Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ponce de Leon, FL
February 19, 2025 5:21 AM CST (11:21 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:21 AM Sunset 5:38 PM Moonrise 12:18 AM Moonset 10:53 AM |
GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 249 Am Cst Wed Feb 19 2025
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Thursday evening - .
Today - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, becoming north with gusts up to 20 knots late. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. Rain early this morning, then a chance of rain late this morning. A slight chance of rain early this afternoon.
Tonight - North winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Choppy.
Thursday - North winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Choppy.
Thursday night - North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.
Friday - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.
Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Saturday night - North winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Sunday night - North winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
GMZ600 249 Am Cst Wed Feb 19 2025
Synopsis - Southeasterly to easterly winds this morning become offshore by late morning as a surface low moves east across the northern gulf. Strong offshore flow will then persist this afternoon into tonight as the low moves east of the area and arctic high pressure builds in from the north. Winds will gradually subside Thursday night through Friday night.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
West Bay Creek Click for Map Wed -- 03:18 AM CST -0.20 feet Low Tide Wed -- 06:19 AM CST Sunrise Wed -- 09:53 AM CST Moonset Wed -- 03:49 PM CST 1.08 feet High Tide Wed -- 05:35 PM CST Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
-0 |
1 am |
-0.1 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.2 |
4 am |
-0.2 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
-0.1 |
7 am |
0 |
8 am |
0.1 |
9 am |
0.3 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
0.6 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
1 |
7 pm |
0.9 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
0.5 |
10 pm |
0.4 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Lynn Haven Click for Map Wed -- 02:15 AM CST -0.20 feet Low Tide Wed -- 06:18 AM CST Sunrise Wed -- 09:52 AM CST Moonset Wed -- 03:25 PM CST 1.08 feet High Tide Wed -- 05:34 PM CST Sunset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
-0.1 |
1 am |
-0.2 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
-0.2 |
4 am |
-0.1 |
5 am |
-0.1 |
6 am |
0 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
0.2 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.5 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
1.1 |
4 pm |
1.1 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
0.9 |
7 pm |
0.8 |
8 pm |
0.6 |
9 pm |
0.4 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0 |
Area Discussion for Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 191048 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 548 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A weak area of low pressure traverses the northern Gulf today, skirting just south of our offshore waters. North of this system, a widespread steady rain is expected for much of the morning and early afternoon. Instability will be near zero, so no thunder is expected.
The bulk of the rain will exit early this afternoon, but a few stray showers will remain possible through the afternoon as the mid-level trough swings through. Otherwise, the clouds and rain will keep highs in the lower to middle 50s north of I-10 with upper 50s to lower 60s south.
A much colder air mass moves into the area tonight with arctic high pressure building over the Plains. Lows tonight will range from the upper 20s to mid 30s across much of the area along and west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers with upper 30s to mid 40s to the east.
With northerly winds around 10-15 mph continuing, wind chills could drop into the upper teens to mid 20s in southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Thus, have issued a Cold Weather Advisory for parts of these areas tonight into Thursday morning. Remember to use heating devices safely and protect yourself and your pets from the cold.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A cold and blustery start to Thursday is expected behind a cold front as temperatures in the low 30s across southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia and 10 to 15 mph winds create wind chills in the low to mid 20s. Despite sunny skies, high temperatures will struggle to climb into the 50s across Florida and will likely not climb out of the 40s across southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia as steady cold air advection continues through the day.
More of the same is expected on Friday with regard to temperatures but winds should be a few mph slower as the center of surface high pressure draws near. By Friday night, surface high pressure continues east and light winds should allow the potential for patchy frost overnight into Saturday morning. The main uncertainty is increasing upper level clouds ahead of our next system which could keep temperatures warm enough to avoid frost. To what degree will largely depend how much radiational cooling we can achieve overnight amidst the incoming upper level clouds.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A broad cyclonic upper level pattern remains in place through the weekend and early next week with several systems passing overhead. However, at this time it appears the storm track will largely remain south of the region, and any moisture return in this pattern seems insignificant. This should keep a relatively dry pattern in place outside a brief chance for rain showers on Sunday, but even these chances have steadily decreased over the last few model cycles as the potential upper level disturbance passes south of the region.
No significant push of cold air behind these systems is anticipated so it's likely we'll see a slow warming trend into early next week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Widespread RA continues this morning at all sites. Cigs will lower through the morning to IFR, perhaps LIFR at times. RA will reduce vsbys to IFR or MVFR. RA will move out between 17-19z with some isolated SHRA lingering behind. Cigs will take a while to rise again, only reaching MVFR in the last 6-12 hours of the TAF period. DHN and ECP may even break out into VFR close to 12z.
E/NE winds this morning will become more N/NW late in the afternoon into tonight, generally around 5-10 kt.
MARINE
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Easterly winds continue increasing today as an area of low pressure moves across the northern Gulf. Winds turn more northerly and reach advisory level over the western waters later this afternoon. Seas will increase to 4 to 6 feet by tonight. Rain continues to overspread the region this morning and into the early afternoon before moving out of the region this evening. A few thunderstorms are possible. Winds and seas remain in advisory levels through at least Thursday afternoon, but elevated winds and seas should remain in place until the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Widespread wetting rains are expected for much of the day with poor to fair dispersions as a low pressure system moves across the northern Gulf. Transport winds will become northerly to northeasterly today around 10-15 mph, and remain that way into Thursday. Mixing heights increase with a decrease in clouds on Thursday, leading to good to excellent dispersions. Northeasterly transport winds decrease Friday with good dispersions area wide.
Cooler, drier air will lead to min RH values in the 20s Thursday and Friday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Two systems will pass through the region in the upcoming week. The first being today, and another on Sunday. The first system will bring the greatest rainfall amounts around 1 to 2 inches across the Panhandle, and into southwest Georgia. Lighter amounts around 0.5 to 1.0 inch are expected across southeast Alabama and into central Georgia. Lighter amounts under an inch are also forecast across the extreme southeast Florida Big Bend. Very light amounts are currently forecast for the secondary system on Sunday and less than 0.25 inches. Much of this rain will be beneficial and amounts are not great enough to bring any hydrological concerns. The Apalachicola River near Blountstown remains in minor flood stage through early Thursday, primarily due to upstream dam releases and not local rainfall.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 56 40 51 27 / 100 10 0 0 Panama City 57 36 51 28 / 100 10 0 0 Dothan 52 30 47 23 / 100 10 0 0 Albany 51 35 47 23 / 100 10 0 0 Valdosta 55 41 52 27 / 100 20 0 0 Cross City 62 44 59 28 / 100 20 0 0 Apalachicola 59 40 53 31 / 100 10 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Thursday for FLZ007>012-108.
GA...None.
AL...Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Thursday for ALZ065>069.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST Thursday for GMZ750-752-770-772.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 548 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A weak area of low pressure traverses the northern Gulf today, skirting just south of our offshore waters. North of this system, a widespread steady rain is expected for much of the morning and early afternoon. Instability will be near zero, so no thunder is expected.
The bulk of the rain will exit early this afternoon, but a few stray showers will remain possible through the afternoon as the mid-level trough swings through. Otherwise, the clouds and rain will keep highs in the lower to middle 50s north of I-10 with upper 50s to lower 60s south.
A much colder air mass moves into the area tonight with arctic high pressure building over the Plains. Lows tonight will range from the upper 20s to mid 30s across much of the area along and west of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers with upper 30s to mid 40s to the east.
With northerly winds around 10-15 mph continuing, wind chills could drop into the upper teens to mid 20s in southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Thus, have issued a Cold Weather Advisory for parts of these areas tonight into Thursday morning. Remember to use heating devices safely and protect yourself and your pets from the cold.
SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A cold and blustery start to Thursday is expected behind a cold front as temperatures in the low 30s across southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia and 10 to 15 mph winds create wind chills in the low to mid 20s. Despite sunny skies, high temperatures will struggle to climb into the 50s across Florida and will likely not climb out of the 40s across southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia as steady cold air advection continues through the day.
More of the same is expected on Friday with regard to temperatures but winds should be a few mph slower as the center of surface high pressure draws near. By Friday night, surface high pressure continues east and light winds should allow the potential for patchy frost overnight into Saturday morning. The main uncertainty is increasing upper level clouds ahead of our next system which could keep temperatures warm enough to avoid frost. To what degree will largely depend how much radiational cooling we can achieve overnight amidst the incoming upper level clouds.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
A broad cyclonic upper level pattern remains in place through the weekend and early next week with several systems passing overhead. However, at this time it appears the storm track will largely remain south of the region, and any moisture return in this pattern seems insignificant. This should keep a relatively dry pattern in place outside a brief chance for rain showers on Sunday, but even these chances have steadily decreased over the last few model cycles as the potential upper level disturbance passes south of the region.
No significant push of cold air behind these systems is anticipated so it's likely we'll see a slow warming trend into early next week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Widespread RA continues this morning at all sites. Cigs will lower through the morning to IFR, perhaps LIFR at times. RA will reduce vsbys to IFR or MVFR. RA will move out between 17-19z with some isolated SHRA lingering behind. Cigs will take a while to rise again, only reaching MVFR in the last 6-12 hours of the TAF period. DHN and ECP may even break out into VFR close to 12z.
E/NE winds this morning will become more N/NW late in the afternoon into tonight, generally around 5-10 kt.
MARINE
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Easterly winds continue increasing today as an area of low pressure moves across the northern Gulf. Winds turn more northerly and reach advisory level over the western waters later this afternoon. Seas will increase to 4 to 6 feet by tonight. Rain continues to overspread the region this morning and into the early afternoon before moving out of the region this evening. A few thunderstorms are possible. Winds and seas remain in advisory levels through at least Thursday afternoon, but elevated winds and seas should remain in place until the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Widespread wetting rains are expected for much of the day with poor to fair dispersions as a low pressure system moves across the northern Gulf. Transport winds will become northerly to northeasterly today around 10-15 mph, and remain that way into Thursday. Mixing heights increase with a decrease in clouds on Thursday, leading to good to excellent dispersions. Northeasterly transport winds decrease Friday with good dispersions area wide.
Cooler, drier air will lead to min RH values in the 20s Thursday and Friday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 144 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Two systems will pass through the region in the upcoming week. The first being today, and another on Sunday. The first system will bring the greatest rainfall amounts around 1 to 2 inches across the Panhandle, and into southwest Georgia. Lighter amounts around 0.5 to 1.0 inch are expected across southeast Alabama and into central Georgia. Lighter amounts under an inch are also forecast across the extreme southeast Florida Big Bend. Very light amounts are currently forecast for the secondary system on Sunday and less than 0.25 inches. Much of this rain will be beneficial and amounts are not great enough to bring any hydrological concerns. The Apalachicola River near Blountstown remains in minor flood stage through early Thursday, primarily due to upstream dam releases and not local rainfall.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 56 40 51 27 / 100 10 0 0 Panama City 57 36 51 28 / 100 10 0 0 Dothan 52 30 47 23 / 100 10 0 0 Albany 51 35 47 23 / 100 10 0 0 Valdosta 55 41 52 27 / 100 20 0 0 Cross City 62 44 59 28 / 100 20 0 0 Apalachicola 59 40 53 31 / 100 10 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Thursday for FLZ007>012-108.
GA...None.
AL...Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Thursday for ALZ065>069.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST Thursday for GMZ750-752-770-772.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PCBF1 | 35 mi | 52 min | NE 5.1G | 50°F | 64°F | 30.03 | ||
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 42 mi | 52 min | E 4.1G | 63°F | ||||
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 71 mi | 52 min | SSE 6G | 56°F | 60°F | 30.00 | ||
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 86 mi | 82 min | NE 8 | 53°F | 30.09 | 51°F |
Wind History for Panama City, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for K1J0
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for K1J0
Wind History Graph: 1J0
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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Northwest Florida,

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