Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Christoval, TX
July 3, 2024 12:35 AM CDT (05:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 8:51 PM Moonrise 3:16 AM Moonset 6:12 PM |
Area Discussion for - San Angelo, TX
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FXUS64 KSJT 030502 AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1202 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Expect hot and dry conditions again on Wednesday as an upper level ridge remains across the area. Will not issue a Heat Advisory for Wednesday as most of the area will stay below criteria. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of the Big Country and Concho Valley until 7 PM this evening. If you plan to be outside please follow heat safety rules. Highs on Wednesday be in the upper 90s to near 105. Expect warm and humid conditions tonight with lows in the mid to upper 70s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The main story for the 4th of July holiday weather-wise will continue to be the heat. Temperatures will be comparable to today with highs in the upper 90s to around 105, with the warmer temperatures expected across our western counties. Heat indices may be a couple degrees warmer with south to southeast winds returning, keeping the low level moisture more in place, slowing the deep mixing we've seen the past few days. Heat illnesses will still be a threat so be cautious with any strenuous outdoor activities for the holiday and try to stay hydrated & cool.
A more unsettled pattern looks to take shape for the weekend. The strong upper ridge that has been overhead for much of this first portion of summer is expected to weaken and shift east by the end of the week. A broad upper trough is expected across the central CONUS and the breakdown of the ridge will allow a cold front to drop into our area by Friday. With the boundary expected to linger in our area Friday and Saturday, we will see increased rain chances across much of our CWA Current forecast QPF generally stays between 0.25-0.75 inches with some convectively higher totals possible but totals will be more dependent on where the boundary actually sets up. Regardless of totals, temperatures will be much cooler for this timeframe thanks to increased cloud cover with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s by Saturday.
Lots of uncertainty remains regarding the forecast Sunday through mid-next week. We will stay in a generally unstable pattern with weak northwest flow courtesy of the troughing regime to our north.
This keeps rather nebulous slight chance PoPs in the forecast through mid-next week until the ridge can get re-established.
Temperatures will be right around normal in the 90s areawide. Then we have Beryl and the uncertainty that that will provide. What Beryl does after it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend is the main question we have at this time. As Beryl enters a more unfavorable shear environment it is expected to gradually weaken into this weekend. A trend of note is that models that show a stronger system post-Yucatan have more frequently shown a northward turn in the Gulf compared to the models showing weaker systems that stay on a more southerly track into Central Mexico. It's too early to say which of these outcomes is more likely at this point but those along the coast should have a plan in place and pay attention to the forecasts. If we do see anything in our area from Beryl, it would likely be in the Monday/Tuesday timeframe. While we're not sure if we will see any direct impacts from this system, we do want to highlight that regardless of the track, swells from Beryl are expected to increase all along the Gulf Coast this weekend, increasing rip current risks. And being that this weekend is a holiday weekend, there will likely be lots of visitors from more inland areas (our CWA included) visiting the beach. It's these tourists that tend to see more adverse impacts from rip currents as they are unaware of their danger due to decreased exposure. If you plan to take a trip to the Gulf this weekend, swim with caution as even the most experienced swimmers face difficulty with rip currents.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the next 24 hours. South winds will increase to 10 to 15 knots, with higher gusts, by mid to late morning. Winds will decrease to 12 knots or less this evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 102 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 105 76 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 101 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 101 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 104 78 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 99 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 99 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1202 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Expect hot and dry conditions again on Wednesday as an upper level ridge remains across the area. Will not issue a Heat Advisory for Wednesday as most of the area will stay below criteria. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of the Big Country and Concho Valley until 7 PM this evening. If you plan to be outside please follow heat safety rules. Highs on Wednesday be in the upper 90s to near 105. Expect warm and humid conditions tonight with lows in the mid to upper 70s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The main story for the 4th of July holiday weather-wise will continue to be the heat. Temperatures will be comparable to today with highs in the upper 90s to around 105, with the warmer temperatures expected across our western counties. Heat indices may be a couple degrees warmer with south to southeast winds returning, keeping the low level moisture more in place, slowing the deep mixing we've seen the past few days. Heat illnesses will still be a threat so be cautious with any strenuous outdoor activities for the holiday and try to stay hydrated & cool.
A more unsettled pattern looks to take shape for the weekend. The strong upper ridge that has been overhead for much of this first portion of summer is expected to weaken and shift east by the end of the week. A broad upper trough is expected across the central CONUS and the breakdown of the ridge will allow a cold front to drop into our area by Friday. With the boundary expected to linger in our area Friday and Saturday, we will see increased rain chances across much of our CWA Current forecast QPF generally stays between 0.25-0.75 inches with some convectively higher totals possible but totals will be more dependent on where the boundary actually sets up. Regardless of totals, temperatures will be much cooler for this timeframe thanks to increased cloud cover with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s by Saturday.
Lots of uncertainty remains regarding the forecast Sunday through mid-next week. We will stay in a generally unstable pattern with weak northwest flow courtesy of the troughing regime to our north.
This keeps rather nebulous slight chance PoPs in the forecast through mid-next week until the ridge can get re-established.
Temperatures will be right around normal in the 90s areawide. Then we have Beryl and the uncertainty that that will provide. What Beryl does after it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend is the main question we have at this time. As Beryl enters a more unfavorable shear environment it is expected to gradually weaken into this weekend. A trend of note is that models that show a stronger system post-Yucatan have more frequently shown a northward turn in the Gulf compared to the models showing weaker systems that stay on a more southerly track into Central Mexico. It's too early to say which of these outcomes is more likely at this point but those along the coast should have a plan in place and pay attention to the forecasts. If we do see anything in our area from Beryl, it would likely be in the Monday/Tuesday timeframe. While we're not sure if we will see any direct impacts from this system, we do want to highlight that regardless of the track, swells from Beryl are expected to increase all along the Gulf Coast this weekend, increasing rip current risks. And being that this weekend is a holiday weekend, there will likely be lots of visitors from more inland areas (our CWA included) visiting the beach. It's these tourists that tend to see more adverse impacts from rip currents as they are unaware of their danger due to decreased exposure. If you plan to take a trip to the Gulf this weekend, swim with caution as even the most experienced swimmers face difficulty with rip currents.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the next 24 hours. South winds will increase to 10 to 15 knots, with higher gusts, by mid to late morning. Winds will decrease to 12 knots or less this evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 102 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 105 76 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 101 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 101 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 104 78 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 99 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 99 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSJT
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSJT
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSJT
Wind History graph: SJT
(wind in knots)
San Angelo, TX,
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