Monday, April6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Varnam, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:38PM Monday April 6, 2020 12:24 AM EDT (04:24 UTC) Moonrise 5:10PMMoonset 5:14AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 1219 Am Edt Mon Apr 6 2020
Rest of tonight..SW winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers with isolated tstms.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers with isolated tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of showers with isolated tstms in the evening.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1219 Am Edt Mon Apr 6 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will drop off the southeast coast, bringing sw winds to the local waters. Low pressure passing north of the area will bring moderate west winds Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front will cross the waters late Thursday, bringing nw winds into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Varnam, NC
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location: 33.96, -78.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 060150 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 950 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. Temperatures will climb in the days ahead, as high pressure off the coast, circulates warm air and increasing humidity into the region. An upper level disturbances will bring isolated showers and storms Monday and Tuesday. A cold front will arrive late on Thursday, bringing cooler air into the Carolinas.

A new coastal flood advisory was issued for the lower Cape Fear for Sunday moring, and this to become the trend in the upcoming high tide cycles, no other changes.

Few modifications needed to the forecast grids early this Sunday evening, return wind flow will bring very slow, and limited falls in temperatures overnight, holding up in the 50s, above climatology for early April. Absolute humidity will increase about the region into Monday and gradual dewpoint rises are expected. The wind overnight should hold off most fog, and maximum RH may only reach 90% in many areas, not quite reaching critical values to trip off mist growth. 10-meter winds will remain steady overnight, around 5 knots, increasing Monday morning as diurnal mixing overspreads the area.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Expect fair weather tonight as high pressure shifts off the coast. A cold front approaching from the north could spawn scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening. Coverage looks limited though. Lows tonight will be in the lower to middle 50s. Highs Monday will be in vicinity of 80 with lows Monday night around 60.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Isolated showers and storms will still be tough to rule out Tuesday during peak heating. At this time forecast soundings are showing the CAPE could approach 1500J/Kg. SC will have the higher chances being closer to the weak mid level impulses crossing overhead in WNW flow. Afternoon highs will wind up close to 80 away from the beaches where a cooling sea breeze will develop.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Steep low level lapse rates remain on Wednesday but mid to upper level drying will aim to keep the area rain-free even as afternoon temps warm into the mid 80s (again cooler at beaches/immediate coast). This warmth remain on Thursday and models have stayed surprisingly rain-free despite the late day arrival of a moderate cold front. Thereafter the forecast will be pretty seasonable in a dry NW to WNW flow aloft.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. VFR, a little wind overnight should prevent widespread fog concerns, but isolated pockets are likely in areas protected by wind. Easing SE to S winds this evening becoming SW Monday morning and increasing 6-9 knots, with SW gusts up 21 kt between 20z-23z. The wind Monday evening will prevent mist late in the TAF cycle.

Isolated TSTMs possible between 20z-02z, coverage limited by dryness, but moderately high convective energy will be present and aviators should expect to see CB towers by late afternoon on Monday.

Extended Outlook . Flight restrictions, isolated, possible late Monday, but more likely on Tuesday. Flight restrictions lift mid-week, and look clear through the rest of the week.

MARINE. Light winds this afternoon will become South tonight and remain S to Sw through the rest of the period at 15 KT or less. Seas will run 2 to 4 FT.

High pressure will be located offshore on Tuesday bringing a southwesterly flow of 10-15kt range. Not much appears to change on Wednesday with respect to wind and waves even as a weak inland trough develops. A healthy cold front is expected later Thursday but the flow aloft will not be too favorable for much of an increase in winds but it will bring a sharp windshift.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 AM to 11 AM EDT Monday for NCZ107. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . MJC NEAR TERM . RAN SHORT TERM . Bacon LONG TERM . mbB AVIATION . Colby MARINE . RAN/Bacon


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41119 14 mi94 min 63°F2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 14 mi76 min SSW 5.8 G 5.8 63°F 63°F1019.5 hPa
41108 21 mi54 min 63°F2 ft
WLON7 25 mi54 min 57°F 64°F1019.3 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 31 mi54 min S 2.9 G 4.1 62°F 63°F1018.8 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi76 min S 3.9 G 5.8 62°F 62°F1019.2 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 32 mi44 min 62°F2 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 40 mi54 min 63°F
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 46 mi34 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 67°F 71°F3 ft1019.2 hPa53°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 48 mi76 min S 5.8 G 9.7 65°F1017.7 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC11 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair56°F52°F90%1020 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E3E4NE3NE4NE3N3NE5E4NE5E5E6E5E8E7SE7E6S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW3W3NW3N6N5CalmN3N3N5E4E4E5E3S7S5S5SE4SE4SE4CalmCalmE3E4E4
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Tide / Current Tables for Holden Beach, North Carolina
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Holden Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:18 AM EDT     -1.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     5.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:46 PM EDT     -1.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:06 PM EDT     5.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.5-1.3-0.31.22.94.45.45.64.93.41.5-0.2-1.3-1.5-0.90.42.13.85.15.75.34.12.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point), North Carolina
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Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:39 AM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:33 AM EDT     5.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:05 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:38 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:05 PM EDT     5.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.5-0.3-0.40.41.83.34.65.35.44.83.72.41-0-0.5-0.11.12.64.15.15.65.34.43.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.