Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Butterfield, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 245 AM MDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Current conditions this Monday morning show clear skies, light winds, and warmer temperatures. Scattered high cirrus over Arizona will progress over central New Mexico later today, so partly cloudy north of Las Cruces, but still mostly sunny along the International Border.

A welcomed shift in the weather pattern is expected this week away from the constant wind and dust we had last week. Lighter 500 mb flow and a consistent southwest direction will lead to very few day-to-day changes in the weather forecast today through the rest of the week. Lowland highs will top out in the lower-to-mid 80s each afternoon. Winds will be out of the southwest generally 10 to 15 mph, becoming light (almost calm) overnight. Dry weather each day with very little cloud coverage. Looks like a beautiful late-April week.

One thing to note is the development of the dryline boundary to our east this week. Southerly surface flow across South Texas will help better define this moisture boundary in the coming days. We should see a more consistent diurnal "sloshing" effect with the boundary seeping westward overnight and pushing back east due to the southwest BL flow each afternoon. Models are in good agreement that this moisture will remain to our east through the week, however a cold front increasing high pressure over the High Plains next weekend has the potential to push this moisture further west into our forecast area. Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, primarily along and east of US-54 on Saturday would be our best chance locally. This depends solely on if the dryline can make it this far west, and that's a big IF. Low confidence in rain chances for El Paso or Alamogordo at this time.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Sun Apr 20 2025

VFR conditions to persist at all terminals through the period.
A relaxed deep and dry west flow pattern will keep skies SKC, winds mostly light to moderate, often variable in direction. With lighter winds, no dust, with VSBY staying unrestricted.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 245 AM MDT Mon Apr 21 2025

Elevated fire danger expected through the week, with very few day to day changes. For Monday, light SSW winds 10 to 15 mph with Very Good ventilation this afternoon. Min RH 5 to 10%. Light southwest flow through the week will prevent the issuance of any further Red Flags, but very dry air will allow ERCs to quickly increase again after last week's precipitation and light mountain snow.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 85 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 81 50 82 51 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 80 48 83 47 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 80 48 84 49 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 59 38 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 80 49 83 50 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 75 45 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 82 45 85 46 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 82 44 81 43 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 83 56 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 83 48 87 47 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 88 52 89 51 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 77 52 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 86 51 87 52 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 82 49 83 49 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 82 55 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 81 45 84 45 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 84 44 86 45 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 83 51 85 51 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 80 48 83 48 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 72 41 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 69 41 74 43 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 68 39 71 40 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 75 37 76 38 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 80 46 81 46 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 80 42 83 44 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 75 40 77 40 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 77 42 79 42 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 82 40 82 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 77 42 77 42 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 76 45 79 46 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 84 44 83 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 82 44 82 45 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 83 45 82 46 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 77 47 76 48 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.