DISCUSSION
Relatively tame Friday evening perked up before midnight with scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring this morning across Pinal, Pima and Santa Cruz county. Gusty winds and brief heavy rain associated with the strongest storms. These storms likely continuing past sunrise. Later today expect scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. With the upper high nearly overhead, storms will be slow movers, thus increasing the chances for flash flooding. Upper high moves into New Mexico late tonight into Sunday, turning the mid-level flow out of the south-southeast that will continue into much of next week. Daily chances for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be about 2 to 6 degrees above normal through the forecast period.

AVIATION
Valid through 28/12Z.
SCT-BKN clouds AOA 7-11k ft AGL with scattered SHRA/TSRA mainly west and south of KTUS through 27/16Z, then across most of southeast Arizona after 27/20z. Strong winds to 45 kts possible near the strongest TSRA with MVFR conditions. Outside of TSRA, surface winds will generally be easterly/southeasterly and remain under 10 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER
Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms with day to day variability on which areas will see the best chance of rainfall. The best chances will typically be from Tucson south and eastward through much of the forecast period. Each day has the threat of heavy rain, localized flash flooding and strong gusty winds. Minimum relative humidities will be 20 to 30 percent in most lower elevation locations and 25 to 40 percent in mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to 20-25 mph and light winds overnight.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.