Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ali Chuk, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 7:48PM Thursday July 2, 2020 2:59 PM PDT (21:59 UTC) Moonrise 5:32PMMoonset 3:16AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ali Chuk, AZ
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location: 31.3, -113.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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FXUS65 KTWC 021641 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 941 AM MST Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Thunderstorms chances will increase today with strong gusty outflows and brief heavy rain possible. Low grade monsoon forecast of isolated showers and thunderstorms Friday into early next week. High pressure will push temperatures back above average over the weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION. Light to locally moderate showers were occurring across central/eastern Pima county, Santa Cruz and Cochise county. The locally moderate showers were across southwest Cochise county associated with a weak circulation that shows up nicely up visible imagery and radar. This feature, as of 845 am, was just north of Tombstone, moving NNE around 10 mph. Otherwise lots of cloud cover across southern half of the forecast area, or how we like to call it during the monsoon, we're gunked over. PW values this morning, using various sources, ranged 0.60" across the White mountain to 1.50" near the Intl border.

The current cloud cover will delay the start of thunderstorm development as they will be slow to clear and also impact how warm it will get today. Latest UofA WRFRR/NAM runs not handling current situation well at all. HRRR doing a little better job. Main concern this afternoon is localized heavy rainers and gusty winds, especially across Santa Cruz county west across central and western Pima county. Confidence not as high on rainfall that could cause problems across the Bighorn burn scar. But will hold on to the Flash Flood Watch there. Will run out a late morning update to the forecast to account for above thinking.

AVIATION. Valid through 03/12Z. SCT-BKN clouds 10-15k ft MSL with then Isold to Sct -SHRA/TS developing. SFC winds less than 12 kts but gusty and erratic near -SHRA/TS. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected mainly this afternoon and evening this evening for much of southeast Arizona with numerous showers and thunderstorms possible south to southeast of Tucson in Santa Cruz and SW Cochise County. Gusty and erratic outflow winds are possible in/near these showers and thunderstorms.

A low grade monsoon pattern will then persist starting Friday into early next week with isolated mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, mostly to the south and east of Tucson. Minimum humidity levels will be in the 15-30 percent range through the forecast period with good overnight recoveries.



TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MST this evening for AZZ504-514.



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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Yuma, Marine Corps Air Station, AZ114 mi62 minSSE 11 G 2110.00 miFair104°F44°F13%1007.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYL

Wind History from NYL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr54S8S15S11S8SE8SE11SE14SE13SE14SE14SE6SE7SE6S5S8S10S8S8S9S16S7
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1 day agoCalmS8--SW6S8S15S12S11S7S6S8SE6SE5SE9SE11SE9SE12SE10SE10SE8E44NE3S9
2 days agoW6W6NW8W10NW10NW6W8
G17
W9NW3NW9NW6NW5NW6CalmNW4S3SE3Calm3NE43534

Tide / Current Tables for Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico
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Puerto Penasco
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:15 AM MST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:33 AM MST     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:48 AM MST     -0.36 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 12:31 PM MST     4.84 meters High Tide
Thu -- 05:32 PM MST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:38 PM MST     0.68 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:41 PM MST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.83.42.51.50.5-0.2-0.300.923.24.24.84.84.23.32.31.30.80.71.11.92.83.5

Tide / Current Tables for El Golfo de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico
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El Golfo de Santa Clara
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM MST     1.91 meters High Tide
Thu -- 03:19 AM MST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:37 AM MST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:29 AM MST     -3.00 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 01:04 PM MST     3.02 meters High Tide
Thu -- 05:37 PM MST     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:15 PM MST     -1.94 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 07:47 PM MST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.71-0-1.3-2.3-2.9-2.9-2.3-1.10.31.72.632.71.90.7-0.5-1.5-1.9-1.8-1.1-0.11

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.