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Marine Weather and Tides Varnam, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:02AM

Sunset 8:29PM

Thursday July 2, 2020 5:24 PM EDT (21:24 UTC)

Moonrise 5:11PM

Moonset 2:45AM

Illumination 92%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Varnam, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 021905 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 305 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening. Weak high pressure will build in from the north for the weekend with lower chances of rainfall. Unsettled conditions will return for the start of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A weak cold front is dipping south across South Carolina this afternoon. Thunderstorms have developed along the front, particularly near the coast where the synoptic front intersects today's seabreeze boundary. Surface based CAPE over 2500 J/kg along and ahead of the front should ensure convection will continue through sunset while slipping slowly southward. An unimpressive cumulus field across North Carolina on visible satellite imagery confirms what model K-index analysis shows with drier and more stable air advecting in from the north. This should give us a dry overnight period under mainly clear skies and lows around 70 degrees.

Precipitable water values will fall from 1.8 to 1.2 inches on Friday mainly due to decreasing vertical depth of moisture. Even with temps Friday afternoon expected to exceed 90 degrees inland it's doubtful any deep convection will develop due to increasingly warm, dry conditions aloft. Today's front should stall out across Georgia with a very weak ridge building across the Carolinas Friday.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. A dry northwest flow will continue for most of Saturday but late in the day guidance is showing some convection associated with a back door cold front. Will maintain the low chance pops with this feature. For Sunday another round of convection is expected as whats left of the feature pushes south and west somewhat similar to what is transpiring today. As usual this time of year severe threat is always in play but due to lack of shear rainfall is probably more of a concern. The only trend in temperatures is one of slightly cooler readings Sunday in what can be attributed to the front and a weaker mid level downslope flow.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As would be expected in the depths of summer not a lot of forcing expected through the period. The chances of thunderstorms increase in time however as a broad mid level low or weakness if you will will tend to meander toward the southeast from the lower Mississippi Valley. Pops reflect this evolution with higher values during the daytime hours. As for temperatures, you should know the story by now, highs in the middle to upper 80s and lows in the steamy 70s.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Scattered showers and t-storms are developing mainly along a cold front moving slowly southward across northern South Carolina, and along the seabreeze front moving inland from the beaches. At Florence (KFLO) the front will be moving south across the airport around 18Z, with convective potential diminishing later in the day. At the two Myrtle Beach airports (KMYR and KCRE) the seabreeze front has moved through, however storms developing just inland could dip back across the front toward the coast, and temporary thunderstorm conditions are forecast here.

Convection will tend to diminish after sunset. Wouldn't be surprised to see patchy fog again before sunrise Friday, most of it MVFR, with a few pockets of IFR. Fog clears out not long after sunrise, leaving sunny skies and VFR conditions through the end of the TAF period.

Extended Outlook . Isolated showers and thunderstorms Friday through the upcoming weekend. Stormy afternoon and evenings possible into early next week. Early morning MVFR/IFR conditions possible from fog and low stratus.

MARINE. A cold front is slipping southward along the South Carolina coastline and should move into Georgia by late tonight. Slow moving heavy thunderstorms developing where this front intersects this afternoon's seabreeze may continue through the evening hours south of Cape Fear. Light northeast winds will overspread the area from north to south behind the front tonight, continuing into Friday morning. A small area of high pressure moving off the Georgia and South Carolina coast Friday will veer directions southeasterly during the afternoon, then southwesterly Friday night, with speeds remaining light. Seas should average 2 feet mainly in a 9-second southeast swell.

A weak pressure pattern will lead to light winds across the waters basically through the short and long term periods. The sea breeze seems to have the most influence with a southeast flow much of the time. Wind speeds will be ten knots or less as well. Significant seas lacking any significant swell component will hover around two feet.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ107. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . SHK NEAR TERM . TRA SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . TRA/IGB MARINE . TRA/SHK

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41119	14 mi	68 min			82°F	2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	14 mi	77 min	ESE 5.8 G 12	79°F	82°F		1011.6 hPa
41108	21 mi	55 min			82°F	2 ft
WLON7	25 mi	55 min		84°F	80°F		1011.4 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	31 mi	55 min		82°F	82°F		1011.1 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	32 mi	77 min	E 9.7 G 14	80°F	83°F		1011.2 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	32 mi	48 min			83°F	2 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	40 mi	55 min		78°F
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy	46 mi	35 min	SSE 1.9 G 1.9	81°F	82°F	2 ft	1010.6 hPa	73°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	48 mi	77 min	ENE 7.8 G 12	80°F	83°F		1011.8 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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N27 G41

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC	11 mi	30 min	ESE 4	10.00 mi	Fair	84°F	73°F	71%	1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Holden Beach, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point), North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (17,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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