Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Caswell Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:38PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 12:19 PM EST (17:19 UTC) Moonrise 9:37AMMoonset 9:13PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 919 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Rest of today..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Wed..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
Wed night..NE winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot, then 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers through the day.
Fri..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
Sat..NW winds 10 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers through the day.
AMZ200 919 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure builds into the region today through Wednesday. Low pressure will move off the georgia coast Wednesday night and bring unsettled weather to the area. A ridge of high pressure extends across the carolinas from the northeast Thursday, before a low pressure system affects the area late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Caswell Beach, NC
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location: 33.9, -78.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 281625 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1127 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Seasonable temperatures will dominate the Eastern Carolinas for much of this work week. Another quick moving system will bring a few showers early Thursday followed by a stronger system and better chance of rain later in the period.

UPDATE/. No changes to the forecast at this time.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Dry and quiet wx expected through the near term period as high pressure builds into the area from the W. Not much in the way of cloud cover today/tonight, as the entire column will be quite dry. Exception is Wed, when moisture increases around 700-500 mb ahead of a mid-level shortwave trough. Better moisture and lift will hold off until after the daytime period, so just advertising a dry forecast with increasing clouds Temps will be near normal. highs mainly in the mid 50s both days, with lows tonight in the low/mid 30s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. A quick moving mid level system will bring a chance of showers to the area for the short term period. The track is somewhat to the south and the higher pops reside in our South Carolina counties. No thunder is anticipated in our area with the system as well. Lows Thursday morning will be muted somewhat with the moisture in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Some insolation Thursday will match odds with modest cold air advection with highs in the 50s. Finally Friday morning will see middle 30s or so.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Still no model consensus on the system to affect the area late week into the weekend. The GFS remains the slower of the guidance with a later phasing system while the ECMWF is much more progressive and weaker with the mid level trough. Really the only changes made to this mornings forecast were to trim back pops incrementally late Saturday as even the slower GFS is a little faster. The temperature forecast remains intact with near seasonal values for the most part with a fairly decent warmup early next week without any significant cold air advection in the system's wake and prospects for a building ridge.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Expect northerly winds this afternoon, with an increasing temp/dpt spread. Winds will diminish tonight, with some ground fog possible around 10Z. VFR Wednesday with a northeast wind.

Extended Outlook . Potential for MVFR conditions associated with rain chances Wednesday night, as a disturbance moves eastward across SC. More showers possible late Friday, otherwise VFR expected.

MARINE. Benign marine conditions continue through mid week as sfc high pressure slowly builds in from the W. ~15 kt NW winds this morning will drop to 5-10 kt this aftn, continuing at that magnitude tonight into Wed while slowly veering to the NE. Seas 1-3 ft due to weak wind waves and a 1 ft 10-11 second easterly swell.

A northeast flow will prevail across the waters for several days or at least until a front moves across this weekend with a westerly flow in its wake. Wind speeds aren't overwhelming with the highest values, on the upper end of a 10-15 knot range occurring Thursday. Significant seas will be representative of these wind fields with a range of 2-4 feet. There remains a possibility of a window of small craft seas late in the period depending on the evolution of the what is currently a low confidence system.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . SHK NEAR TERM . MAS SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . 43 MARINE . MAS/SHK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41108 13 mi49 min 53°F2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 21 mi71 min N 7.8 G 12 47°F 53°F1016.5 hPa
41119 22 mi29 min 53°F1 ft
SSBN7 22 mi27 min 1 ft
WLON7 24 mi49 min 54°F 51°F1015.2 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi39 min 53°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 26 mi71 min NNE 9.7 G 14 47°F 53°F1015.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi49 min 49°F 52°F1014.7 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 37 mi29 min N 14 G 18 50°F 64°F4 ft1015.1 hPa38°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi71 min NNE 16 G 21 47°F 60°F1016.2 hPa
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 47 mi49 min 50°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC2 mi24 minNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy51°F32°F48%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW4SW9SW9
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W8W8W7CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW3W3W6W5W6W8SW5
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W6W4W3W4W4W5W5W7NW5NW8NW3NW4N4CalmNW3NW4N6N5W5

Tide / Current Tables for Yaupon Beach, North Carolina
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Yaupon Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:07 AM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:44 AM EST     4.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:39 PM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:54 PM EST     4.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.51.40.50.10.31.12.33.34.24.74.84.33.42.21.10.30.20.71.72.83.64.14.34

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Fear, North Carolina
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Cape Fear
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:28 AM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:50 AM EST     4.38 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:00 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:00 PM EST     3.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.51.50.60.10.10.81.82.83.74.24.443.32.31.20.40.10.51.32.33.23.73.93.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.