Saturday, February29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bucksport, SC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 6:13PM Saturday February 29, 2020 2:16 AM EST (07:16 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 11:44PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 105 Am Est Sat Feb 29 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 am est early this morning...
Rest of tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot, then 2 ft after midnight.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft.
Wed..SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ200 105 Am Est Sat Feb 29 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Gusty winds early this morning in wake of a dry cold front moving offshore. Canadian high pressure will build overhead on Sunday, moving offshore Monday. A cold front will approach from the west Tuesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bucksport, SC
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location: 33.65, -79.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 290539 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1239 AM EST Sat Feb 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cool and dry weather will continue through the weekend in wake a dry cold front. Canadian high pressure will build overhead Sunday, moving offshore Monday, bringing warmer and more humid weather. A cold front will approach from the west Tuesday night with dry weather expected toward the end of the upcoming week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. Gusty S-SW winds ahead of a cold front will veer around to the west into tonight as cold front moves farther offshore. The higher winds this evening should help to keep the temps up a bit and then a fairly decent deck of clouds between 5 and 10k ft should move over area late evening into early overnight hours associated with cold front. May see a stray shower running by mainly just north of local area close to Marlboro or Robeson NW county lines. Skies should clear and winds should diminish toward morning before a secondary push moves through Sat morning. This may allow temps to drop out near daybreak a bit, but overall expect lows in the mid 30s most places.

Winds may actually back a bit ahead before a deep W-NW flow develops through Saturday as mid to upper trough axis shifts offshore and high amplitude ridge, extending up from the GOM to the Great Lakes, begins to shift eastward. The ridge axis will run up through the Southeast just west of local area by Sun morning. CAA will fight against the sunshine on Saturday to bring temps just into the 50s once again. The gusty NW winds will make it feel cooler. As the high shifts closer, gusty NW winds Sat aftn will diminish allowing for more ideal radiational cooling once again on Sat night. A hard freeze may occur across many places inland by early Sun morning with lows in the mid 20s. Temps will be closer to freezing or just above as you move closer to the coast. It will be very dry with dewpoints below 20 in many places and pcp water values down near .15 inches by Sat evening.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. The mid-level deep trof over the FA Sat will have progressed off the coast and well offshore at the start of this time period. This leaves relatively zonal flow aloft during this period resulting in progressive sfc features. Specifically, cold high pressure centered overhead Sun, will push off the Southeast U.S. coast Sun night and to well offshore Mon thru Mon night. Cold temps Sun will moderate Sun night thru Mon night with readings climbing 5 to 10 degrees above normal Mon thru Mon night. This a result of mild return flow on the backside of the high advecting across the FA. Well inland, along and west of the I-95 corridor, models indicate low chance Pops for light rain or showers as a warm front lifts north across the FA.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Mild to borderline warm conditions will occur Tue thru Wed as warm air advection rules. The mid-level flow to amplify across the Central and Eastern U.S. An upper ridge will affect the SE US States with it's axis extending north from Cuba on Tue. For Wed, this upper ridge axis pushes east of the FA which then opens up Gulf of Mexico moisture along with additional WAA. Will see widespread 70s for Tue highs and again for Wed highs. GFS MOS guidance has 80s for highs across portions of the FA on Wed. But did not buy that this far out in time and therefore stuck closer to the cooler European MOS guidance. It's during the Wed thru Thu time-line where GFS and European paint differing solutions for POPs, temps and the next CFP. Will stay closer to the more progressive GFS sfc and upper level features which has the sfc CFP slated Wed evening and off the coast Thu morning. Have opted to cap POPS around a max of 50 percent due to model differences. Enough dynamics will be avbl to produce thunder with instability, the avbl fuel, being in question. Breezy and gusty SW winds are expected to develop Wed ahead of the approaching cold front. This will be followed with gusty NW winds after FROPA Wed night and continuing thru Thu as a tightened sfc pg and excellent CAA combine.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR this TAF cycle. In wake of a dry cold frontal passage, a W-WNW wind to prevail, highest in afternoon associated with diurnal mixing, gusts to 17 kt in early to middle afternoon should be expected. Winds diminishing noticeably aft 01z, mainly SKC anticipated tonight.

Extended Outlook . VFR will dominate through early week with high pressure and dry air. Flight restrictions possible into midweek as the next frontal system approaches.

MARINE. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect beginning this evening in increasing SW to W winds associated with cold front.

Gusty SW winds will increase up to 15-20 kts ahead of a dry cold front. Winds just along the coast backed to the S in a weak sea breeze. Winds will continue to increase as they back around to the west toward midnight as front moves moves farther off the coast. Winds should kick up to 20 to 25 kts at this time. winds will occur as the front pushes offshore. West winds will slowly diminish toward morning and may back a bit before deep NW flow develops as deep cold and dry high pressure builds in heading into Saturday. The stiff NW flow will subside as high pressure moves closer overhead Sat night. Seas less than 3 ft this afternoon will build up to 3 to 5 ft by this evening with some 6 fters possible in outer waters. Seas will drop again Sat night into Sun as winds drop off.

Benign marine conditions expected Sun into Mon as the center of high pressure overhead Sun, slides off the Carolina Coasts and offshore Sun night thru Mon. Winds variable in direction 10 kt or less Sun will become S to SW Sun night thru Mon at 10 to 15 kt speeds. Could observe isolated showers late Mon into Mon night with the majority of the pcpn remaining inland. The sfc pg will tighten Mon night thru Tue as the high moves further offshore, with SW winds around 15 kt or 15 to 20 kt. An eastward moving cold front will cross the Appalachians late Tue night, and accelerate to and off the Carolina Coasts Wed Evening and overnight. The sfc pg will further tighten Tue night thru Wed with SW winds increasing to above SCA thresholds along with gusts up to Gale Force, especially late Wed as the cold front pushes closer. The CFP is slated for Wed night along with gusty NW winds at SCA levels in it's wake. Showers and an isolated tstorm will accompany the CFP.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST early this morning for AMZ250-252-254-256.



SYNOPSIS . 8 NEAR TERM . RGZ SHORT TERM . DCH LONG TERM . DCH AVIATION . Colby MARINE . DCH/RGZ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 10 mi47 min 46°F
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 21 mi92 min WNW 2.9 49°F 1018 hPa33°F
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 35 mi69 min WSW 14 G 19 48°F 54°F1018.1 hPa
41119 35 mi177 min 55°F3 ft
SSBN7 35 mi25 min

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Myrtle Beach International Airport, SC9 mi81 minWNW 910.00 miFair46°F30°F56%1018.4 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC12 mi1.7 hrsW 310.00 miFair45°F30°F57%1018.3 hPa
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC23 mi84 minW 410.00 miFair47°F30°F52%1017.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMYR

Wind History from MYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W7W7W8NW3NW5NW65SE7S7S11S14S10W16
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1 day agoW9W12W11W12W12W13
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2 days agoSE3CalmW5SW4W6S6S6S73SW10S6S8S8SW9SW9W7S6S9S11W15
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Tide / Current Tables for Bucksport, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Bucksport
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:25 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:19 AM EST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:43 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:12 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:35 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:43 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.522.22.221.71.30.90.70.50.60.91.31.71.921.81.61.30.90.60.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Wachesaw Landing, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Wachesaw Landing
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:13 AM EST     2.63 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:23 AM EST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:04 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:31 PM EST     2.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:12 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:39 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:43 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.42.62.62.31.91.510.70.50.611.62.12.32.32.21.91.510.70.40.40.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.