Friday, July19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tucson Estates, AZ

Version 3.4
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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 7:31PM Friday July 19, 2019 3:41 PM MST (22:41 UTC) Moonrise 9:38PMMoonset 7:56AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tucson Estates CDP, AZ
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location: 32.22, -111.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 192130
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
230 pm mst Fri jul 19 2019

Synopsis High pressure and warm temperatures aloft will limit
thunderstorm development through Saturday with temperatures
remaining a couple of degrees warmer than normal. More favorable
upper level flow should result in an increase in thunderstorm
coverage Sunday into early next week.

Discussion A few showers developing over the rim and ssw of
tucson but view out the window not impressive. Warm air aloft is
hindering vertical development. Meanwhile, surface dew points have
mixed out into the mid 40s to lower 50s in many areas with gusty
nw winds occurring. The extreme values are encapsulated by a dry 38
degree dew point at safford while nogales still hangs on to a 60
degree dew point under debris clouds remaining from Thursday
night's storms in mexico. Another mexican MCS is already in the
works over the sierra madres this afternoon. This complex will
likely remain south of the border, being blocked by high pressure
over arizona.

The area of high pressure will stand pat Saturday, once again
limiting storms in SE az. The high will move north Sunday into
early next week, which will result in cooler temperatures aloft
and allow a southeasterly flow to bring more moisture into the
area. Have raised rain chances and kept high temperatures below
machine numbers for Monday and Tuesday.

After that, models are in general agreement in rotating drier air
around the high into SE az from the east. In these cases,
monsoonal moisture is not typically scrubbed out as efficiently as
models might advertise, so left in at least some low grade pops
for Wed and thu, although warming temperatures aloft may once
again limit development. Additionally, the corresponding
thickness values for the latter half of next week correspond to
the hotter temperatures offered by the ECMWF guidance versus the
cooler GFS numbers. Nbm values captured that pretty well.

Aviation Valid through 21 00z.

Isolated -tsra -shra into this evening mainly south of ktus (and
especially near kols kfhu), and across the white mountains
northeast of ksad. Expect brief wind gusts to 40 kts near stronger
tsra. Otherwise, cloud decks mainly 12k-18k ft msl. Surface wind
into this evening nwly 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts, especially
near ksad. Surface wind sly in direction mainly under 10 kts in
after dark before becoming nwly again Saturday afternoon at 10-12
kts with gusts up to 20 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for
taf amendments.

Fire weather Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms through
Saturday mainly near the international border and over the rim.

Expect an uptick in thunderstorms area-wide Sunday through
Tuesday, then a downturn in thunderstorm coverage Wednesday and
Thursday. Expect brief strong and erratic winds near thunderstorms.

Aside from thunderstorm wind gusts, 20-foot winds across the
upper gila river valley through Sunday will approach 25 mph from
the northwest during afternoon hours. 20-foot winds will be mainly
under 15 mph elsewhere. Minimum humidity 12-16 pct in lower
elevations into the weekend.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

Drozd pawlak
visit us on facebook... Twitter... Youtube... And at weather.Gov tucson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tucson Ryan Field Airport, AZ6 mi56 minWNW 15 G 1910.00 miFair100°F51°F20%1011.5 hPa
Tucson, Tucson International Airport, AZ16 mi48 minN 10 G 1910.00 miFair103°F52°F18%1006 hPa
Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, AZ18 mi1.7 hrsWNW 10 G 2010.00 miFair100°F53°F21%1006.9 hPa

Wind History from TUS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8
G17
NW9
G18
W13
G20
----W7SE8S6SE7S6S16
G24
S10S10S9SE8SE9S9S6NW4--N7W8N8
G19
N10
G19
1 day ago5
G15
NW7
G16
NW8S13S12S14S8SE8E3SE5SE7SE5SE11SE8SE8SE5CalmN5N5W5N84N9N11
G15
2 days agoNW9
G16
SE8NE85SW5W6W8W4S7S5S7S9S6S8SW11
G23
W7S10S10S10W6NW3NW6W8N7
G15

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.