Christoval, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Christoval, TX

June 16, 2024 4:23 PM CDT (21:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 2:58 PM   Moonset 1:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Christoval, TX
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Area Discussion for - San Angelo, TX
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FXUS64 KSJT 161953 AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 253 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Most of the state of Texas is between the 500mb subtropical ridge across northwest Mexico and the 500mb ridge along the middle Atlantic United States coastline. This will provide a shear axis across the central and eastern portions of the state tonight into Monday. The question tonight into early Mon morning is whether any convection will develop across west Texas tonight and propagate into portions of west central Texas similar to last night. The latest HRRR does prog some thunderstorms developing across west Texas this evening and outflow from this convection may provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms to develop across portions of the northern Edwards Plateau late tonight into early Monday morning.
Will mention a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms across southwest portions of the CWA tonight into early Monday as a result. Breezy conditions are expected to prevail tonight into Monday as the pressure gradient remains relatively strong across west Texas. Temperatures will continue to remain above normal Monday afternoon.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

The focus for the long term continues to be the possibility of heavy rainfall across parts of the area in the Wednesday through Friday timeframe but especially on Thursday. Mainly dry conditions will persist on Tuesday and most of Wednesday although we could see some scattered showers and thunderstorms begin to spread into our southeastern counties during the afternoon on Wednesday.

We continue to monitor a tropical disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico which now has a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm. Whatever ultimately develops will likely move across northern Mexico or south Texas around the middle of the week. Deep easterly flow around this system will advect abundant Gulf moisture into the region, with precipitable water values increasing to as high 1.8-2.0 inches.
More widespread showers and thunderstorms are possible on Thursday especially south of I-20 as this tropical moisture begins to spread into the region. There are still differences amongst the operational guidance regarding rainfall amounts- the ECMWF continues to hold a stronger ridge over the area shunting most of the tropical moisture to the south while the GFS shows upper level troughing over the area and thus higher rainfall amounts.
Given the uncertainty in the ultimate evolution/track of the Gulf system and subsequent rainfall amounts for our area will continue to stick with the model blend for now which shows a 40-50% chance of PoPs in the Thursday/Friday time frame. Please stay tuned as we get a better handle on this potential Gulf of Mexico disturbance and continue to refine rainfall amounts.

With the increasing rain chances and expected cloud cover temperatures will be much cooler after Tuesday. Highs on Wednesday though Friday will be mainly in the 80s, with overnight lows in the 60s. Drier and warmer conditions will return for next weekend as upper level ridging builds back into the region.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Satellite and radar images as well as surface observations indicate isolated to scattered convection across portions of Coke County early this afternoon
Otherwise
skies were mostly clear across the rest of the CWA except across portions of the northwest Hill Country and the Heartland where mid level clouds continue to develop. Ceilings were near 3200ft at KBBD. Expect MVFR conditions with isolated showers/thunderstorms across portions of the Concho Valley this afternoon
Otherwise
expect VFR conditions to prevail across west central Texas the rest of the afternoon into this evening as the weak 500mb shortwave trough across northwest Texas moves eastward and subsidence increases across the CWA with northwest flow aloft.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 74 94 73 92 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 74 99 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 74 97 74 95 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 74 91 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 74 97 73 94 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 73 96 72 95 / 20 20 0 0 Brady 73 92 73 89 / 0 0 0 0

SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSJT SAN ANGELO RGNL/MATHIS FIELD,TX 19 sm32 minSE 15G2410 smClear100°F63°F29%29.77
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San Angelo, TX,




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