Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Alvord, TX
May 18, 2024 2:09 PM CDT (19:09 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:24 AM Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 3:08 PM Moonset 2:47 AM |
Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KFWD 181833 AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 133 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New Short Term, Aviation
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /This Weekend/
A quiet weekend with regard to rain chances, which will be NIL with mid level heights on the rise with an upper ridge building over the region. What it will be is very warm and humid, as sunny skies allow for maximum insolation. Unfortunately, a lot of the sun's energy will be used to to evaporate moisture from the soil and plentiful green vegetation (evapotranspiration). I have decided to undercut NBM guidance temperatures both this afternoon and again on Sunday by 2-3 degrees just solely for this reason, despite the synoptic set up supporting hotter temperatures.
Afternoon temperatures will still heat up to around 90 degrees and combine with elevated humidity values for heat index values into the mid 90s. Though not extremely oppressive, it still won't be the most pleasant outdoors during the peak heating of the afternoon through sunset. This will be reminder that the long dog days of summer are just around the next corner and will be here before we know it.
Southerly winds 5 to 10 mph tonight will hold low temperatures up around around 70 degrees around sunrise Sunday. Patchy fog and a brief window of low clouds through mid morning are anticipated once again across primarily Central Texas. Otherwise, a broad surface high over the Lower Mississippi Valley and low pressure along the lee of the Southern Rockies will help increase the surface pressures gradient across the Southern Plains on Sunday.
Proficient mixing by midday will also help increase southerly winds to between 10-15 mph with gusts exceeding 20 mph by early afternoon. This may provide a little relief from the very warm and humid conditions, but not by much. Dress lightly and if working or playing outdoors (whichever it may be) for any longer amount of time. Be sure to remain hydrated and occasionally take a break in the shade or in an air-conditioned vehicle or home to avoid overheating.
05/Marty
LONG TERM
/Issued 322 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024/ /Sunday through Friday/
Heat and humidity are the words that best describe the weather across North and Central Texas as we head into the new week. The upper ridge currently moving into the region will shift eastward on Sunday with zonal flow taking its place. This pattern will induce lee troughing across the Central High Plains which in turn will increase southerly winds across the region. Although the wind will help it feel not quite so stagnant, high temperatures Sunday through Tuesday will reach the upper 80s to the middle 90s.
Afternoon heat index values will approach triple digits across the western zones Sunday and Monday and for much of the forecast area on Tuesday. Lows will also be warm, ranging from the upper 60s to the lower 70s.
Low rain/storm chances are expected across the northern zones Tuesday night with the passage of a fast moving shortwave. Once the shortwave lifts into the Central Plains, a weak cold front will slide southward through the Southern Plains, stalling across Central Texas Wednesday night. Lift along the front, coupled with weak large scale ascent associated with the passage of a compact shortwave, will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Storms will increase in coverage on Thursday once the front lifts slowly northward. Instability and deep layer shear are progged to be sufficient to support strong to severe storms, but it is much too early to know exactly where and how strong storms will be.
Storms chances should briefly end on Friday once the front lifts north of the Red River and brief subsidence moves in behind yet another shortwave, but the arrival of another shortwave and cold front could produce additional showers and thunderstorms as we move into next weekend.
Temperatures will be a bit cooler the second half of the week due to more clouds, precipitation, and weak cold air advection; but once the front lifts back north of the region, above normal temperatures are expected.
79
AVIATION
/NEW/ /18z TAFs/
VFR. Sustained S winds around 5-10 kts, becoming 10-15 kts after after 15z Sunday with a few gusts > 20 kts. Brief low MVFR (or possibly IFR) cigs will be possible at KACT between 12z-15z Sunday, but won't last long.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 91 71 91 72 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 87 69 88 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 87 66 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 90 69 90 71 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 89 68 90 71 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 92 71 92 73 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 88 68 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 88 69 90 71 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 88 69 88 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 90 69 90 70 92 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 133 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New Short Term, Aviation
SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /This Weekend/
A quiet weekend with regard to rain chances, which will be NIL with mid level heights on the rise with an upper ridge building over the region. What it will be is very warm and humid, as sunny skies allow for maximum insolation. Unfortunately, a lot of the sun's energy will be used to to evaporate moisture from the soil and plentiful green vegetation (evapotranspiration). I have decided to undercut NBM guidance temperatures both this afternoon and again on Sunday by 2-3 degrees just solely for this reason, despite the synoptic set up supporting hotter temperatures.
Afternoon temperatures will still heat up to around 90 degrees and combine with elevated humidity values for heat index values into the mid 90s. Though not extremely oppressive, it still won't be the most pleasant outdoors during the peak heating of the afternoon through sunset. This will be reminder that the long dog days of summer are just around the next corner and will be here before we know it.
Southerly winds 5 to 10 mph tonight will hold low temperatures up around around 70 degrees around sunrise Sunday. Patchy fog and a brief window of low clouds through mid morning are anticipated once again across primarily Central Texas. Otherwise, a broad surface high over the Lower Mississippi Valley and low pressure along the lee of the Southern Rockies will help increase the surface pressures gradient across the Southern Plains on Sunday.
Proficient mixing by midday will also help increase southerly winds to between 10-15 mph with gusts exceeding 20 mph by early afternoon. This may provide a little relief from the very warm and humid conditions, but not by much. Dress lightly and if working or playing outdoors (whichever it may be) for any longer amount of time. Be sure to remain hydrated and occasionally take a break in the shade or in an air-conditioned vehicle or home to avoid overheating.
05/Marty
LONG TERM
/Issued 322 AM CDT Sat May 18 2024/ /Sunday through Friday/
Heat and humidity are the words that best describe the weather across North and Central Texas as we head into the new week. The upper ridge currently moving into the region will shift eastward on Sunday with zonal flow taking its place. This pattern will induce lee troughing across the Central High Plains which in turn will increase southerly winds across the region. Although the wind will help it feel not quite so stagnant, high temperatures Sunday through Tuesday will reach the upper 80s to the middle 90s.
Afternoon heat index values will approach triple digits across the western zones Sunday and Monday and for much of the forecast area on Tuesday. Lows will also be warm, ranging from the upper 60s to the lower 70s.
Low rain/storm chances are expected across the northern zones Tuesday night with the passage of a fast moving shortwave. Once the shortwave lifts into the Central Plains, a weak cold front will slide southward through the Southern Plains, stalling across Central Texas Wednesday night. Lift along the front, coupled with weak large scale ascent associated with the passage of a compact shortwave, will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Storms will increase in coverage on Thursday once the front lifts slowly northward. Instability and deep layer shear are progged to be sufficient to support strong to severe storms, but it is much too early to know exactly where and how strong storms will be.
Storms chances should briefly end on Friday once the front lifts north of the Red River and brief subsidence moves in behind yet another shortwave, but the arrival of another shortwave and cold front could produce additional showers and thunderstorms as we move into next weekend.
Temperatures will be a bit cooler the second half of the week due to more clouds, precipitation, and weak cold air advection; but once the front lifts back north of the region, above normal temperatures are expected.
79
AVIATION
/NEW/ /18z TAFs/
VFR. Sustained S winds around 5-10 kts, becoming 10-15 kts after after 15z Sunday with a few gusts > 20 kts. Brief low MVFR (or possibly IFR) cigs will be possible at KACT between 12z-15z Sunday, but won't last long.
05/Marty
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 91 71 91 72 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 87 69 88 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 87 66 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 90 69 90 71 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 89 68 90 71 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 92 71 92 73 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 88 68 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 88 69 90 71 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 88 69 88 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 90 69 90 70 92 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLUD DECATUR MUNI,TX | 10 sm | 14 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 86°F | 66°F | 52% | 29.88 | |
| KXBP BRIDGEPORT MUNI,TX | 15 sm | 14 min | SSE 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 88°F | 64°F | 46% | 29.88 |
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE