Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Willcox, AZ

DISCUSSION
An easterly surface pressure gradient is in place which led to some gusty easterly winds across most of southeast Arizona this morning. Winds have decreased some this afternoon, but will increase again overnight as surface mixing eases. Winds stay easterly Monday then return to normal diurnal patterns thereafter.

Aloft high pressure will be dominating the region leading to continued much above normal temperatures. Models do show a weak trough passing through southern California and western Arizona then into northern Mexico Monday into Tuesday. But this won't have much of an affect on sensible weather with high temperatures only dropping 2-4 degrees Tuesday compared to Monday. Highs will generally be around 80 to the low 80s from Tucson westward and mid to upper 70s for valleys east of Tucson through next weekend.
Some locations could see new record highs set.

AVIATION
Valid through 16/00Z.
SCT-BKN clouds AOA 20k feet MSL thru 15/09Z, becoming SKC thereafter. ELY/SELY SFC wind at 8-14 kts with occasional gusts to 20-25 kts persisting thru the forecast period. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER
Dry conditions are expected into next weekend, along with high temperatures 10-17 degrees above normal. 20-foot winds will be east-southeast at 10-15 mph and gusts to 25-30 mph today, dropping to 8-12 mph on Monday. For the remainder of the week winds will be less than 15 mph and terrain driven. Minimum RH values at all elevations will generally be in the 13-23 percent range through next week, except on Monday when there will be a moisture increase across eastern areas (Cochise, Graham and Greenlee counties) into the 20-35 percent range.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.