Monday, March8, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pilot Point, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 6:32PM Monday March 8, 2021 9:17 AM CST (15:17 UTC) Moonrise 3:54AMMoonset 1:54PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pilot Point, TX
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location: 33.36, -97     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 081128 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 528 AM CST Mon Mar 8 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ Update:

Current short term forecast is in good shape and only minor tweaks to temps/winds were made through Tuesday. A warming trend will continue through the first half of the week with temperatures climbing into the lower 70s today and mid 70s on Tuesday. Low level moisture will gradually increase through the period with clouds returning on Tuesday. Afternoon humidity around 30% combined with a steady southerly breeze will lead to an elevated grass fire threat today across North Texas.

Dunn

Previous Discussion: /Rest of Tonight through Tuesday Night/

A period of quiet weather will continue into early this week with gradually warming temperatures and some increased cloud cover. Broad high pressure over the eastern U.S. will continue to slowly shift eastward with time, allowing southerly winds to continue across North Texas. Flow will become somewhat zonal over the Rockies through Tuesday keeping a broad lee side low in place across eastern Colorado. This should help maintain a fairly tight pressure gradient in place across the Plains. We'll continue with breezy southerly winds both Monday and Tuesday.

High cloud cover will increase some later today, but we should generally maintain mostly sunny skies with highs in the lower 70s. Continued southerly low level flow will eventually allow lower clouds to spread northward across the region by Tuesday resulting in a mostly cloudy day. It will still be warm though with highs in the mid 70s.

The grass fire threat will continue, especially Monday where humidity will drop to around 30% across the region with breezy winds and warm temperatures. The increased cloud cover on Tuesday and higher humidity may temper this threat some.

Dunn

LONG TERM. /Issued 308 AM CST Mon Mar 8 2021/ /Wednesday Through Early Next Week/

Warm and breezy conditions will continue through mid to late week before a period of more active weather returns. Highs in the 70s to low 80s are expected both Wednesday and Thursday with lows in the 60s each night. Winds will be breezy, increasing to 15 to 25 mph each afternoon with an elevated fire weather threat expected near and west of US-281.

Chances for rain and storms will increase Wednesday night, with a few storms possible along the Red River. On Thursday, storm chances will shift near and east of I-35. There is fair agreement that steep lapse rates will be in place, potentially allowing a few storms to produce small hail and frequent lightning. The severe weather threat still appears low at this time, but we're continuing to monitor the potential very closely.

Friday will be another stormy day with rain chances expected area-wide as a shortwave approaches the region. A few strong to marginally severe storms may be possible throughout the day, particularly north of I-20 and west of I-35 where a few hundred Joules/kg of instability may exist. The primary threats will be hail and damaging winds.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue into the weekend with another cold front sweeping through the area on Saturday. There is still some disagreement in the progression of the upper low; However, it's possible that surface-based instability could develop ahead of the cold front on Saturday. Both the quantity and areal coverage of instability remains uncertain at this time, but it's worth checking back for updates throughout the week as models gradually come into better agreement. Otherwise, temperatures will return to seasonal values this weekend with the active weather pattern continuing into early next week.

Barnes

AVIATION. /NEW/ /12Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through late tonight with southerly winds 10 to 15 kt. Low clouds are expected to return by early Tuesday morning. We'll have MVFR cigs by 9Z at Waco and 11Z in the Metroplex. Breezy southerly winds will continue on Tuesday.

Dunn

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 71 54 74 60 77 / 0 0 0 0 5 Waco 71 53 75 60 79 / 0 0 0 0 5 Paris 68 49 71 56 73 / 0 0 0 0 10 Denton 71 53 74 59 77 / 0 0 0 0 5 McKinney 70 52 73 59 76 / 0 0 0 0 5 Dallas 71 54 75 61 77 / 0 0 0 0 5 Terrell 71 51 74 58 77 / 0 0 0 0 5 Corsicana 71 52 74 59 78 / 0 0 0 0 5 Temple 72 53 75 59 78 / 0 5 5 0 5 Mineral Wells 72 52 75 59 79 / 0 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Denton Enterprise Airport, TX15 mi25 minS 910.00 miFair56°F39°F53%1030.2 hPa
Gainesville, Gainesville Municipal Airport, TX23 mi43 minS 310.00 miFair49°F37°F65%1030.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTO

Wind History from DTO (wind in knots)
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SE10SE6SE6SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE5SE3CalmCalmS9
1 day agoNE444--E7
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5E7E11E6SE5SE6E5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3NW3CalmCalmS4
2 days ago3W9
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NE11N8N6N12N14N12N11N8N5N5CalmN3N4N4N4N33

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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