Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ali Chuk, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:16PM Thursday August 22, 2019 11:49 PM PDT (06:49 UTC) Moonrise 11:29PMMoonset 12:17PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ali Chuk, AZ
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location: 31.3, -113.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 222200
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
300 pm mst Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis A more active monsoon pattern will occur through
this weekend with temperatures returning to near or slightly below
normal. High pressure builds back overhead for the first half of
next week which will usher in drier conditions along with above
average temperatures. Another chance for showers and thunderstorms
will then exist toward the latter half of next week.

Discussion As expected, isolated convection has developed
across the higher terrain early this afternoon. The increase in
moisture which is helping to fuel our storms today is also keeping
temperatures from reaching record levels once again, with values
generally running 3 to 6 degrees cooler than 24 hours ago. That
said, still expecting MAX temps this afternoon to top out 4 to 7
degrees above normal.

Expect showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage into the
early evening hours, especially with colliding outflows and
subsequent storm development. A few storms will be strong or severe,
primarily producing gusty winds and isolated heavy downpours, as spc
mesoanalysis valid 22 21z shows dcape between 1300 and 1900 j kg and
up to 1.3" pwat over most of southern az. With how hot and dry its
been the last several days, expect especially the stronger outflows
to kick up some dust with reduced visibility at times.

Another shot of reinforcing moisture is expected to arrive Friday
which will push chances for showers and thunderstorms up even more.

We'll have to see how things unfold particularly Friday night into
Saturday morning, as remnant cloudiness from convection could do well
to inhibit development on Saturday afternoon. For what its worth,
temperatures this weekend will peak at or even slightly below
normal. This more typical monsoon pattern will be short-lived, as
models indicate high pressure setting up overhead early next week
which will dry things out and allow the return of very hot
temperatures.

Thereafter, particularly from next Wednesday onward after a few days
of sustained easterly flow aloft, moisture looks to once again
return along with an uptick in convection and a cooling of
temperatures.

Aviation Valid through 24 00z.

Few-sct clouds at 10k-14k ft msl west of ktus and sct-bkn clouds
south and east of ktus through the forecast period. Isolated to
scattered tsra shra primarily from ktus kols eastward with brief
MVFR vsby CIGS possible, particularly near terrain. Precip
decreasing this evening though a few -shra could linger overnight
near the international border including kdug kols. Gusty outflow
winds are possible near tsra shra up to around 40 kts. Otherwise,
sfc wind mainly swly to wly around 7-14 kts becoming primarily sly
overnight. Tsra shra redevelop Friday afternoon. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather Mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorm chances
increase to include much of southeast arizona into the weekend
before drier weather returns early next week. The return of deeper
monsoonal moisture will allow temperatures to fall back to near
seasonal levels by Friday which will remain through the weekend
before warmer temperatures return next week. The return of high
pressure early next week will allow temperatures to rebound back
above normal for a few days. As is typical this time of year,
thunderstorms may produce gusty and erratic outflow winds.

Otherwise, 20-ft winds will generally follow normal diurnal trends
at less than 15 mph.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Yuma, Marine Corps Air Station, AZ114 mi4.9 hrsSSE 107.00 miPartly Cloudy100°F57°F24%1001.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYL

Wind History from NYL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11NW6SW3SW3S6SE13SE15SE15S18SE14S14S12SE10
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1 day agoW4S3W4NW5CalmNE4SE3NE3NE3N3CalmNW3CalmCalm5E45W6W7W5SW9SW4S5S9
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmW3--W46W7W74W5W6W5SW4CalmCalmW3

Tide / Current Tables for Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico
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Puerto Penasco
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Fri -- 12:17 AM MST     1.30 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:03 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:08 AM MST     3.06 meters High Tide
Fri -- 07:58 AM MST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 12:57 PM MST     2.08 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 01:16 PM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:51 PM MST     2.88 meters High Tide
Fri -- 07:07 PM MST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.61.92.32.72.93.132.82.52.32.12.12.12.32.52.72.82.92.82.62.31.9

Tide / Current Tables for El Golfo de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico
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El Golfo de Santa Clara
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Fri -- 12:05 AM MST     -0.93 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:08 AM MST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:15 AM MST     0.51 meters High Tide
Fri -- 07:58 AM MST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:10 PM MST     -0.04 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 01:21 PM MST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:41 PM MST     0.32 meters High Tide
Fri -- 07:13 PM MST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.4-00.20.40.50.50.40.20.10-0-000.10.20.30.30.30.1-0-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.