Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Texarkana, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Upper-level trough axis moving across the ArkLaTex this morning will maintain mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain chances this afternoon across mainly North Louisiana and Deep East Texas where a diffuse frontal boundary remains nearly stalled. Some strong storms may be possible capable of producing small hail and gusty winds. With ample low-level moisture in place from previous rainfall, could see morning fog across portions of the region near daybreak.

A shortwave trough will dive southeast from the Central Plains on Sunday driving a surface front with it into the ArkLaTex. Surface dewpoints in the lower 70s combined with lowering heights aloft will allow for sufficient instability to generate thunderstorms during the afternoon when temperatures climb into the mid 80s in the warm sector ahead of the front. Storms to translate Southeast in the form of a convective complex from near the I-30 corridor near midday, reaching the lakes region of Deep East Texas near sunset. Additionally, an already established convective complex will shift east out of Central Texas providing another round of convection across mainly east and northeast Texas from mid- evening into the overnight hours on Sunday. Uncertainty in timing and location of these types of mesoscale complexes are inherent in this type of setup. At this time, the ArkLaTex is under a slight risk for severe thunderstorms on Sunday from either of these two convective complexes with mainly a large hail and damaging wind threat along with an isolated tornado threat.
Additionally, heavy rainfall will be possible with some storms.

Conditions are forecast to improve on Monday as upper-level northwest flow builds ahead of an approaching upper-level ridge that will become established across the region by Thursday.
Mostly clear skies are expected through the workweek with a gradual warming trend as highs on Friday are expected to range from lows in the mid to upper 60s and highs near 90. /05/

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 642 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Low clouds are continuing to move eastward, leaving most sites near or at VFR status. KMLU is likely to hang on to MVFR sigs as low clouds will spread back to the north and west overnight tonight. There is uncertainty on how far these clouds will travel, mostly for KTYR and KTXK, but eastern and southern sites could see IFR or lower conditions by daybreak tomorrow due to fog and cigs.
There are also significant uncertainties around rain/thunderstorms during this period. Some models are showing a first round of showers moving in from the northwest around 10/08z, mainly impacting KTXK and KELD. This could be followed by another line from the northwest around 10/16z. If the first round does verify, it could allow the second round to be SHRA rather than TSRA. But these models have been overproducing recently, and shouldn't be taken as gospel. Greater confidence exists for showers and thunderstorms coming in the afternoon hours, which will impact all sites at or soon after the end of this period. Winds are expected to be light/variable or calm for much of the period until the main line of thunderstorms move in. /57/



SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1109 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible through the day Sunday and even Sunday Night. Therefore, spotter activation may be required during this timeframe.

05

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 66 85 64 78 / 20 60 70 20 MLU 64 86 64 78 / 20 30 70 20 DEQ 61 80 58 77 / 30 70 50 10 TXK 65 84 61 77 / 20 70 70 10 ELD 62 84 60 76 / 20 60 60 20 TYR 67 84 64 77 / 20 70 70 20 GGG 66 85 64 77 / 20 70 70 20 LFK 68 88 67 79 / 20 30 70 30

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.