Bay Minette, AL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bay Minette, AL

June 22, 2024 10:58 PM CDT (03:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 8:00 PM
Moonrise 9:08 PM   Moonset 6:01 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1001 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 22 2024

Rest of tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

Sunday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.

Thursday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 1001 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis - Light and variable winds tonight will gradually turn westerly to southwesterly on Sunday. This overall pattern is expected to continue through late next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Minette, AL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 222249 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 548 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 548 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

VFR conditions are expected through Sunday. Winds become calm or light southwesterly this evening, then a west to southwest flow at 5 to 10 knots follows for Sunday. /29

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 335 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

The forecast remains on track this afternoon with only a few minor tweaks to lower the dewpoints area-wide based on current observations.
Similar to yesterday, a weak sea breeze continues to slowly progress inland along the coastal counties with a meager cu field further inland.

The local area remains on the eastern side of an elongated ridge aloft while a surface high over the western Atlantic maintains its grip on much of the Southeast and the eastern Gulf. Slightly drier air aloft should mix down to the surface both this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon, allowing dewpoints to drop into the mid to low 60s inland. While it will certainly be toasty tomorrow afternoon with highs topping out in the mid to upper 90s area-wide, the dewpoints should temper the heat indices (keeping the heat below Advisory criteria). That said, we still expect heat indices to rise into the 100-105° range tomorrow. Note that we won't have much of any relief from the heat (in the form of cloud cover or rain) on Sunday either. Can't rule out isolated showers and storms as the sea breeze progresses inland late Sunday afternoon, but coverage will be isolated at best.

Beach Note: The risk of rip currents remains MODERATE through Sunday. 07/MB

SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Rain chances enter back into the forecast on Monday as an expansive upper level ridge slowly retrogrades westward and an upper trough deepens along the Eastern Seaboard. Down at the surface, a weak cold front is expected to sag southward into the Tennessee Valley and northern portions of Georgia and Alabama on Monday before becoming nearly stationary and slowly dissipates. While the front is not expected to enter into our area, a plume of increased moisture ahead of this boundary will gradually sink southward with deep layer moisture improving across our area on Monday. At the same time, the stronger surface ridging over our area will shift of to the east as well. With this, precipitable water values will increase to around 1.8 to possibly as high as a little over 2 inches by Monday afternoon, and this moisture combined with convergence along the sea- breeze and potential outflow boundaries will aid in the development of scattered showers and storms Monday afternoon and evening. A strong storm or two cannot be completely ruled out Monday afternoon, but we are not expecting any organized severe storms at this time. A diurnal pattern is expected with regard with convection, so PoPs will be lower during the overnight hours in the short term, increasing during the daytime hours. As such, conditions on Tuesday should be similar to Monday, with scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms, again a few possibly strong.

It will be toasty outside of any convection on both Monday and Tuesday, and we'll could be looking at the need our first Heat Advisory of the summer by Tuesday when heat index values may be approaching 108-110 degrees in some locations. Guidance today (Sunday the 22nd) is running too high on dewpoints, and may still be doing into the early part of next week, so we will have to monitor and see if heat index values actually exceed 108 or not. High temperatures are currently forecast to climb into the middle 90s for most locations, with a few upper 90s possible, which would be about 5-7 degrees above average for this time of year. Near the coast, highs will only be in the lower 90s however, perhaps upper 80s at the beaches with the onshore flow. The increasing moisture combined with these temperatures will result in heat index values around 105 degrees on Monday and, as mentioned, possibly up to around 108-110 degrees on Tuesday, although as mentioned dewpoints could remain low enough that we will remain just below Heat Advisory criteria. DS/12

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

A more active pattern will take hold as we head into mid to late week. The aforementioned upper level ridging becomes centered over the Desert Southwest on Wednesday and Thursday while broad upper troughing lingers over much of the eastern US. This pattern will place the local area within a northwesterly flow aloft through Thursday, and with the general weakness aloft combined with daytime heating the diurnal convective pattern will continue. What is left of the surface frontal boundary will continue to linger just to the north of the forecast area through Thursday, with surface riding primarily to our east and south, and guidance is also still showing weak shortwave activity in the flow aloft late Wednesday and Thursday. With this, PoPs will probably be even higher than in the short term period (in the LIKELY (60 to 70 percent) category both Wednesday and Thursday, with isolated to scattered PoPs persisting into the overnight hours. By Friday and Saturday, surface ridging builds back into our area, although some weakness continues aloft.
This will reduce PoPs somewhat Friday and Saturday, but still looking a CHANCE (40 to 50 percent) of showers and storms each day.
Isolated to scattered PoPs each evening, especially over the southern third of the forecast area, down near the coast, where moisture will be more available.

The heat will continue into the latter part of the week, but ambient temperatures will be a few degrees cooler on Wednesday and Thursday (thanks to the increased rain chances and cloud cover), but it will still be rather warm and humid with heat index values likely staying just below Heat Advisory criteria through late week. DS/12

MARINE...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms next week. 07/MB

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 94 75 95 76 94 76 94 / 0 10 0 30 20 40 20 60 Pensacola 76 93 78 95 80 93 79 92 / 0 10 0 30 20 50 30 60 Destin 78 92 80 92 80 91 80 91 / 0 10 10 30 20 50 30 50 Evergreen 70 97 72 96 74 97 73 92 / 0 10 0 40 20 50 30 70 Waynesboro 71 97 74 97 74 97 74 94 / 0 10 0 30 20 50 30 60 Camden 71 96 74 95 74 97 73 91 / 0 10 0 30 20 50 30 70 Crestview 71 98 73 97 74 97 74 94 / 0 10 0 40 20 50 20 60

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 21 mi59 min 86°F30.05
PTOA1 23 mi89 min 85°F 72°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 25 mi59 min 85°F30.03
MBPA1 33 mi89 min 83°F 73°F
EFLA1 39 mi89 min 84°F 74°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi74 min0 79°F 30.0474°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 49 mi179 min 88°F 30.41


Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBFM26 sm65 minSW 0310 smClear82°F70°F66%30.03
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Wind History graph: BFM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
   
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Lower Hall Landing
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Sat -- 03:12 AM CDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:18 PM CDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:07 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama, Tide feet
12
am
-0.1
1
am
-0.2
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.4
4
am
-0.3
5
am
-0.2
6
am
0
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.5
9
am
0.8
10
am
1
11
am
1.2
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.8
3
pm
1.9
4
pm
1.8
5
pm
1.7
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.3


Tide / Current for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
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Sat -- 12:07 AM CDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:03 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:02 PM CDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:07 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama, Tide feet
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.2
3
am
-0
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.8
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.3
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.9
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
1.9
4
pm
1.7
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.1
10
pm
-0.2
11
pm
-0.4


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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Mobile, AL,




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