Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 8:34 PM Moonrise 3:19 PM   Moonset 2:58 AM

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FXUS64 KSJT 182330 AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 630 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

Hot and dry conditions will prevail across the area through Sunday as the area remains under short wave ridging aloft.
Skies will be mainly clear through tomorrow, with overnight lows in the upper 60s tonight, with highs tomorrow afternoon similar to today, ranging from the low to mid 90s east, to the upper 90s to near 100 west. Expect light winds tonight, with south winds gusting 20 to 25 mph tomorrow.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 201 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

A awfully summer-like pattern is shaping up for the long-term duration of the forecast. With upper level ridging staying in place through Monday, the trend of hot temperatures and little cloud cover will continue with highs in the upper 90s to around 103. The next upper level trough begins to move north and east out of the Baja California region Monday night, putting our area in increasing southwest flow aloft. We'll see an increase in high clouds Tuesday but with the 850 mb thermal ridge expanding into our area with temperatures in the 27-30 deg C range across our western counties, temperatures will likely be even warmer in the mid 90s to around 105. The dryline is expected to bisect our area on Tuesday afternoon so there is a slight chance we could see some storms develop in the more unstable air of the Heartland and Western Concho Valley, ahead of the dryline. A weak frontal boundary is expected to make its way south into the region during the day on Wednesday. The front is expected to stall out somewhere in our vicinity and create chances for showers and storms starting late Wednesday and continuing through Thursday. Current indications show this front weakening and lifting north through the day on Thursday. Areas in the Big Country and Heartland will likely see the greatest reprieve in temperatures Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the mid 80s and everywhere else remaining in the 90s. By Friday, the effects of the front will largely have worn off with temperatures right back into the mid 90s to around 100 degrees. Weak zonal to southwest flow aloft will continue into the weekend but with the dryline staying situated across our area, any chances for showers and storms look to stay off to our east.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

VFR next 24 hours. Southeast winds generally 12 KTS or less tonight, increasing mid morning Sunday with gusts of 20 to 25 KTS.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 69 97 71 98 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 71 101 70 103 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 69 100 70 102 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 67 91 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 69 99 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 69 98 70 100 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 68 94 68 96 / 0 0 0 0

SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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San Angelo, TX,