Madison, MS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Madison, MS

June 14, 2024 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM
Moonrise 12:26 PM   Moonset 12:18 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Madison, MS
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Area Discussion for - Jackson, MS
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 201 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024


Issued at 201 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Tonight through Sunday Night...

Much like a record on repeat, quiet and dry conditions will continue tonight as global guidance continue to show sfc high pressure ridging and dry northerly flow over the southeast CONUS. Heading into the overnight period, a few high cumulus clouds will begin to move into the forecast area from the north. With this limited cloud cover, radiational cooling will occur across central MS. Because of this, overnight lows will drop into the low 70s across the area.
Forecast confidence continues to increase for increasingly hot temperatures heading into Saturday, with temps nearing record highs.
A H5 590 dm ridge will be firmly entrenched over the southeastern CONUS through the weekend. Under the high pressure, the dry airmass will help afternoon highs peak into the 96 - 101 degree range areawide with heat indices around 105 degrees. Because of this, no changes have been made to the limited heat graphic for Saturday.

Later on Sunday, the sfc high will start to shift east enough to allow moisture to wrap in across the southern areas introducing rain and storm chances. With this increased moisture, northern areas will see temps in the upper 90s and low 100s, especially where drier air is in place and better mixing is likely. Heat indices will remain in the low 100s across central MS, so will continue to message a limited heat threat for Sunday as well. Heading into Sunday night, rain chances will start to drop across southern areas with dry conditions across northern areas. Overnight lows will drop into the mid 70s across our CWA /CR/

Monday through Friday...for the next work week, the pattern will have shifted to one that is substantially more moist as the region seeing deep layer SE/S flow get established with the subtropical high centered well to the east. Tropical type moisture will move in early Monday and characterized by PWs of 2.3-2.5 inches. Such moisture will support an increase in rain chances with 40-80% roughly from N to S. Also, more moisture and more clouds will help keep temps in check as well, thus it won't bas hot with lower 90s N to mid 80s S. Similar conditions are expected for Tue, but rain chances are lower and range roughly from 20-40% (N to S). As for the rain chances, activity looks to be mainly in the for of rain showers with only low end potential for thunder. Warm midlevels and moist profiles favor more efficient rain processes than thunder. The GFS actually supports a window for training/backbuilding of precip on Monday. If this signal can hold, will need to watch for flooding potential. Right now we just don't have the consistency or model agreement to lean on such a solution, but definitely worthy to keep an eye on.

For mid-week into Friday, more ridging aloft edges in but more substantial is the increase in the surface ridge/pressures as the high expands westward. This will promote more subsidence and drier air moving E to W and reducing rain chances to less than 10%. Less rain also means a bit warmer temps. /CME/

(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Aside from a few high cirrus clouds across a few northern TAF sites (GLH & GWO), weather conditions will be quiet through the entire TAF period with VFR ceilings prevailing. /CR/

Jackson 71 97 74 97 / 0 10 0 20 Meridian 72 100 73 98 / 0 10 0 20 Vicksburg 70 97 74 97 / 0 0 0 10 Hattiesburg 72 99 73 95 / 0 10 0 40 Natchez 70 96 73 95 / 0 10 0 20 Greenville 72 98 77 99 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 72 98 76 99 / 0 0 0 10


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Jackson/Brandon, MS,

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