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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 317 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers likely, mainly this evening with vsby 1 nm or less.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A slight chance of tstms in the evening. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon, then becoming w. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 317 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Scattered showers over the coastal waters continue through the weekend. Conditions improve into early next week behind cold front moving through the area on Sunday.

FXUS62 KILM 022035 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 335 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

SYNOPSIS
Unseasonably warm and damp weather will continue through Sunday.
A cold front should sweep this moisture offshore Sunday night.
Cooler and drier weather is expected Monday into Tuesday, then turning colder Wednesday and Thursday behind a second cold front. High pressure should reach the Carolinas by Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
A cold front will approach the area from the west through the period, bringing a chance for showers. However, it looks like the best upper support and instability will be south and east of the area so rainfall amounts should be light. Lows tonight should fall to the lower 60s with highs Sunday in the mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low pressure will track off to New England Sun night dragging a cold front through the area and offshore. A deeper westerly flow will develop with plenty of drier air moving in through the low to mid levels initially. Some higher level moisture will hang around into Monday, but soundings show a considerable dry layer up to 16 to 18k or so. Pcp water values drop to less than a quarter of an inch by Mon morning. Cooler air will start to advect in Sun night as the front moves offshore, but deeper drying and cooling will come with passage of shortwave late Monday. Temps will drop down near 50 by Mon morning and will mainly stay in the 60s on Mon for highs in continued CAA. Mon night will completely clear out with temps dropping down near 40 for lows most places. Tues will continue dry and cool with temps right near normal with highs near 60.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Dry and cool weather will continue, but a shortwave will dig down pushing a cold front eastward through the area Tues eve into Wed morning. May see some passing mainly mid to high clouds late Tues into Wed with passing of cold front and shortwave.
This will bring a reinforcing shot of cold and dry air as high pressure builds in from the west Wed into Thurs. Temps will probably be in the mid 50s for highs Wed and Thurs under sunny skies with overnight lows down near freezing or below in spots.
High pressure will migrate across the Southeast reaching off the coast by Fri afternoon. This will begin a warming trend as winds come around to the SW bringing high temps back into the 60s Fri into the weekend. Overall, not expecting any pcp through the week with a cool start and warming into the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
All sites now have VFR cigs though CRE has MVFR vsby. Generally expect VFR to continue outside any showers into evening but do expect cigs to lower again to IFR overnight. CIGS should be slow to lift again aft 12Z Sun. Winds will begin to pick up toward the end of the valid taf period as the area begins to feel the approaching front more directly.

Extended Outlook...Periods of low clouds and showers may bring additional restrictions at times through the remainder of the weekend. VFR should return Monday and persist through at least mid-week.

MARINE
Through Sunday...Light S winds tonight will become SW at 10 to 15 KT Sunday with higher gusts. Seas will run 3 to 4 FT.

Sunday night through Thursday...Winds will veer around from SW to W late Sun into Mon as passing cold front moves farther offshore. Gusty W to NW winds will develop late Mon as deeper drier and cooler air moves over waters. Seas on a downward trend initially with help of offshore flow will kick up a bit late Mon in increasing winds, but overall expect seas in the 2 to 4 ft range through most of the early to midweek period. Another cold front will move through Tues night with winds backing a bit to the west ahead of it and increasing up to 15 to 20 kts behind it Wed into Wed night. This could produce brief small craft advisory conditions late Wed before diminishing in subsiding winds as they back around with high pressure tracking across the Southeast on Thurs.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Southport
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Sat -- 05:05 AM EST     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:23 AM EST     4.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:34 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:49 PM EST     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:55 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:49 PM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Southport, Cape Fear River, North Carolina, Tide feet

Cape Fear
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Sat -- 04:26 AM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:50 AM EST     4.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:33 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:10 PM EST     0.89 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:55 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:16 PM EST     3.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Fear, North Carolina, Tide feet

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