Sunday, August18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pilot Point, TX

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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 8:12PM Sunday August 18, 2019 4:09 PM CDT (21:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:14PMMoonset 8:32AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pilot Point, TX
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location: 33.36, -97     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 182037
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
337 pm cdt Sun aug 18 2019

Discussion
A weak disturbance is moving through the southern plains this
afternoon where showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across parts
of eastern oklahoma and arkansas. There is a narrow band of low
level convergence that extends back toward wichita falls and a few
showers have tried to develop in that area over the last few hours
with little success. We'll continue to monitor our far northwest
counties through the peak heating of afternoon, but strong
subsidence associated with the mid level ridge will likely squash
any convective attempts. Farther east, puffy cumulus are spreading
through east texas with the effects of the upper ridge likely to
keep a lid on things in this area as well. Deeper mixing west of
i-35 has allowed dewpoints to fall into the lower 60s. Resulting
heat indices are just shy of 105, but we'll let the current heat
advisory remain in place through Monday as this boundary of deeper
mixing will shift back and forth a few counties through tomorrow.

The beginning of the work week will continue to be hot with highs
near 100 and little chance for rainfall as the persistent upper
ridge remains in place. As we get into the middle and latter part
of the week, there continues to be signs that the ridge will
flatten some and retreat westward. This will result in high
temperatures being 1-3 degrees cooler than they currently are.

Rainfall chances still look scant through the end of the week with
ensemble guidance keeping pops generally less than 20% into next
weekend. We'll have some low pops in for Thursday through the
nighttime hours to account for a weak disturbance which may
encounter some 2"+ pws through our eastern counties, but
otherwise the forecast will remain hot and dry.

Dunn

Aviation issued 1258 pm cdt Sun aug 18 2019
18z tafs
despite the wide variety of sensible weather splashed across the
map again today, a persistence forecast continues for north and
central texas.VFR conditions will prevail with south flow.

Broad ridging aloft remains south of our latitude, with
convection-inducing ripples in the mid-latitude westerlies to our
north. The latest impulse is taking a similar track to Saturday's,
but the midday updrafts on the southern end of the line are more
vigorous today. Although a few cells will skirt the red river, the
axis of lift will soon enter the cloudless zone downstream that
includes the dfw tracon. With surface dew points near 70f, the
lack of cumulus is evidence of considerable subsidence, which
should stifle any ambitious thermals this afternoon.

Later this afternoon, we'll turn our attention to west texas where
thunderstorms are likely to initiate on a dryline bulge ahead of a
cold front invading the texas panhandle. This activity may again
make a charge toward our northwest arrival corridor, but the
storms should remain well beyond the bowie cornerpost.

The sea breeze is active again in southeast texas, aided by an
unseasonably potent tropical conveyor. This moisture flux will
allow some of the activity to move develop deeper into east
texas, but subsidence to the west will keep any cells at a safe
distance from the cedar creek cornerpost. The moist advection will
continue overnight with a stratus intrusion similar to Saturday
night's. The veered flow within the cloud-bearing layer will once
again keep the bulk of the ceilings south and east of waco, but a
tempo for MVFR ceilings fl012-020 may be needed again around
daybreak Monday morning.

25

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 81 100 81 100 80 0 0 0 0 0
waco 79 99 78 100 78 0 0 0 0 0
paris 77 97 76 97 77 5 0 0 0 0
denton 79 100 78 100 79 5 0 0 0 0
mckinney 79 99 78 99 78 5 0 0 0 0
dallas 82 101 82 100 81 0 0 0 0 0
terrell 78 99 78 101 79 5 0 0 0 0
corsicana 79 99 78 98 77 0 0 0 0 0
temple 77 100 75 98 76 0 0 5 0 0
mineral wells 76 100 75 99 76 5 0 0 0 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories
Heat advisory until 7 pm cdt Monday for txz091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

91


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Denton Enterprise Airport, TX15 mi76 minS 1010.00 miFair97°F71°F43%1010.2 hPa
Gainesville, Gainesville Municipal Airport, TX23 mi94 minS 11 G 1810.00 miFair96°F70°F44%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTO

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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.