Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pilot Point, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 8:20PM Monday August 10, 2020 1:30 PM CDT (18:30 UTC) Moonrise 11:24PMMoonset 12:05PM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pilot Point, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 101807 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 107 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Tuesday/

The hot and dry weather continues across North and Central TX. The mercury is already showing low/mid 90s region-wide, and will reach upper 90s in the next couple of hours. At least, the ongoing breeze helps a little bit with the heat. Nevertheless, the "feel- like" temps will easily each the low 100s. Wind gusts in the 20-25 kt range will continue through the evening. Otherwise, a warm night with lows again in the upper 70s to low 80s (especially in the urban areas).

As mentioned in previous forecasts, a mid-level disturbance will travel southward across Oklahoma on Tuesday. While the best rain/storm chances will stay north of the Red River, we can't rule the possibility of a leftover outflow boundary slipping into our northeastern counties in the afternoon. Decided to keep PoPs in the 10-20% range across the far northern zones to account this potential. Temperature-wise, we're looking at another hot day with highs in the upper 90s, with a few spots hitting the 100s degrees.

Sanchez

LONG TERM. /Issued 243 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020/ /Tuesday Night and Beyond/

A mid/upper ridge will be anchored just west of the region at the start of the period while a shortwave rotates through the Arklatex area around its eastern flank. Ongoing convection associated with the disturbance may affect areas northeast of the Metroplex, where slight chance POPs will remain in place for Tuesday night. Most precipitation will remain northeast of the CWA away from the effects of the ridge. Flow aloft will not be overly strong, but the northwesterly wind direction and resulting hodograph actually produces a decent amount of deep layer shear for this time of year. Severe weather is unlikely, but a strong storm or two with gusty winds and frequent lightning cannot be ruled out.

The main story for the rest of the work week will be hot, humid and breezy conditions as the upper ridge gradually strengthens with time. Maximum heat indices between 104 and 108 degrees should be fairly widespread Wednesday through Friday, with the only mitigating factor being a persistent southerly breeze. Will also need to keep an eye on fire weather conditions west of I-35 each of these afternoons as minimum RH values drop below 30 percent during peak heating hours.

The ridge will drift a little farther west as we enter the weekend, allowing temperatures to drop a little closer to normal readings for August. This may also allow seabreeze convection to spread farther inland, and slight chance POPs will remain in place for Sunday afternoon for areas east of I-35 and south of I-20. Mid range guidance is hinting at perhaps some better rain chances for early next week resulting from disturbances dropping south through the Plains, but will wait for better run to run model consistency before significantly raising POPs at any point in the extended forecast.

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AVIATION. /NEW/ /18z TAFs/

Concerns . NONE

VFR cigs an breezy south winds are expected to continue across all TAF sites through the forecast period. Wind gusts in the 20-25 kt range will be possible through this evening. There is a chance that another round of scattered MVFR cigs may approach the Central TX counties Tuesday morning and impact the Waco TAF site. For now, opted to keep VFR cigs, as these low cigs would likely be short- lived (like we saw this morning). However, a TEMPO might be needed if confidence of MVFR occurring for a longer time period increases.

Sanchez

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 98 80 99 80 99 / 0 0 5 0 0 Waco 99 78 98 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 95 76 96 75 96 / 0 5 10 5 5 Denton 98 79 99 79 99 / 0 5 5 5 0 McKinney 98 79 98 79 99 / 0 5 5 0 0 Dallas 99 81 99 80 100 / 0 0 5 0 0 Terrell 97 78 99 77 100 / 0 0 5 0 0 Corsicana 97 77 98 77 98 / 0 0 5 0 0 Temple 98 77 99 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 99 78 100 76 101 / 0 0 5 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Denton Enterprise Airport, TX15 mi38 minS 12 G 2010.00 miFair93°F66°F41%1015.4 hPa
Gainesville, Gainesville Municipal Airport, TX23 mi56 minS 11 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F70°F53%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTO

Wind History from DTO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9
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1 day agoS11S13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.