Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ali Chuk, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 7:45PM Monday June 14, 2021 8:53 PM PDT (03:53 UTC) Moonrise 9:06AMMoonset 11:20PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ali Chuk, AZ
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location: 31.3, -113.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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FXUS65 KTWC 142313 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 413 PM MST Mon Jun 14 2021

UPDATE.

SYNOPSIS. A strong ridge of high pressure will result in excessive heat through much of the week. This high pressure will become centered over the four corners region by the middle of the week, allowing mid-level moisture to increase across the area with the prospects of isolated mainly dry thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION. The main story of this week is the excessive and dangerous heat across the region. See climate section below for more information. Current IR/WV satellite imagery shows a broad (very strong) mid/upper level high centered near the AZ/NM border. As the high continues to shift northward, the flow aloft is becoming easterly. Moisture levels are still fairly low with PWAT values of 0.50" to 0.75", though it ramps up quite quickly south across Sonora to the 1" to 1.25" range. A few build-ups are being observed to the south and east of Tucson, however given the lack of moisture today there won't be more than a few mainly dry thunderstorms with gusty and erratic outflow winds. The best chance of this activity will be in Cochise and Santa Cruz Counties. Any convection should diminish after sunset.

The flow pattern will remain favorable on Tuesday with easterly mid level flow. Moisture will increase especially from Tucson westward with PWAT values increasing to around 0.75" to 1.00". Meanwhile, some drier air will advect into the far southeast portions of the state. CAMs are in fairly good agreement with this setup as the best chance for convection will be from western Cochise County and points westward along with the higher terrain of northern Graham and Greenlee Counties. Once again there will not be a lot of rainfall from these thunderstorms with gusty winds and blowing dust a possible threat as well.

During the second half of the week, a fairly similar flow will persist with just enough moisture for some isolated (mainly dry) thunderstorms with the best chances across the higher terrain in the White Mountains. The high will likely shift a bit southward this weekend and weaken slightly allowing a reduction of thunderstorm chances along with slightly cooler temperatures by Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION. Valid through 16/00Z. SKC-FEW clouds above 18k ft MSL. Locally BKN clouds 15-18k ft MSL east to south of KTUS with ISOLD TS/-SHRA. After 15/03z debris clouds around 14-18k ft MSL. West to northwest winds 10-15 kts gusting to 25 kts will diminish south below 10 kts after 15/05z. Outflow gusts up to 35 kts possible near any TS than develop SE of KTUS. Minor reduction in visibility due to wildfire smoke. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. Near record heat will continue each day for this week. Humidities will increase slightly throughout the week due to a shift in the weather pattern that attempts to usher in some early monsoon moisture. A slight chance for thunderstorms today will persist each afternoon/evening through the remainder of the forecast. Rainfall amounts should be on the lighter side due to the overall dryness of the atmosphere, increasing the chances for dry thunderstorms and gusty outflows. Winds will otherwise follow typical diurnal trends, with afternoon gustiness due to heating.

CLIMATE. Near record or record high temperatures through much of the week.

List of record or near record high temperatures for the next few days.

DATE Today Jun 15 Jun 16 FCST RCD/YR FCST RCD/YR FCST RCD/YR TUCSON INTL AIRPORT 112 111/1993 113 110/1896 113 109/1988 AJO 112 112/1940 112 112/2007 113 112/1916 KITT PEAK 96 90/2006 95 90/2002 96 94/1974 ORGAN PIPE CACTUS 110 111/1987 111 113/1993 111 110/1993 PICACHO PEAK 114 111/2000 115 110/2000 115 111/2000 SAFFORD AG STATION 115 106/2006 111 108/2002 111 105/2002 SIERRA VISTA FD 106 101/1974 103 100/2017 103 103/2017 TOMBSTONE 107 106/1993 105 105/1916 104 105/1985 WILLCOX 107 107/2018 104 105/1916 104 105/1948

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM MST Saturday for AZZ501>506- 509.

Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM MST this evening for AZZ507- 508.



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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Yuma, Marine Corps Air Station, AZ114 mi56 minW 57.00 miPartly Cloudy99°F49°F18%1005.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYL

Wind History from NYL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S6CalmCalmCalmCalmS4SE7SW3S4CalmS3SW5SW9S11S8S8S6S86W6SW7W7W5
1 day agoW4SW7SW5W4NW5W3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmW4354S9S9S8S10S10S8SW4
2 days agoSW5S3CalmW3W4CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmE3NE5Calm355SE74SW43W6W4W4

Tide / Current Tables for Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico
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Puerto Penasco
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Mon -- 03:30 AM MST     3.23 meters High Tide
Mon -- 05:28 AM MST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:05 AM MST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:42 AM MST     0.12 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 04:36 PM MST     4.09 meters High Tide
Mon -- 07:39 PM MST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:44 PM MST     1.35 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 11:20 PM MST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.42.93.23.22.82.21.40.70.20.10.51.122.93.644.13.73.12.41.81.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for El Golfo de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico
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El Golfo de Santa Clara
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Mon -- 03:38 AM MST     1.02 meters High Tide
Mon -- 05:32 AM MST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:09 AM MST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:54 AM MST     -2.06 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 04:47 PM MST     1.95 meters High Tide
Mon -- 07:44 PM MST     Sunset
Mon -- 11:05 PM MST     -0.81 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 11:25 PM MST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.500.60.910.70.1-0.7-1.4-1.9-2.1-1.8-1.2-0.40.61.31.81.91.71.10.5-0.2-0.6-0.8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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