Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Country Club Estates, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:26PM Saturday December 14, 2019 12:53 PM EST (17:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:58PMMoonset 9:30AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 823 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Rest of today..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..West northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters smooth.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Monday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night and Wednesday..North northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely and a chance of.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 823 Am Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Synopsis.. A cold front will move east of the region this morning. High pressure will build from the west through tonight. The high will move to the east Sunday into Monday. The high will move to the southeast Monday night as a cold front approaches from the northwest. This front will cross the region Tuesday, with a round of showers and storms. High pressure will build from the west northwest Wednesday, then to the north on Thursday.
Gulf stream.. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 14, 2019 at 1200 utc... 42 nautical miles east northeast of flagler beach. 41 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 50 nautical miles east southeast of jacksonville beach. 74 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Country Club Estates, GA
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location: 31.23, -81.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 141309 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 809 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

Cold front will move southeast of the region this morning, with remaining showers departing. High pressure will build from the west this afternoon with skies gradually clearing. The high will build overhead Tonight. Highs Today in the lower to mid 60s for SE GA, to the upper 60s to lower 70s over NE FL. Lows Tonight in the 40s expected.

PREV DISCUSSION [556 AM EST].

SHORT TERM [Sunday Through Monday].

Sunday morning will be situated over the region Sunday morning, and will push over the local adjacent waters by Sunday afternoon with winds becoming south then southeasterly. Morning lows will be in the 40s during the morning climbing to the mid to upper 60s SE GA and coastal areas, with lower 70s south of I-10 with dry conditions.

On Monday morning, the next system will take shape as the upper trough swings into the Plains and a surface low develops in the ArkLaTex region. This surface low slides northward into the Ohio River Valley by afternoon as attendant surface front extends from the Ohio River Valley into the northern Gulf of Mexico. Showers will start to increase across north Georgia Monday evening as cold front moves into central GA very late Monday night. Temperatures Monday will warm 8-11 degrees from Sunday's highs in advance of the cold front where southerly winds will prevail with surface dewpoints increasing during the day. Lows Monday night moderate as well with lows in upper 50s to near lower 60s near the coast as winds veer to the south-southwest at 5 to 10 mph.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Friday].

This cold front will move into the Southeast and TN Valley on Tuesday, reaching our area Tues evening/night. Scattered to numerous showers are forecast Tuesday afternoon and evening. Ahead of the front, Tuesday highs will be in 70s. Behind this cold front, much a colder, drier air will advect into the area. Highs Wed through Thursday behind the front will be in the mid 50s to low 60s and overnight lows will be in the 30s with potential light freezes across the interior sections of FL and SE GA. There will some gradual modification of temperatures on Friday.

AVIATION. [Through 12Z Sunday]

Showers continue to affect most TAF sites for the next couple of hours as the cold front moves out of the region. Behind the front, westerly flow develops over the area. Conditions lift to VFR by noon. Breezy winds develop along the coast this afternoon.

MARINE.

Southwest winds tonight will become more westerly in the wake of a cold front Saturday morning. A strong pressure gradient along this front will continue small craft conditions over our offshore waters through Saturday afternoon. Winds and waves subside with calmer conditions expected Saturday night through Monday as high pressure dominates. Another cold front approaches the area on Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

AMG 60 41 66 46 76 / 10 0 0 0 0 SSI 61 46 64 52 72 / 20 0 0 0 0 JAX 65 45 68 51 77 / 20 0 0 0 0 SGJ 69 48 69 54 77 / 20 0 0 0 0 GNV 68 45 70 50 78 / 20 0 0 0 0 OCF 70 45 72 51 79 / 20 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 31 mi63 min WNW 21 G 25 54°F 61°F4 ft1007.2 hPa (+2.1)51°F
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 36 mi53 min 61°F3 ft
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 39 mi53 min W 9.9 G 15 63°F 61°F1009.7 hPa (+1.8)

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick / Glynco, GA4 mi58 minW 13 G 2210.00 miOvercast54°F49°F83%1008.8 hPa
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA6 mi60 minW 11 G 1910.00 miOvercast55°F48°F80%1008.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBQK

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NE3E3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmNW4CalmS5SE4CalmCalmS9NW6CalmS5W6W9W10W14
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NE10NE8NE8NE8NE10N6N8N7N6N4N5W6N4NE8
2 days agoNE8NE6N6NE8NE5NE6N9NE9NE11NE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Frederica River, Georgia
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Frederica River
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:08 AM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:29 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:00 AM EST     8.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:45 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:26 PM EST     7.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.23.61.80.3-0.40.11.94.36.68.18.68.275.33.41.60.3-00.92.84.76.276.9

Tide / Current Tables for Jones Creek entrance, Hampton River, Georgia
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Jones Creek entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:25 AM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:28 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 10:15 AM EST     8.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:02 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:57 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:41 PM EST     7.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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53.11.1-0.3-0.30.92.74.96.788.68.36.94.92.70.8-0.10.41.73.356.26.97

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.