Phoenix, AZ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Phoenix, AZ

April 15, 2024 9:37 AM MST (16:37 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 7:01 PM
Moonrise 11:32 AM   Moonset 1:45 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Phoenix, AZ
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Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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FXUS65 KPSR 151144 AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 444 AM MST Mon Apr 15 2024

UPDATE
Updated Aviation Discussion.

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather with rapidly warming temperatures will be the main theme the next few days across the region. Readings near to slightly below normal today will quickly rise into an above normal category by the middle of the week as strong high pressure builds into the area.
These warm conditions will persist into the weekend with widespread daily highs in the 90s for lower elevation communities.

DISCUSSION
An expansive closed low has progressed into the Great Basin early this morning as jet energy translating to the eastern side of the trough will pull vorticity and height falls across northern Arizona/southern Utah over the next 24 hours. With below normal heights only skirting the forecast area, slightly cooler than normal temperatures will prevail just one more day before succumbing to building high pressure ridging. While the tightest pressure gradient and strongest winds will have already shifted into New Mexico today, some residual breeziness may linger over mountain areas of far eastern Gila County. Otherwise, modest midlevel height rises Tuesday on the trailing edge of the exiting trough axis will result in a 10F bump in temperatures.

Flat ridging will continue to build over the SW Conus through the middle of the week with H5 heights exceeding 582dm by Wednesday.
This will result in a prolonged period of 90F+ highs across lower elevations through the latter half of the week (and beyond). The magnitude of this warming phase is a bit more muted relative to previous guidance as ensembles now highlight more pronounced troughing settling over the northern Rockies while a number of low amplitude perturbations from the East Pacific aid in dampening ridge amplification. The greatest forecast change is the significantly reduced potential for 100F highs late week as latest NBM probabilities are now no higher than 10%. Nevertheless, aside from a couple innocuous shortwaves embedded in fast, progressive flow, forecast confidence is excellent depicting tranquil weather with above normal temperature prevailing through the weekend.

AVIATION
Updated at 1144Z.

South-Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:

No major aviation weather concerns are expected through the TAF period. Winds for the most part are expected to remain out of the west through this evening, with the only exception being KIWA where winds could briefly switch out of the south-southeast this morning.
Otherwise, another period of enhanced gusts upwards of 20-25 kts is expected during the early to mid-afternoon hours once again before subsiding by the early evening hours. Skies are expected to remain mostly clear through the period.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:

No aviation weather concerns are expected through the next 24 hours.
Winds will favor a W to NW component through the period at the terminals with periods of variability. Speeds will mostly remain light, primarily under 10 kts. Mostly clear skies will continue.

FIRE WEATHER
With dry weather prevailing, temperatures will rapidly warm into an above normal category during the latter half of the week. With these warmer temperatures, minimum afternoon humidity levels will dry into a 10-20% range with single digits common across lower desert locations. Overnight recovery will turn poor to fair in a 20-40% range. Somewhat lighter wind speeds with the typical afternoon upslope gustiness (20-25 mph) will preclude a greater fire danger and provide an excellent opportunity for prescribed burning during the middle of the week.

PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AZ...None.
CA...None.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KDVT PHOENIX DEER VALLEY,AZ 8 sm44 mincalm10 smClear57°F37°F47%29.98
KSDL SCOTTSDALE,AZ 10 sm44 mincalm10 smClear61°F36°F39%29.99
KGEU GLENDALE MUNI,AZ 11 sm42 minWSW 0610 smClear61°F37°F42%29.96
KPHX PHOENIX SKY HARBOR INTL,AZ 11 sm46 minvar 0410 smA Few Clouds63°F34°F34%29.97
KLUF LUKE AFB,AZ 16 sm42 minSSW 0910 smClear61°F37°F42%29.97
KGYR PHOENIX GOODYEAR,AZ 19 sm50 minSW 1210 smA Few Clouds61°F37°F42%29.99
KFFZ FALCON FLD,AZ 21 sm43 mincalm10 smClear61°F37°F42%29.98
Link to 5 minute data for KDVT


Wind History from DVT
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