Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pachuta, MS
May 18, 2024 8:23 AM CDT (13:23 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:56 AM Sunset 7:49 PM Moonrise 3:31 PM Moonset 3:12 AM |
FXUS64 KJAN 181113 AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 613 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Issued at 422 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Today through tonight: Morning radar is showing the majority of the precipitation south of the CWA Areas of patchy fog will be possible for southwestern and south-central areas during the early morning hours but will dissipate after sunrise. A shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward, helping to push a stalled frontal boundary near Louisiana away from the region.
Ahead of the trough, showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to be possible throughout the day with better rain chances over the eastern and southeastern portions of the CWA As most of the heavy rainfall remains near the Gulf coast and with accumulation totals begin 0.5 inches or less, the flood watch was cancelled, but a "Marginal" risk for severe weather remains for southeastern and eastern portions of the area. Damaging wind gusts up 60 mph and hail up to quarter size are the primary hazards of concern. The aforementioned trough is expected to push through the area by the afternoon, bringing rain chances to an end from west to east late afternoon and into the evening. Clouds will gradually clear out into the overnight hours resulting in low temperatures dropping into the 60s. /SW/
Sunday through Friday: It looks like most of the long range forecast for our area will feature rather hot days and dry weather. Anticyclonic flow associated with a subtropical ridge extending from Mexico into the Southern Plains will have the most influence on our weather through early to mid week. With H850 temperatures reaching 18 to 20 deg C in the guidance, it wouldn't be surprising to see a few locations reach the mid 90s at some point. Fortunately, the boundary layer RH is not expected to reciprocate, and this should help keep heat stress from becoming a big concern. As we go into mid/late week, a significant shortwave trough moving across the Plains/MS Valley is expected to suppress the ridge some and allow a cold front to push into our region.
This will likely increase thunderstorm chances for mainly northwest/northern portions of the forecast area, and we may need to monitor for strong to severe storm potential. /EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
IFR/LIFR flight conditions are expected as low stratus/fog remain over the area this morning. Expect stratus/fog to lift later this morning with VFR conditions becoming prevalent by the afternoon.
Otherwise, expect SHRA/TSRA chances to be on the increase for mainly eastern sites during peak heating. /SW/EC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 84 65 89 66 / 30 10 0 0 Meridian 85 63 88 64 / 50 20 0 0 Vicksburg 86 66 89 66 / 20 10 0 0 Hattiesburg 86 66 90 66 / 40 10 0 0 Natchez 85 66 88 67 / 10 10 0 0 Greenville 85 68 90 67 / 40 0 0 0 Greenwood 84 65 90 66 / 60 10 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ043-044- 047>050-053>056-059>062.
LA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for LAZ016- 023>026.
AR...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 613 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Issued at 422 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Today through tonight: Morning radar is showing the majority of the precipitation south of the CWA Areas of patchy fog will be possible for southwestern and south-central areas during the early morning hours but will dissipate after sunrise. A shortwave trough will continue to progress eastward, helping to push a stalled frontal boundary near Louisiana away from the region.
Ahead of the trough, showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to be possible throughout the day with better rain chances over the eastern and southeastern portions of the CWA As most of the heavy rainfall remains near the Gulf coast and with accumulation totals begin 0.5 inches or less, the flood watch was cancelled, but a "Marginal" risk for severe weather remains for southeastern and eastern portions of the area. Damaging wind gusts up 60 mph and hail up to quarter size are the primary hazards of concern. The aforementioned trough is expected to push through the area by the afternoon, bringing rain chances to an end from west to east late afternoon and into the evening. Clouds will gradually clear out into the overnight hours resulting in low temperatures dropping into the 60s. /SW/
Sunday through Friday: It looks like most of the long range forecast for our area will feature rather hot days and dry weather. Anticyclonic flow associated with a subtropical ridge extending from Mexico into the Southern Plains will have the most influence on our weather through early to mid week. With H850 temperatures reaching 18 to 20 deg C in the guidance, it wouldn't be surprising to see a few locations reach the mid 90s at some point. Fortunately, the boundary layer RH is not expected to reciprocate, and this should help keep heat stress from becoming a big concern. As we go into mid/late week, a significant shortwave trough moving across the Plains/MS Valley is expected to suppress the ridge some and allow a cold front to push into our region.
This will likely increase thunderstorm chances for mainly northwest/northern portions of the forecast area, and we may need to monitor for strong to severe storm potential. /EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024
IFR/LIFR flight conditions are expected as low stratus/fog remain over the area this morning. Expect stratus/fog to lift later this morning with VFR conditions becoming prevalent by the afternoon.
Otherwise, expect SHRA/TSRA chances to be on the increase for mainly eastern sites during peak heating. /SW/EC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 84 65 89 66 / 30 10 0 0 Meridian 85 63 88 64 / 50 20 0 0 Vicksburg 86 66 89 66 / 20 10 0 0 Hattiesburg 86 66 90 66 / 40 10 0 0 Natchez 85 66 88 67 / 10 10 0 0 Greenville 85 68 90 67 / 40 0 0 0 Greenwood 84 65 90 66 / 60 10 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MSZ043-044- 047>050-053>056-059>062.
LA...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for LAZ016- 023>026.
AR...None.
Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:07 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:54 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:33 AM CDT 0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:44 PM CDT 0.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:41 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:17 PM CDT 0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:07 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:54 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:33 AM CDT 0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:44 PM CDT 0.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:41 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:17 PM CDT 0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:28 AM CDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:55 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:28 PM CDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:12 PM CDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:28 AM CDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:55 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:28 PM CDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:12 PM CDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Jackson/Brandon, MS,
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