Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eden, TX

SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Today's forecast is very similar to yesterday's. Temperatures are expected to be a degree or two cooler this afternoon, with highs still slightly above normal. A dryline will set up over west Texas and eastern New Mexico again this afternoon. Another upper level disturbance is expected to move through the southwest flow aloft this evening and overnight. Storms are expected to form off to our west and northwest and move into our area. Today's activity looks to occur a little bit later than what we saw yesterday, with storms moving in in the late evening and overnight. Instability and shear will likely be able to support strong to severe storms. The main severe hazards will be hail and winds again tonight. We are under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall for this evening and overnight. Areas that saw decent rain totals from last nights storms will be at the highest risk for flash flooding tonight.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

On Thursday, the dryline will be backed up into the Permian Basin again by late afternoon, with continued southwesterly flow aloft.
Models prog a shortwave moving across the area, but it looks somewhat weaker than what we had today, and what we are expecting Wednesday evening. So, we will still have a chance for isolated to scattered thunderstorms that could be strong to severe, but we should see fewer storms overall.

From Friday into Sunday, we are expecting a general downward trend in widespread precipitation chances, as ridging strengthens to our east, and attempts to expand westward. However, we will remain in southwesterly flow with periodic shortwaves moving through the area.
We will also continue to have a dryline sharpening up each afternoon to our west serving as a focus for thunderstorm activity to develop off of. In addition, any remnant outflow boundaries laid down by the previous day's convection could also serve as foci for the next day's convection.

Monday afternoon, the upper trough to our west responsible for our persistent southwesterly flow will move east into the central plains region. As the trough moves east and interacts with the dryline at the surface, thunderstorms will be possible during the late afternoon/evening hours. A cold front is expected to move south into the area Monday night into Tuesday, and could stall in our area.
This would be a favorable pattern for additional precipitation chances Tuesday into Wednesday that deserves monitoring as we approach next week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Low clouds are overspreading the area this morning with ceilings generally between 1500 and 5000 ft. The lowest ceilings are expected at KSOA and KJCT. Ceilings will start to lift in the late morning. Another round of thunderstorms is expected to move in from the west overnight, generally between 5 and 12Z. Low clouds will move in from the south again in the early to mid overnight hours, bringing MVFR and potentially IFR conditions for tomorrow morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 82 64 80 64 / 30 50 60 40 San Angelo 84 62 81 63 / 20 50 50 20 Junction 84 63 82 62 / 30 30 40 20 Brownwood 82 63 82 62 / 40 30 60 30 Sweetwater 83 64 80 64 / 20 50 60 30 Ozona 81 63 79 64 / 20 50 40 20 Brady 83 63 81 63 / 30 30 50 30

SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.