LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 348 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

A relatively drier period continues to set up through much of the upcoming week as upper level ridging builds across much of the northern gulf coast. Isolated, diurnally driven convection will still develop each afternoon with the highest probabilities within the highest moisture profiles across lower Acadiana. As has been the case in previous forecast packages, opted to undercut NBM PoPs Monday through Wednesday as they seem to significantly exceed the forecast environment.

With the ridge suppressing both convection and cloud cover, afternoon highs will climb back into the low to mid 90s bringing an end to the brief reprieve from the summer heat. Consistent weak high pressure over the Northeastern gulf coast will maintain steady, light southerly winds through much of the week keeping dewpoints in the upper 70s which will push apparent temperatures into the 100-105 range each afternoon.

Jones

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

Showers and storms will continue across the area for the remainder of the afternoon and into this evening. Both CIGs and VIS will be dancing between categories as a result of the intermittent activity. While some tapering can be expected later tonight, we will see yet another round tomorrow morning.

MARINE
Issued at 348 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024

Light southerly winds and low seas will prevail through the period. There will be continued high chances for daily showers and thunderstorms through the weekend. Rain chances should become more normal next week, with scattered convection likely developing each morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 71 86 72 87 / 50 80 20 70 LCH 74 86 76 88 / 60 90 40 80 LFT 74 90 77 91 / 40 90 20 80 BPT 73 86 76 89 / 70 90 40 70

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for LAZ073-074.

TX...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for TXZ515-615-616.

GM...None.