Wednesday, January27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Creola, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:25PM Wednesday January 27, 2021 8:33 PM CST (02:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:23PMMoonset 7:02AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 324 Pm Cst Wed Jan 27 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Tonight..North winds 18 to 23 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..North winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 324 Pm Cst Wed Jan 27 2021
Synopsis..A cold front has pushed through the area and moderate to strong offshore flow has developed in its wake. Moderate to strong offshore flow continues through Thursday and Thursday night before subsiding Friday. Moderate onshore flow returns over the weekend as the next cold front approaches.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Creola, AL
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location: 30.82, -87.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 272351 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 551 PM CST Wed Jan 27 2021

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . MVFR to VFR cigs with gusty northwest winds expected overnight. VFR conditions prevail through the day on Thursday with continued northerly flow. /13

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 412 PM CST Wed Jan 27 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Thursday/ . The cold front has now moved through the entire area this afternoon with clearing skies. The upper trough currently centered over the central Missouri will continue to progress eastward tonight and into the morning Thursday as upper level ridging builds in its wake. Flow will become more northwesterly allowing for drier air to filter in. Some clouds could build in over the highway 84 corridor tonight and slowly spread southward but subsidence will increase rather quickly as the upper ridge amplifies on Thursday over the central US. This will lead to clearing skies throughout the day on Thursday.

Temperatures tonight will plummet into the low to mid 30s across the area as strong north winds advect cooler air into the area. The main thing keeping us from getting any colder will be cloud cover overnight. Highs on Thursday will be cool with highs in the low to mid 50s across the area. Ensemble guidance and even some of the high res guidance suggest maybe even struggling to sneak out of the low 50s. This is likely due to the fact of early morning clouds hanging in a little longer than modeled and this has been an issue in the past. Leaned on the cooler side just to account for the morning clouds but still expect enough subsidence to clear out and get up into the mid 50s. BB/03

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/ . Upper ridging over the Great Plains will slowly shift eastward over the Eastern Conus through Friday night before a more zonal flow becomes more dominant through the rest of the short term. As this feature builds over the region through this timeframe, an upper shortwave traverses the Plains late Friday night through Saturday moving and then lift northeastward toward Western Great Lakes region by the end of the short term. In the mid-levels, this pattern continues to follow suit through Friday night, however, a more west- southwest flow becomes more dominant over our area Saturday night.

Cool dry air will continue to filter into the region as low-level ridging moves east across the region through Friday afternoon. Flow then begins shifting to more southwesterly through the rest of the short term. This will bring increasing Gulf moisture into the region. At the surface, high pressure drifts east over the region through Friday. By Friday night, surface flow begins shifting to more southerly as a cold front approaches the region from the west. A surface low forms over the southern Great Plains late Friday night through Saturday and then moves east-northeastward across the Ohio River Valley by the end of the period. Additionally, a warm front extending from this low will push north across the region through Saturday night draping itself over the TN River Valley by the end of the period. Rain chances begin increasing from west to east going into Saturday night with the approach of this system, with numerous rain showers expected by late Saturday night.

Temperatures continue trending much colder with Thursday night lows being the coldest of the week with a light freeze and patchy frost expected for most of the area. Lows are expected to range from the upper 20s to lower 30s for all areas north of I-10, with mid to upper 30s expected south of I-10 and along the immediate coast. Temperatures begin to gradually trend warmer Friday and Saturday, with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Low temps follow suit with lows on Saturday being in the low to upper 50s across the region. JEH/88

EXTENDED TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . Ongoing rain showers start off the extended period as the system mentioned in the short term moves across the region through Sunday. Models indicate that the shortwave trough aloft will amplify down through the Tennessee Valley by Sunday afternoon. The trough will then progress over the eastern coast Monday afternoon as another upper ridge makes its way over the central CONUS and towards the lower and upper Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. Zonal flow aloft returns to the region by the end of the extended period.

At the surface, the cold frontal passage through the local area is expected sometime Sunday evening. Rain chances begin to taper off through Sunday afternoon, with dry conditions anticipated area-wide by Sunday night after the FROPA. High pressure than builds into the region from the west once again by Monday morning and through the remainder of the extended period.

High temperatures Sunday will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s but dip back into the upper 50s by Monday afternoon due to the influence of northwest flow/cold air advection after the cold frontal passage, and as high pressure builds back into the region. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s will then persist through Wednesday. Low temps Sunday will plummet into the 30s and 40s with the passage of the front and then remaining in the low 30s to low 40s through the rest of extended. JEH/88

MARINE . A cold front has pushed through, bringing a moderate to strong offshore flow in its wake. This will produce hazardous conditions for small craft and a Small Craft Advisory has been issued as a result. A moderate to strong offshore flow prevails Thursday and into Thursday night and the Small Craft Advisory has been extended through Thursday as a result. Winds will subside and become easterly on Friday. Onshore flow returns and strengthens Friday night through the weekend ahead of the next approaching cold front, which brings moderate to strong offshore flow early next week. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed by the end of the weekend and into early next week. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM CST Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM CST Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Thursday for GMZ630-633>636.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ631-632-650- 655-670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 27 mi63 min NW 24 61°F 1021.7 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 34 mi93 min N 18 62°F 1021 hPa (+3.7)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 40 mi33 min NNW 22 G 25 60°F 1022.6 hPa (+3.5)

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL15 mi40 minNNW 15 G 2310.00 miFair58°F44°F60%1023.4 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL20 mi37 minNNW 9 G 2210.00 miA Few Clouds55°F45°F69%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3N5Calm4N3N3NE3CalmCalmNW5N5N3N5N10N9NW5N6NW11NW13
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1 day agoS5--SE5S56SW7SW7SW7
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CalmSW5SW64NW11N9NE10NE8NE6NE5N7N4NE4E6N4N4
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Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:33 AM CST     1.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:02 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:45 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:08 PM CST     -0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:22 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:23 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.31.110.80.50.30.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.300.30.50.70.811.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama (2) (expired 1989-12-31)
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:02 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:45 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:05 AM CST     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:23 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:24 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:10 PM CST     1.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.210.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.20.10.30.50.811.21.31.51.5

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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