Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Silver Lake, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 8:25PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 5:25 AM EDT (09:25 UTC) Moonrise 1:07AMMoonset 2:55PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 322 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Through 7 am..Variable winds 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Today..Variable winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft, building to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms through the night. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 322 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will build south along the east coast today and Thursday, moving away from the area Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Silver Lake, NC
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location: 34.14, -77.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 150703 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 303 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. A dome of above average warmth will cover the Carolinas through the week, maintaining hot and humid weather along with only isolated showers or a thunderstorm. Storm coverage will increase over the weekend and early next week, as an upper ridge over the region starts to weaken.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Isolated convection across the Darlington area has dissipated with debris clouds lingering across the far western zones. In addition, debris clouds from storms in MHX's area are also fanning southward across the northeast zones. As a result the range in sky character varies from SKC to mostly cloudy early this morning. The mid/upper ridge will persist across the Carolinas today but will slowly migrate westward during Thursday. This feature along with only marginal instability will act to limit the areal extent of convection which will mainly be diurnally driven with the sea breeze providing some lift today and Thursday. While it will be hot with highs in the lower 90s inland to the upper 80s at the coast the heat index will not be as high as in the past couple days. Low temperatures tonight will only be slightly above normal.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Mid level ridging will be firmly in place with Bermuda High Pressure and the inland trough at the surface. Chances of convection remain at or below climatology at least for now. High temperatures will be in the lower 90s with slightly cooler readings along the coast. Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The ridge across the area seems to want to break down and or move to the west in time allowing for better chances of convection. The highest pops occur Monday and Tuesday as there appears to be better mid level support with jet dynamics. Temperatures will hover around or just above climatology driven somewhat by convection and debris.

AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. VFR conditions expected through the TAF period at all terminals. Primarily SKC initially all locations expect KFLO with convective debris from dissipating -SHRA a county away. Isolated to widely scattered -SHRA/-TSRA possible with daytime heating and the sea breeze as a possible trigger this afternoon. No enough coverage expected to include at the terminals at this time. Sea breeze circulation will allow winds to turn onshore an increase a notch at the coastal terminals this afternoon.

Extended Outlook . Convection may increase into the weekend as the ridge aloft weakens, this will lead to higher chances of brief MVFR/IFR, induced by nearby storms.

MARINE. A weak ridge of high pressure will build across the coastal waters from the north today allowing for light easterly flow. Speeds will increase a notch during Thursday as the pressure gradient tightens some and as the sea breeze adds to the onshore flow. Overall, seas of 2 to 3 ft will be the rule , but closer to 3 ft during Thursday.

A very modest southeast flow will be in place Friday into Saturday with wind speeds outside of the sea breeze area ten knots or less. The flow will become more south and southwest for the remainder of the period with similar wind speeds. Significant seas are very stable at two feet or so with a mix of a lower period wind wave and slight swell component.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . SRP SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . SRP MARINE . SHK/SRP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WLON7 6 mi56 min 84°F
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 10 mi56 min 82°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 12 mi78 min N 1.9 G 5.8 82°F 84°F1016.5 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 12 mi49 min 84°F2 ft
41108 29 mi56 min 85°F2 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi78 min W 1.9 G 3.9 82°F 85°F1017.1 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 35 mi78 min N 3.9 G 5.8 81°F 84°F1016.5 hPa
41119 35 mi69 min 84°F2 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 49 mi36 min NNE 1.9 G 3.9 83°F 3 ft1016.1 hPa75°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC10 mi33 minNE 39.00 miFair74°F73°F97%1016.9 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC16 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair76°F73°F92%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmN5N75N7NW4NE4CalmE8SE8SE6S5S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3
1 day agoS3S3CalmNE5CalmSW5SW86SE7SW8SW9
G17
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W8W8CalmS6CalmNE5CalmCalmNE3NW5NW3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE7S11
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S5S5S4S5S5SW7S4S3S3S5S4

Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:35 AM EDT     3.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:54 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:04 PM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.91.72.53.13.43.432.11.30.70.20.10.41.42.53.23.73.93.73.12.31.71.2

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:38 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:20 AM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:39 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.61.22.12.93.43.73.6321.20.60.20.10.71.82.93.644.23.83.12.31.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.