Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Leesville, LA
July 3, 2024 12:24 AM CDT (05:24 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:10 AM Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 2:46 AM Moonset 5:43 PM |
GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 418 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 2 2024
Rest of today - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 418 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis -
light offshore winds will turn onshore again this morning as high pressure begins ridging across the northeast gom, washing northward the boundary previous placed over coastal waters. A series of weak easterly waves moving from south to north into south louisiana will bring about scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and Thunderstorms.
fairly light southerly flow and low seas will prevail until the weekend.
light offshore winds will turn onshore again this morning as high pressure begins ridging across the northeast gom, washing northward the boundary previous placed over coastal waters. A series of weak easterly waves moving from south to north into south louisiana will bring about scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and Thunderstorms.
fairly light southerly flow and low seas will prevail until the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 030433 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1133 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 846 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Last bit of shower activity for today is moving into the DeQuincy area. After that diminishes, the remainder of the night is looking quiet on the weather side, with stable conditions. Just minor adjustments to the grids was needed, the main ongoing forecast is on track,
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
A weak stationary front has stalled out along NELA while stretching east under a region of sfc high pressure located along New England and the Carolinas. With very dry air mixed in the lower atmosphere, shower / thunderstorm activity is more limited through the evening hours. However, in line with some of short range guidance showers and storms developing over Acadiana will continue to build to the West before gradually dissipating into the early AM hours of Wednesday. We’ll continue to see the potential for shower and storms Wednesday as a weak trough axis shifts west along the LA Gulf Coast toward SETX. These showers / storms will temper down the heat across coastal locations so at this time have not included these areas (primarily south of I-10) within the CWA for the Heat Advisory 11AM- 7PM CDT Wednesday. However, more interior SETX and SWLA locations will experience slightly higher temperatures which hedge just into heat advisory criteria at this time. Regardless, temperatures in the low to mid 90’s and dewpoints in the 70’s will make for very hot conditions which still warrant frequent breaks and sufficient hydration when exposed to this weather for prolonged periods of time. That will be the case across the CWA regardless of heat headlines.
On Independence Day(Thursday), the temperatures remain similar to ranges as the previous day trending low to mid 90’s with the higher temperatures focused into interior SETX / SWLA. That said, do note any summertime shower activity appears to trend most favorably along the Acadiana region. Despite POPS in the forecast, not expecting washout forecast for the day. Currently Isolated to scattered showers / storms are forecast for the midday with a slot of low level dry air from the SSW west becoming entrained in the environment signaling POPs to decrease toward the evening and further trend down overnight. For those planning to spend extra time outdoors for various festivities, do note, temperatures will still be quite warm with the humidity into the evening hours so frequent breaks and hydration are encouraged, even with southerly breezes around 5-10mph. Hereafter, high pressure will continue to broaden / slacken across the Gulf Coast overnight into Friday.
Kowalski/30
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Some minor but no significant change in thinking or increase in confidence in parts of the long term forecast. Overall we can expect higher PoPs and lower (but still hot) temperatures. It should be noted that temperatures will remain above average for the duration of the period, however they will be borderline Heat Advisory criteria at best.
The upper ridge that has kept the Gulf Coast hot and mostly dry will begin to weaken and flatten as it is moved off to the east with an approaching upper trough. Closer to the surface, there will be a high pressure over the eastern gulf that will keep our winds mostly out of the south over the long term period.
A cold front will also move close to the region, however it will not make its way south into the area. We will see an increase in PWATs as the front sags across central to eastern Texas and across into southern Arkansas. By Saturday, we will see PWATs at or above the 90th percentile. This combined with diurnal processes will lead to an increase in PoPs and rainfall totals across the region. At this time, the northern half of the CWA is in a day 5 Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall. This will be watched as the week progresses.
Regarding the tropics, confidence still remains low as we get closer to the weekend and beyond that point. The latest trends generally show a slightly more northern track in comparison to previous days.
Overall it is expected to emerge into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, then turn slightly more towards the north.
Around the Sunday into Monday timeframe, models do have it inland anywhere the south Texas / northern Mexico coast. Again, and this cannot be stressed enough, confidence in track forecast and intensity remains low and this is something that will be closely monitored through this week.
Stigger/87
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Not much has changed in the thinking when it comes to the aviation forecast. Early convection has dissipated and with mainly a stable atmosphere now, expect VFR conditions with light and variable winds to go along with mainly high level clouds through the night.
On Wednesday, a weak trough is expected to move to the west across southern Louisiana into southeast Texas, and this will work with daytime heating to initiate showers and thunderstorms by 03/18z, especially for the southern terminals. Therefore, will place PROB30 groups for KARA/KLFT/KLCH/KBPT from 03/18z to 03/24z.
Further north for KAEX, will just mention VCTS.
Rua
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 77 97 76 95 / 0 30 0 30 LCH 80 91 79 92 / 10 60 10 50 LFT 81 93 80 94 / 10 80 10 70 BPT 79 93 79 93 / 0 60 0 40
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ027>029- 033.
TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ180-259- 260.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1133 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 846 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Last bit of shower activity for today is moving into the DeQuincy area. After that diminishes, the remainder of the night is looking quiet on the weather side, with stable conditions. Just minor adjustments to the grids was needed, the main ongoing forecast is on track,
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
A weak stationary front has stalled out along NELA while stretching east under a region of sfc high pressure located along New England and the Carolinas. With very dry air mixed in the lower atmosphere, shower / thunderstorm activity is more limited through the evening hours. However, in line with some of short range guidance showers and storms developing over Acadiana will continue to build to the West before gradually dissipating into the early AM hours of Wednesday. We’ll continue to see the potential for shower and storms Wednesday as a weak trough axis shifts west along the LA Gulf Coast toward SETX. These showers / storms will temper down the heat across coastal locations so at this time have not included these areas (primarily south of I-10) within the CWA for the Heat Advisory 11AM- 7PM CDT Wednesday. However, more interior SETX and SWLA locations will experience slightly higher temperatures which hedge just into heat advisory criteria at this time. Regardless, temperatures in the low to mid 90’s and dewpoints in the 70’s will make for very hot conditions which still warrant frequent breaks and sufficient hydration when exposed to this weather for prolonged periods of time. That will be the case across the CWA regardless of heat headlines.
On Independence Day(Thursday), the temperatures remain similar to ranges as the previous day trending low to mid 90’s with the higher temperatures focused into interior SETX / SWLA. That said, do note any summertime shower activity appears to trend most favorably along the Acadiana region. Despite POPS in the forecast, not expecting washout forecast for the day. Currently Isolated to scattered showers / storms are forecast for the midday with a slot of low level dry air from the SSW west becoming entrained in the environment signaling POPs to decrease toward the evening and further trend down overnight. For those planning to spend extra time outdoors for various festivities, do note, temperatures will still be quite warm with the humidity into the evening hours so frequent breaks and hydration are encouraged, even with southerly breezes around 5-10mph. Hereafter, high pressure will continue to broaden / slacken across the Gulf Coast overnight into Friday.
Kowalski/30
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 404 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Some minor but no significant change in thinking or increase in confidence in parts of the long term forecast. Overall we can expect higher PoPs and lower (but still hot) temperatures. It should be noted that temperatures will remain above average for the duration of the period, however they will be borderline Heat Advisory criteria at best.
The upper ridge that has kept the Gulf Coast hot and mostly dry will begin to weaken and flatten as it is moved off to the east with an approaching upper trough. Closer to the surface, there will be a high pressure over the eastern gulf that will keep our winds mostly out of the south over the long term period.
A cold front will also move close to the region, however it will not make its way south into the area. We will see an increase in PWATs as the front sags across central to eastern Texas and across into southern Arkansas. By Saturday, we will see PWATs at or above the 90th percentile. This combined with diurnal processes will lead to an increase in PoPs and rainfall totals across the region. At this time, the northern half of the CWA is in a day 5 Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall. This will be watched as the week progresses.
Regarding the tropics, confidence still remains low as we get closer to the weekend and beyond that point. The latest trends generally show a slightly more northern track in comparison to previous days.
Overall it is expected to emerge into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, then turn slightly more towards the north.
Around the Sunday into Monday timeframe, models do have it inland anywhere the south Texas / northern Mexico coast. Again, and this cannot be stressed enough, confidence in track forecast and intensity remains low and this is something that will be closely monitored through this week.
Stigger/87
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Not much has changed in the thinking when it comes to the aviation forecast. Early convection has dissipated and with mainly a stable atmosphere now, expect VFR conditions with light and variable winds to go along with mainly high level clouds through the night.
On Wednesday, a weak trough is expected to move to the west across southern Louisiana into southeast Texas, and this will work with daytime heating to initiate showers and thunderstorms by 03/18z, especially for the southern terminals. Therefore, will place PROB30 groups for KARA/KLFT/KLCH/KBPT from 03/18z to 03/24z.
Further north for KAEX, will just mention VCTS.
Rua
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 77 97 76 95 / 0 30 0 30 LCH 80 91 79 92 / 10 60 10 50 LFT 81 93 80 94 / 10 80 10 70 BPT 79 93 79 93 / 0 60 0 40
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ027>029- 033.
TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ180-259- 260.
GM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPOE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KPOE
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KPOE
Wind History graph: POE
(wind in knots)Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:05 AM CDT 2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:04 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:50 AM CDT 1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:45 AM CDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:11 PM CDT -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:05 AM CDT 2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:04 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:50 AM CDT 1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:45 AM CDT 1.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:11 PM CDT -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.8 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.5 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.3 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:35 AM CDT 2.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:04 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 05:32 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 PM CDT -0.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:35 AM CDT 2.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:04 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:17 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 05:32 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:03 PM CDT -0.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.7 |
| 1 am |
| 2 |
| 2 am |
| 2.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 2.1 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.9 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 1.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Fort Polk, LA,
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