Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pelican Bay, TX
July 26, 2024 7:45 PM CDT (00:45 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:38 AM Sunset 8:33 PM Moonrise 11:05 PM Moonset 11:25 AM |
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 270021 AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 721 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update:
The northwestern third of our forecast area will see a faint haze in the sky this evening due to lingering dust planted over the area. The eastern & southeastern half of our forecast area will remain under cloud cover this evening and tonight, and start the day cloudy tomorrow morning as well. There is a 20-30% chance of isolated showers east of I-35/35E late tonight and tomorrow, but we have capped the potential for thunderstorms at 15%. The meteorological discussion below remains on track at this time.
Bonnette
Previous Discussion: /Through Saturday afternoon/
We are wrapping up the week with another mild summer day as highs stay in the upper 80s to low 90s across the region. A few locations across the far east/southeast will likely stay in the low 80s due to widespread cloud cover and better rain chances this afternoon. The upper level trough responsible for the below normal temps this week remains sandwiched between two ridges on either side over the Gulf of Mexico and Baja California. This will keep the unsettled pattern at least through Saturday afternoon with isolated to scattered rain and isolated storms.
For the rest of the afternoon and evening, expect some clearing of clouds with a chance of rain/storms (20-50%) generally east of I-35. The threat for heavy rain and flooding will remain outside of our area to the east/south and along the TX Coast.
The trough will finally begin to move northeastward late tonight into Saturday. However, we expect one more round of scattered precipitation during the day and perhaps as early as Saturday morning. Some models are a little more aggressive than others but with plenty of moisture in place, any small convergence zone or little forcing will be sufficient for at least a few showers/storms. In addition to the rain, low clouds will return again overnight and persist through at least mid morning. This will keep highs again generally in the mid-upper 80s and low 90s.
A few locations across West Texas will see mid 90s as skies remain mostly clear.
Sanchez
LONG TERM
/Issued 232 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024/ Update:
No major changes were made to the long term forecast with this latest update. On and off rain chances have a low chance of continuing through the rest of the weekend before drier and hotter weather returns to North and Central Texas. Afternoon highs will gradually soar into the upper 90s and low 100s by the end of the week. The return of this heat may lead to the reintroduction of heat products nearly each day as we kick off the month of August. The reprieve from the summer heat is coming to an end.
Reeves
Previous Discussion: /Saturday Morning Onward/
Upper level shortwave troughing and its accompanying diffuse upper low will stay planted atop the region through the weekend, allowing for the continuance of daily shower/storm chances and cooler temperatures through this weekend. Like the days before, best chances for precipitation will be during the afternoon hours, across East and Central Texas where the more abundant moisture content lies. Further north and west, the potential for precipitation is there, but will be more isolated in nature. Not everyone will receive rain on either day, but for those lucky ones that do, you can generally expect less than 1" underneath any one storm. However, high PWATs greater than 1.5" (up to 2" in East and Central Texas!) will allow for bouts of heavy rain. Isolated higher rainfall amounts of at least 1-1.5" would be plausible within any slow-moving storm. Severe weather is not expected with any of the weekend activity, though lightning will pose a threat to anyone outside who finds themselves near or under a storm.
Otherwise, expect another couple of days of below-normal high temperatures in the 80s and low 90s.
By the beginning of this upcoming week, the aforementioned upper low is progged to move northward and become re-absorbed into the overall mid-level flow. This will allow the longwave ridge out west to spread east across North and Central Texas throughout the week. Underneath the subsident airmass, expect warming temperatures and the end of any mentionable rain chances for the rest of the long term forecast period. Afternoon highs will gradually rise into the mid 90s to a few degrees above the century mark by midweek. Alongside those rising temperatures, continued increased humidity will push daily peak heat indices into Heat Advisory territory, ranging from 100-110 degrees. Expect a return of heat headlines as we go into the latter half of this upcoming week as summer returns in full fashion.
Prater
AVIATION
/NEW/ /00Z TAFs/
VFR and southeast flow will prevail this evening, although haze (due to lingering dust) over the western D10 airports may restrict slant range visibility to around 5 miles during sunset. A blanket of MVFR ceilings will move into D10 from the east tonight and linger through 16-18Z tomorrow. Cloud bases are most likely to hover between 1000-1200 ft, but there is a 30-40% chance of at least intermittent IFR between ~10-15Z. Also not mentioned in the TAFs is the 20% chance of isolated showers tomorrow morning and afternoon. Most of the precip should remain east of D10 and ACT, so we have no mentionable weather in the TAFs. Drier air will filter into the region tomorrow, allowing for the low-level ceilings to scatter by the mid-late afternoon.
Bonnette
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 74 91 75 93 78 / 5 20 0 10 5 Waco 73 89 73 90 75 / 10 20 5 20 5 Paris 70 86 72 89 74 / 20 30 10 20 10 Denton 72 92 73 95 76 / 5 10 0 5 5 McKinney 72 90 73 93 76 / 10 20 0 10 10 Dallas 74 91 74 93 77 / 10 20 0 10 5 Terrell 71 87 73 90 75 / 20 30 5 20 10 Corsicana 73 88 74 91 77 / 20 30 5 30 10 Temple 72 88 72 90 75 / 10 20 5 30 0 Mineral Wells 70 94 72 96 75 / 0 5 0 5 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 721 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024
New Aviation, Short Term
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ Update:
The northwestern third of our forecast area will see a faint haze in the sky this evening due to lingering dust planted over the area. The eastern & southeastern half of our forecast area will remain under cloud cover this evening and tonight, and start the day cloudy tomorrow morning as well. There is a 20-30% chance of isolated showers east of I-35/35E late tonight and tomorrow, but we have capped the potential for thunderstorms at 15%. The meteorological discussion below remains on track at this time.
Bonnette
Previous Discussion: /Through Saturday afternoon/
We are wrapping up the week with another mild summer day as highs stay in the upper 80s to low 90s across the region. A few locations across the far east/southeast will likely stay in the low 80s due to widespread cloud cover and better rain chances this afternoon. The upper level trough responsible for the below normal temps this week remains sandwiched between two ridges on either side over the Gulf of Mexico and Baja California. This will keep the unsettled pattern at least through Saturday afternoon with isolated to scattered rain and isolated storms.
For the rest of the afternoon and evening, expect some clearing of clouds with a chance of rain/storms (20-50%) generally east of I-35. The threat for heavy rain and flooding will remain outside of our area to the east/south and along the TX Coast.
The trough will finally begin to move northeastward late tonight into Saturday. However, we expect one more round of scattered precipitation during the day and perhaps as early as Saturday morning. Some models are a little more aggressive than others but with plenty of moisture in place, any small convergence zone or little forcing will be sufficient for at least a few showers/storms. In addition to the rain, low clouds will return again overnight and persist through at least mid morning. This will keep highs again generally in the mid-upper 80s and low 90s.
A few locations across West Texas will see mid 90s as skies remain mostly clear.
Sanchez
LONG TERM
/Issued 232 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024/ Update:
No major changes were made to the long term forecast with this latest update. On and off rain chances have a low chance of continuing through the rest of the weekend before drier and hotter weather returns to North and Central Texas. Afternoon highs will gradually soar into the upper 90s and low 100s by the end of the week. The return of this heat may lead to the reintroduction of heat products nearly each day as we kick off the month of August. The reprieve from the summer heat is coming to an end.
Reeves
Previous Discussion: /Saturday Morning Onward/
Upper level shortwave troughing and its accompanying diffuse upper low will stay planted atop the region through the weekend, allowing for the continuance of daily shower/storm chances and cooler temperatures through this weekend. Like the days before, best chances for precipitation will be during the afternoon hours, across East and Central Texas where the more abundant moisture content lies. Further north and west, the potential for precipitation is there, but will be more isolated in nature. Not everyone will receive rain on either day, but for those lucky ones that do, you can generally expect less than 1" underneath any one storm. However, high PWATs greater than 1.5" (up to 2" in East and Central Texas!) will allow for bouts of heavy rain. Isolated higher rainfall amounts of at least 1-1.5" would be plausible within any slow-moving storm. Severe weather is not expected with any of the weekend activity, though lightning will pose a threat to anyone outside who finds themselves near or under a storm.
Otherwise, expect another couple of days of below-normal high temperatures in the 80s and low 90s.
By the beginning of this upcoming week, the aforementioned upper low is progged to move northward and become re-absorbed into the overall mid-level flow. This will allow the longwave ridge out west to spread east across North and Central Texas throughout the week. Underneath the subsident airmass, expect warming temperatures and the end of any mentionable rain chances for the rest of the long term forecast period. Afternoon highs will gradually rise into the mid 90s to a few degrees above the century mark by midweek. Alongside those rising temperatures, continued increased humidity will push daily peak heat indices into Heat Advisory territory, ranging from 100-110 degrees. Expect a return of heat headlines as we go into the latter half of this upcoming week as summer returns in full fashion.
Prater
AVIATION
/NEW/ /00Z TAFs/
VFR and southeast flow will prevail this evening, although haze (due to lingering dust) over the western D10 airports may restrict slant range visibility to around 5 miles during sunset. A blanket of MVFR ceilings will move into D10 from the east tonight and linger through 16-18Z tomorrow. Cloud bases are most likely to hover between 1000-1200 ft, but there is a 30-40% chance of at least intermittent IFR between ~10-15Z. Also not mentioned in the TAFs is the 20% chance of isolated showers tomorrow morning and afternoon. Most of the precip should remain east of D10 and ACT, so we have no mentionable weather in the TAFs. Drier air will filter into the region tomorrow, allowing for the low-level ceilings to scatter by the mid-late afternoon.
Bonnette
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 74 91 75 93 78 / 5 20 0 10 5 Waco 73 89 73 90 75 / 10 20 5 20 5 Paris 70 86 72 89 74 / 20 30 10 20 10 Denton 72 92 73 95 76 / 5 10 0 5 5 McKinney 72 90 73 93 76 / 10 20 0 10 10 Dallas 74 91 74 93 77 / 10 20 0 10 5 Terrell 71 87 73 90 75 / 20 30 5 20 10 Corsicana 73 88 74 91 77 / 20 30 5 30 10 Temple 72 88 72 90 75 / 10 20 5 30 0 Mineral Wells 70 94 72 96 75 / 0 5 0 5 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KFTW FORT WORTH MEACHAM INTL,TX | 10 sm | 52 min | SSE 04 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 84°F | 66°F | 55% | 29.92 | |
KNFW FORT WORTH NAS JRB (CARSWELL FLD),TX | 10 sm | 53 min | E 06 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 88°F | 66°F | 49% | 29.93 | |
KAFW FORT WORTH ALLIANCE,TX | 11 sm | 52 min | ESE 06 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 88°F | 66°F | 49% | 29.92 | |
KDFW DALLASFORT WORTH INTL,TX | 24 sm | 52 min | ESE 09 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 84°F | 70°F | 62% | 29.91 | |
KLUD DECATUR MUNI,TX | 24 sm | 30 min | E 06 | 7 sm | Clear | 86°F | 64°F | 49% | 29.95 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNFW
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KNFW
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KNFW
Wind History graph: NFW
(wind in knots)Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,
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