Friday, September20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stuckey, SC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:17PM Friday September 20, 2019 12:46 PM EDT (16:46 UTC) Moonrise 10:23PMMoonset 11:51AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ256 Coastal Waters From Murrells Inlet To South Santee River Sc Out 20 Nm- 951 Am Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening...
Rest of today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers late this morning, then isolated showers early this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat..E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat night..E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..E winds 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue..NE winds 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 951 Am Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure dropping se in vicinity, will ease winds and wind- waves, but E swell will linger today. Improving marine conditions are expected through the weekend as winds remain light. Long period swell will remain part of the wave spectrum through the period, but wave heights will likely remain below advisory levels.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuckey, SC
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location: 33.6, -79.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 201513
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
1115 am edt Fri sep 20 2019

Synopsis
A gradual warming trend is expected in the days ahead with skies
remaining fair to partly cloudy, with very little chance of rain.

Update
No changes to the public forecast (as is typically the case in
weather this quiet). Verification schemes showing that both wna
and nwps wave guidance running about 1 ft too low. The very near
term forecast has been adjusted accordingly. At this time it
does not appear that this will require extending SCA further in
time.

Near term through Saturday
Vertical azimuth display winds in shallotte, clocked off the kltx 88-
d measuring NE 25 kt at 1000 feet, and this to hold through morning.

The relatively large land-sea temperature differential is resulting
in a stationary land-breeze boundary offshore. As oceanic moisture
obliquely encounters this boundary, a few marine showers are likely
to pop up, but will mostly dissipate after departing the convergence
zone, or pass south and east of the santee river entrance of NE sc.

As the core of high pressure migrates SE today, low-level winds will
veer to e-ese in afternoon, resulting in maritime moisture flux over
land, and probably a few cumulus, otherwise fair today with plenty
sunshine minutes to rack-up. Since moisture depth will not reach
much above 2500 feet through Saturday, probabilities of pcpn will
remain too low for inclusion, with exception, dotting sea showers.

A decent warm-up today 2-5 degrees warmer than yesterday, mostly low
80s, near 80 beaches, ever slightly cooled by inshore water temps
and a veering wind today. Saturday max-t similar or a degree or 2
warmer, as an easy onshore flow prevails with oceanic moisture and
clouds producing cumulus, moderating temperatures a little bit.

Short term Saturday night through Sunday night
High pressure will slowly shift farther off the nc coast sat
night through Sun night. Light return flow around the base of
the high will produce an onshore to southerly flow. This
increasingly moist flow will nudge dewpoint temps up a bit and
therefore expect overnight lows a bit warmer heading into early
next week. The ridge aloft will continue to extend up into the
carolinas form the southwest producing plenty of dry air and
subsidence aloft. Some moisture may get stuck under inversion
sun night, but overall expect fair and dry weather with temps
near or slightly above normal.

Long term Monday through Thursday
The ridge gets suppressed slightly farther south on Monday
while mid to upper trough swings across the great lakes. This
will pick up jerry as it moves north well east of the carolina
coast Mon into tues. It will also push the tail end of a front
into the carolinas, but the ridge aloft will build back up from
the south helping to suppress any pcp. Therefore, expect mainly
just a few clouds possible and a slight increase in southerly
winds ahead of it Mon night into tues and brief wind shift to
the w-nw as high pressure builds in behind it. This westerly
downslope flow should help to push high temps up a bit on tues.

Overall, expect upper ridge and sfc high to dominate the weather
through much of the period with no pcp in sight. It will be
increasingly more humid with temps above normal through much of
next week.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Vfr this TAF cycle. Northeast winds this morning, becoming
southeasterly this afternoon with the resultant boundary. Light
winds tonight with some ground fog possible. Will add some MVFR fog
at flo. Saturday, light winds with fair weather cumulus forming
around late morning.

Extended outlook... PredominatelyVFR, with brief periods of morning
fog possible. Chance of showers on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Marine
E swell brought to you by a departing humberto is maintaining
elevated seas, and gusty NE winds are still chopping on these long
period waves, making for hazardous marine conditions this morning,
especially outer waters. Trends however, point to improvement on the
waters, as both winds and easterly swell abate. Thus it is possible
after many days, that advisory flags may be lowered sometime today.

By Saturday we are expecting the E swell to fade, replaced by low
amplitude fore-runner waves from hurricane jerry perhaps late on
Saturday. In the mix Saturday, SE waves 1-1.5 feet every 7-8 seconds
and a light onshore chop, manageable, so look out fishes!
high pressure will shift farther off the hatteras coast on mon.

A weak and dry front will approach from the NW Mon night into
tues while jerry passes by well east of the waters. This should
kick s-sw winds up a bit late Mon and should swing winds around
to a more off shore direction on tues. Seas in the 2 to 3 ft
range on Sun should increase slightly late Mon into tues, but
overall expect seas in the 2 to 4 ft range with front-running
swell energy from jerry reaching into the waters.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for scz054-
056.

Nc... High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz106-
108-110.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for amz250-
252-254-256.

Synopsis... Ilm
update... mbb
near term... Mjc
short term... Rgz
long term... Rgz
aviation... 43
marine... Mjc rgz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 22 mi62 min NE 14 73°F 1025 hPa62°F
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 28 mi47 min 73°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Georgetown County Airport , SC21 mi52 minENE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F59°F57%1026.4 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC23 mi72 minE 67.00 miFair75°F57°F54%1026.4 hPa
Kingstree Williamsburg Regional Airport, SC24 mi52 minNNE 37.00 miFair77°F53°F44%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGGE

Wind History from GGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7
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E7NE9NE8NE4N3NE5NE7NE8NE9NE6NE4N4CalmN4N3N6N8N9NE9
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1 day agoE5E5NE6E6N5NE4NE6N3NE8NE9NE6NE4NE7N6N4N6N6N6N6N3NE12NE13
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2 days agoE5SE7SE6SE6SE7SE6CalmCalmE4E3E3NE8NE7NE6N5NE7NE6NE7NE10
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G19
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Tide / Current Tables for Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina
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Rhems
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Fri -- 12:25 AM EDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:37 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:35 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.41.61.71.81.81.81.71.51.31.1111.11.41.71.92.12.121.91.81.6

Tide / Current Tables for Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina
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Mt. Pleasant Plantation
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:15 AM EDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:36 AM EDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:28 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:13 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.51.61.81.91.91.81.61.41.21111.11.51.822.12.121.91.81.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.