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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kennedy, AL

April 23, 2025 2:58 AM CDT (07:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:11 AM   Sunset 7:31 PM
Moonrise 3:40 AM   Moonset 3:00 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
   
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Area Discussion for Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 230545 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1245 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT WED APR 23 2025

"This is such a wonky pattern we're stuck in." - Me to my co- worker 15 minutes ago.

Truthfully, that is the best way to describe this short-term forecast: wonky. The stalled front continues to wash out due to a lack of any upper-level support, and will become quite diffuse by tomorrow morning. However, the region will remain disturbed, as a series of shortwaves embedded in the 500mb flow work their way east into the weekend. Because of this, showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast, fueled mainly by peak daytime heating. In fact, coverage of the afternoon convection will very much resemble the "popcorn" stuff we're used to seeing during the summer months. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible again today with the heaver pockets of convection, but this activity should be relatively spread out over the course of the afternoon.

Given the continued rain chances and cloud cover, no real climb in temperatures are expected, with afternoon highs still generally ranging in the low to mid-80s.

/44/

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 115 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2025

The wet pattern will continue through the end of the week. Highest rain chances will be across the north and generally through Saturday. Given the location of the front and additional heating this time of year, a few storms could be strong each day. We could see a break on Sunday, with only isolated convection possible during the peak heating of the day. The question will be in the strength of the high pressure over the Gulf and placement. A more centralized high pressure and we will be fairly dry. A more elongated high and we could see moisture stream in from the southwest.

16

Previous long-term discussion: (Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 134 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2025

A weak high pressure will develop across the western Atlantic, with a low pressure slowly developing over the northern MS River Valley Wednesday night through Friday. Between these two systems, south to southwesterly flow will set up an atmospheric river type formation with moisture advection prevailing. By Saturday afternoon, the low pressure will move east, trailing a boundary across areas just north of the state, with this boundary weakening with time. Behind this low, high pressure will settle over the Great Lakes region. This high will move southeast over the northeast and into the Atlantic by next work week. While this northern high moves east, a high pressure will strengthen over the Florida area, and drift slowly west. This will continue to put Alabama between the two systems with southerly flow and moisture advection.

Instabilities will be high each afternoon, with values up to 1500-2000 J/kg each day, with the higher values in the north and northwestern half of the state, closer to the boundaries and low pressure systems. PW values are expected to remain in the 90th percentile around 1.3-1.5 inches through the long term. Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are possible each afternoon, mostly with a more diurnal initiation, and activity lingering through the evening and into the night hours.

Saturday afternoon through the beginning of the next work week, chances for thunderstorms are much lower with uncertainty of how much forcing will be over the area. Depending on how far to the west the southern high pressure moves, the area could see a break in convection. Will leave lower thunderstorm chances for now and adjust with future forecast packages.

24

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT WED APR 23 2025

A thick cirrus deck is assisting in limiting the scope of lower clouds and fog from expanding across the region. However, MVFR CIGS should build in as the morning progresses. Thunderstorms will be possible again today, but far more scattered and "popcorn" in nature. Due to this lack in coverage confidence, limited the TS to PROB30 groups.

/44/

FIRE WEATHER

A late spring/early summer like pattern is expected through the week with chances for showers and thunderstorms each day. RH values drop into the 35 to 40 percent range in the southeastern portions of Central Alabama at times, but remain above 40 percent elsewhere. Winds will generally remain in the 5-10 MPH range with occasional gusts to 20 MPH at times.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 80 60 82 61 / 60 30 50 40 Anniston 79 60 82 62 / 50 30 50 40 Birmingham 79 62 82 64 / 50 20 50 30 Tuscaloosa 80 62 83 64 / 60 20 40 30 Calera 78 62 82 64 / 50 20 40 30 Auburn 81 63 82 64 / 40 20 50 30 Montgomery 82 62 85 62 / 40 20 40 20 Troy 83 62 86 62 / 40 10 30 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.


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