Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Crooked Creek, GA

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

As the morning begins, the forecast area is situated underneath two 500 mb ridges, with the first one extending from the northeast Gulf coast towards Mid-Atlantic coast and the second one extending through the Great Plains. Meanwhile, a shortwave trough is moving across the Great Lakes region, with an associated surface low lifting through Maine towards the north Atlantic. A cold front trailing from the low is moving through Tennessee Valley.
However, as the parent low continues to move further way to the northeast, the front will lose its support and progressively weaken. Thus, precipitation is not expected in association with this front, and sensible impacts will be limited to increased upper level cloud cover and light winds shifting to NW this morning. The pattern will continue to advance eastward over the course of the day, with the ridge over the Great Plains setting up over the eastern CONUS along with another surface high pressure.
This ridge and associated surface high will promote dry conditions and warming temperatures through the weekend and into next week.
Low temperatures this morning are expected to be in the upper 40s to low 50s. High temperatures this afternoon will rise to between 8-15 degrees above seasonal normals, in the mid 80s across the majority of the area.

Minimum RH values this afternoon are expected to drop below 25% across the majority of the forecast area this afternoon. Even if RH only reach this critical threshold for a couple of hours in some locations, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for north and central Georgia until 8 PM EDT considering ongoing drought conditions and 10 hour fuel moisture values around 6-7%. On Sunday, low temperatures will begin in the mid to upper 50s with highs rising into the mid to upper 80s. Dewpoints will begin to rise as surface winds shift to southerly, though likely not quickly enough to rule out hazardous fire weather conditions once again given the climbing temperatures.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

As mentioned in the past few long term discussions, the pattern will continue to showcase warm and dry conditions through the end of next week. High pressure will continue to dominate the area with multiple impulses attempting to push into the area to the west, but ultimately failing to push past the ridging and high pressure over our area. With this models are indicated <10% chance of rain through the next Saturday with the only area that may see a sprinkle being extreme NW Georgia but that remains very unlikely at this time. High fire danger conditions will remain a little more marginal as we push into early next week as winds come in more from the S and SW which should push in just enough moisture to keep RHs in the 30-35% range instead of 20-25% range like this weekend. Either way, with dry conditions as well as drought conditions not expected to improve, fire danger will still be the main weather concern for the next 7 days. Temperatures will also warm to well above normal for this time of year with highs reaching up into the upper 80s to low 90s for much of the area. This will be 15-20 degrees above normal and will be approaching record criteria especially for Thursday into Friday next week. Our current forecast has temperatures above record temps which coincides with the CPC outlook that highlighted our area in much above normal temperatures.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 121 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail under mostly clear skies. Winds will be light (largely 5 kts or less) and variable, though direction will generally favor NW to NNW through 00Z. Near calm winds overnight will increase to 5-8 kts after 14-16Z Sunday from the SE to SSE.

//ATL Confidence
18Z Update
High confidence.

RW

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 85 54 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 85 58 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 80 52 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 84 54 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 86 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 84 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 85 55 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 86 53 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 85 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 86 55 87 57 / 0 0 0 0

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.