Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vincent, AL

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT WED APR 23 2025

Friday, a low pressure will move quickly to the east from the northern MS River Valley area, with a trailing boundary across areas just to the north of Alabama. At the same time, a broad high pressure system will be just to the southeast, over the southeast coast, allowing for plenty of southerly flow and moisture advection. This boundary will be draped across the state Saturday, and will allow for enough lift for mostly diurnal thunderstorms Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon, with a low chance for less coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the late night and early morning. PW values will be around max for this time of year, from 1.4 to 1.7 inches during this time, and instabilities will be between 1500 and 2000 J/kg. A few storms could be strong, with damaging winds, large hail, and frequent lightning the main threats. There is enough moisture that any thunderstorm will produce high rainfall rates, and any areas that receive training storms, or storms moving over the same area, could experience very localized flooding issues.

By Sunday, the low pressure should be off the east coast, with a high pressure moving to the southeast across the northeastern states. Models are really hanging on to less rainfall on Sunday with most of the convection to the north of the state, so have kept lowered rainfall chances in.

Through the beginning of the work week, models are diverging on rainfall coverage. While one model shows very little coverage with the high pressure to the northeast of the area suppressing any activity developing in the afternoon, other models hold on to activity each afternoon. With the PW values remaining max and low levels warming slowly through the week, will advertise a low chance for activity continuing through the beginning of the workweek.

24

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1217 PM CDT WED APR 23 2025

Scattered (40-60%) showers with at least isolated (30-50%)
thunderstorm activity will continue to affect the area through the rest of the afternoon. Expect TCL/BHM/EET to continue to be affected through 20z then increased potential for impacts at ASN/ANB while KMGM will have lowest potential but still worth mentioning in PROB30 groups. Overnight, shower potential will persist in the isolated (30-50%) form while thunderstorm potential will become too low to include. Expect similar conditions on Thursday compared to today as chances for showers and thunderstorms increase through the morning and peak during the mid to late afternoon hours.

05

FIRE WEATHER

A late spring/early summer like pattern is expected through the week with chances for showers and thunderstorms each day. RH values drop into the 35 to 40 percent range in the southeastern portions of Central Alabama at times, but remain above 40 percent elsewhere. Winds will generally remain in the 5-10 MPH range with occasional gusts to 20 MPH at times.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 60 81 60 84 / 50 60 40 60 Anniston 60 81 62 84 / 50 60 40 50 Birmingham 63 81 64 84 / 50 60 30 50 Tuscaloosa 63 82 63 85 / 50 50 20 50 Calera 62 81 64 84 / 50 50 30 40 Auburn 62 84 63 84 / 40 50 30 30 Montgomery 62 86 63 88 / 40 40 20 20 Troy 62 86 62 87 / 40 30 10 20

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.