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FXUS62 KFFC 022359 AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 659 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023


New 00Z Aviation Discussion

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

Cold front is currently situated near the MS/AL border. The front will continue to move across the CWA overnight and into Sunday. Two main areas of precipitation noted on the radar this afternoon. The first area across north GA is isentropically induced on the north side of a warm front. The second area of precipitation across far the southern CWA is within the warm sector. However, the best moisture is getting cut off from moving further north by strong convection in the northern GOMEX. This leaves the central CWA, mainly the I-20 corridor, mostly dry with some patches of light rain.

The wedge has mostly been eroded, but is still lingering in far, far NE GA. Do expect the low clouds and fog to fill back in across north and central portions of the state after sunset. Patchy dense fog may be possible just ahead of the approaching cold front. A narrow line of showers may form along the front overnight, but the best chances for any thunder remain across the far southern CWA. Strong/severe storms are not anticipated at this time. Temperatures should remain nearly steady across most areas overnight, but could slightly rise across the southern quarter of the CWA as warmer air surges northward from the GOMEX.

Models are showing rapid clearing during the day on Sunday. Temps will remain above normal through the period.

NListemaa

LONG TERM
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

The end of the weekend will also mark the end of the dreary weather.
As Monday rolls around, clear skies and sunny weather is expected to return to most of the area as high pressure builds in. Winds out of the west will allow for temps to be pleasant with highs in the 60s.
Toward the middle of the week, a dry cold front pushes in turning the upper level flow to the NW and bringing in a reinforced shot of dry air. While current models don't indicate we'll reach critical Fire WX conditions come Wednesday into Thursday, we'll need to keep a careful eye on it as RH values are likely to come in as we get into the high-res time frame.

After the front on Wednesday night into Thursday, things cool off with highs in the 50s and overnight lows falling back toward freezing. A gradual warming trend is expected though as both models expect some warm air to push back in from the gulf as the next storm system in the upper level pattern begins to form out west.
Vaughn

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023

Widespread IFR and LIFR conditions will prevail north and west of KMCN through 12Z Sunday. South and east of MCN a mix of IFR and MVFR conditions is anticipated. Areas of dense fog may develop along and north of Interstate 20 between 03Z and 12Z Sunday.
Expect the terrain of northern Georgia to be obscured in fog.
Rain showers will linger in the region through 18Z Sunday. An isolated thunderstorm is possible. Southerly winds will transition to northwesterly winds between 11Z and 18Z Sunday.

//ATL Confidence
00Z Update
Moderate confidence in the KATL TAF.
Moderate confidence in the precipitation forecast.
High confidence in the wind forecast.
Low confidence in the ceiling and visibility forecast between 06 and 12Z Sunday, otherwise moderate confidence.

Albright

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 61 69 42 63 / 60 40 0 0 Atlanta 62 66 44 61 / 50 30 0 0 Blairsville 56 61 36 55 / 80 30 10 10 Cartersville 59 65 41 61 / 60 20 0 0 Columbus 65 70 47 65 / 60 40 0 0 Gainesville 59 65 42 60 / 70 30 0 0 Macon 65 71 46 66 / 60 50 0 0 Rome 59 66 41 60 / 80 20 0 0 Peachtree City 62 67 42 62 / 50 30 0 0 Vidalia 66 74 52 68 / 80 40 10 0

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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