Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Casa Conejo, CA
November 30, 2023 10:22 AM PST (18:22 UTC)
Sunrise 6:41AM Sunset 4:47PM Moonrise 8:45PM Moonset 11:03AM
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 904 Am Pst Thu Nov 30 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from noon pst today through late Friday night...
Today..Western portion, nw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W 20 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, N winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Tonight..Western portion, nw winds 20 to 30 kt with local gusts to 35 kt in the evening, becoming 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Eastern portion, W 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt in the evening, becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 8 seconds, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft dominant period 8 seconds after midnight.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt. Local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
.small craft advisory in effect from noon pst today through late Friday night...
Today..Western portion, nw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W 20 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, N winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Tonight..Western portion, nw winds 20 to 30 kt with local gusts to 35 kt in the evening, becoming 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Eastern portion, W 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt in the evening, becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 8 seconds, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft dominant period 8 seconds after midnight.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt. Local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 904 Am Pst Thu Nov 30 2023
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park...at 16z or 8 am pst, a 1006 mb surface low was centered over northwest arizona and extending to a 1014 mb surface trough near the channel islands. This frontal system will continue to exit the region later today. Gusty northwesterly winds will increase across the coastal waters today, likely reaching gale force from pt. Sal south to san nicolas island.
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park...at 16z or 8 am pst, a 1006 mb surface low was centered over northwest arizona and extending to a 1014 mb surface trough near the channel islands. This frontal system will continue to exit the region later today. Gusty northwesterly winds will increase across the coastal waters today, likely reaching gale force from pt. Sal south to san nicolas island.
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS66 KLOX 301723 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 923 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
30/912 AM.
Save for a few light showers early Friday over the Grapevine skies will be partly cloudy. Cooler temperatures are expected through Saturday, along with increasing northerly winds. A warming trend is expected Sunday into early next week, with dry Santa Ana winds expected at times.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)...30/922 AM.
***UPDATE***
The weak system that come through Wednesday has mostly passed to the east and expecting plenty of sunshine today in most areas except for some cirrus and light cumulus around. Some hi res models still showing some light showers developing over the mountains but so far not really seeing anything upstream and with PW's falling and northerly flow firmly in place it seems unlikely any precip would develop today.
Main thing for today (actually mainly tonight) will be the increasing north winds developing, especially in the mountains, but then spilling into some of the coast and valley areas by early Friday, including the San Fernando Valley and down through West LA and Malibu. Advisory level winds expected to be confined to the mountain areas and below the Santa Ynez Range in southern Santa Barbara County.
***From Previous Discussion***
The barest of trof will move over the area tonight. The weak lift associated with the trof along with the upslope northerly flow will bring clouds and a chc of showers to the north slopes near the Kern County line. Rainfall amounts will not add up to anything over a quarter inch and snow levels will be around 6000 ft which means the I-5 corridor will see only rain. The winds will increase even more with the passage of the trof and advisory level gusts will likely push further south into the LA mtns. Whitaker Peak may even see some gusts near 60 mph. Advisory level gusts will also develop across the western portion of the SBA south coast. Gusty winds will also filter into the csts/vlys of LA/VTA county but should remain just below advisory levels.
Drier air behind the front will lead to sunny skies on Friday.
But most areas will see cooling due to all the cooler air that also arrived behind the front. Only the LA coast and San Gabriel Vly will see any warming since they will be well sheltered from the cool air advection. The winds will continue for the advisory areas.
Friday night will be a chilly one esp in the wind sheltered areas as a cooler than normal airmass and radiational cooling from the clear skies team up. Its likely that the I-5 corridor will continue to see advisory level gusts.
The W/E gradient turns offshore Saturday morning and this will tilt the offshore winds into more of a NE direction. This will likely reduce the strong north winds as well as generating some sub advisory winds through NE facing canyons. Rising hgts and offshore flow will allow for 3 to 6 degrees of warming and will kick off an extended period of day to day warming.
.LONG TERM (SUN-WED)...30/256 AM.
Both the GFS and EC as well as their ensembles all agree that ridging and offshore flow will dominate the weather pattern through the middle of next week.
There will be continuous offshore flow as well. Strongest from the north. So the offshore winds may not follow a typical NE Santa Ana scenario but rather be a little more from the north. There is little or no upper level or thermal support So its likely that there will only be isolated advisory level gusts. Tuesday will have the strongest offshore flow and if advisory level winds do develop this will be the day it happens.
Max temps will be what most people will be talking about. Almost the entire area will see 4 consecutive (5 if you count Saturday)
days of warming. Look for 2 to 5 degrees of warming Sunday, 4 to 8 on Monday, a whopping 6 to 12 degrees on Tuesday and finally 1 to 2 degrees on Wednesday (with maybe a little cooling at the beaches). All of this warming will push max temps up into the mid 70s to lower 80s for the csts and vlys which is 5 to 10 degrees warmer than the norms.
AVIATION
30/1205Z.
Around 0735Z, there was no marine layer depth at KLAX.
High confidence in the current forecast for desert terminals.
Low confidence in the current forecast for coast and valley terminals. There is a low-to-moderate chance of sub-VFR conditions through 16Z-19Z, highest at terminals north of Point Conception.
Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area.
KLAX...There is a 20 percent chance of sub-VFR conditions through 18Z. Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area. Any east winds will likely remain less than 7 knots. There is a 30 percent chance of north cross winds greater than 10 knots after 09Z Friday increasing to a 50 percent chance by 13Z Friday.
KBUR...There is a 20 percent chance of sub-VFR conditions through 18Z. Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area.
MARINE
30/846 AM.
For the waters along the Central Coast as well as the outer waters south to San Nicolas Island, moderate to high confidence in forecast. Winds across the outer waters have increased to Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels and will continue to strengthen through the day. There is a 70-80% chance of Gale Force winds between late this afternoon and Friday night, for the waters from Point Sal south to San Nicolas Island. Short- period hazardous seas of 10-12 feet are expected between late tonight and Friday.
Winds and seas will diminish some late Friday night into Saturday, but there is a 40-60% chance of SCA level winds lingering into Tuesday morning, especially for the waters south of Point Sal.
For the inner waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in forecast. There is a 60-70% chance of widespread SCA conditions with steep, short- period, hazardous seas and gusty W-NW winds by this afternoon/evening until winds and seas start to diminish Friday evening. Winds and seas should be below SCA levels between Saturday and Monday, except for a 40% percent chance of SCA level winds across the western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel through Saturday evening.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 6 PM this evening to 3 PM PST Friday for zones 349-351-379. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST Friday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 650-670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 AM PST Friday for zone 655. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PST this afternoon for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 923 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
30/912 AM.
Save for a few light showers early Friday over the Grapevine skies will be partly cloudy. Cooler temperatures are expected through Saturday, along with increasing northerly winds. A warming trend is expected Sunday into early next week, with dry Santa Ana winds expected at times.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)...30/922 AM.
***UPDATE***
The weak system that come through Wednesday has mostly passed to the east and expecting plenty of sunshine today in most areas except for some cirrus and light cumulus around. Some hi res models still showing some light showers developing over the mountains but so far not really seeing anything upstream and with PW's falling and northerly flow firmly in place it seems unlikely any precip would develop today.
Main thing for today (actually mainly tonight) will be the increasing north winds developing, especially in the mountains, but then spilling into some of the coast and valley areas by early Friday, including the San Fernando Valley and down through West LA and Malibu. Advisory level winds expected to be confined to the mountain areas and below the Santa Ynez Range in southern Santa Barbara County.
***From Previous Discussion***
The barest of trof will move over the area tonight. The weak lift associated with the trof along with the upslope northerly flow will bring clouds and a chc of showers to the north slopes near the Kern County line. Rainfall amounts will not add up to anything over a quarter inch and snow levels will be around 6000 ft which means the I-5 corridor will see only rain. The winds will increase even more with the passage of the trof and advisory level gusts will likely push further south into the LA mtns. Whitaker Peak may even see some gusts near 60 mph. Advisory level gusts will also develop across the western portion of the SBA south coast. Gusty winds will also filter into the csts/vlys of LA/VTA county but should remain just below advisory levels.
Drier air behind the front will lead to sunny skies on Friday.
But most areas will see cooling due to all the cooler air that also arrived behind the front. Only the LA coast and San Gabriel Vly will see any warming since they will be well sheltered from the cool air advection. The winds will continue for the advisory areas.
Friday night will be a chilly one esp in the wind sheltered areas as a cooler than normal airmass and radiational cooling from the clear skies team up. Its likely that the I-5 corridor will continue to see advisory level gusts.
The W/E gradient turns offshore Saturday morning and this will tilt the offshore winds into more of a NE direction. This will likely reduce the strong north winds as well as generating some sub advisory winds through NE facing canyons. Rising hgts and offshore flow will allow for 3 to 6 degrees of warming and will kick off an extended period of day to day warming.
.LONG TERM (SUN-WED)...30/256 AM.
Both the GFS and EC as well as their ensembles all agree that ridging and offshore flow will dominate the weather pattern through the middle of next week.
There will be continuous offshore flow as well. Strongest from the north. So the offshore winds may not follow a typical NE Santa Ana scenario but rather be a little more from the north. There is little or no upper level or thermal support So its likely that there will only be isolated advisory level gusts. Tuesday will have the strongest offshore flow and if advisory level winds do develop this will be the day it happens.
Max temps will be what most people will be talking about. Almost the entire area will see 4 consecutive (5 if you count Saturday)
days of warming. Look for 2 to 5 degrees of warming Sunday, 4 to 8 on Monday, a whopping 6 to 12 degrees on Tuesday and finally 1 to 2 degrees on Wednesday (with maybe a little cooling at the beaches). All of this warming will push max temps up into the mid 70s to lower 80s for the csts and vlys which is 5 to 10 degrees warmer than the norms.
AVIATION
30/1205Z.
Around 0735Z, there was no marine layer depth at KLAX.
High confidence in the current forecast for desert terminals.
Low confidence in the current forecast for coast and valley terminals. There is a low-to-moderate chance of sub-VFR conditions through 16Z-19Z, highest at terminals north of Point Conception.
Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area.
KLAX...There is a 20 percent chance of sub-VFR conditions through 18Z. Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area. Any east winds will likely remain less than 7 knots. There is a 30 percent chance of north cross winds greater than 10 knots after 09Z Friday increasing to a 50 percent chance by 13Z Friday.
KBUR...There is a 20 percent chance of sub-VFR conditions through 18Z. Conditions will likely fluctuate with occasional scattering out due to high clouds moving over the area.
MARINE
30/846 AM.
For the waters along the Central Coast as well as the outer waters south to San Nicolas Island, moderate to high confidence in forecast. Winds across the outer waters have increased to Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels and will continue to strengthen through the day. There is a 70-80% chance of Gale Force winds between late this afternoon and Friday night, for the waters from Point Sal south to San Nicolas Island. Short- period hazardous seas of 10-12 feet are expected between late tonight and Friday.
Winds and seas will diminish some late Friday night into Saturday, but there is a 40-60% chance of SCA level winds lingering into Tuesday morning, especially for the waters south of Point Sal.
For the inner waters south of Point Conception, moderate confidence in forecast. There is a 60-70% chance of widespread SCA conditions with steep, short- period, hazardous seas and gusty W-NW winds by this afternoon/evening until winds and seas start to diminish Friday evening. Winds and seas should be below SCA levels between Saturday and Monday, except for a 40% percent chance of SCA level winds across the western portion of the Santa Barbara Channel through Saturday evening.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory in effect from 6 PM this evening to 3 PM PST Friday for zones 349-351-379. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST Friday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 650-670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 AM PST Friday for zone 655. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PST this afternoon for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PST Saturday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 46268 | 24 mi | 52 min | 58°F | 62°F | 2 ft | |||
| 46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA | 27 mi | 42 min | W 7.8G | 61°F | 63°F | 29.99 | 56°F | |
| 46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) | 28 mi | 56 min | 63°F | 3 ft | ||||
| ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier | 28 mi | 52 min | 62°F | 30.00 | ||||
| 46251 | 40 mi | 56 min | 64°F | 5 ft | ||||
| NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 | 41 mi | 106 min | NNW 2.9G | 55°F | 29.98 | |||
| 46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA | 45 mi | 42 min | NW 3.9G | 61°F | 61°F | 29.93 | 51°F | |
| PXAC1 | 47 mi | 112 min | N 1G | |||||
| BAXC1 | 48 mi | 106 min | NNE 1G | |||||
| PFDC1 | 49 mi | 112 min | N 1.9G | |||||
| PSXC1 | 49 mi | 100 min | NE 1.9G |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCMA CAMARILLO,CA | 6 sm | 27 min | ENE 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 63°F | 52°F | 68% | 29.96 | |
| KNTD POINT MUGU NAS (NAVAL BASE VENTURA CO),CA | 7 sm | 27 min | NE 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 63°F | 54°F | 72% | 29.97 | |
| KOXR OXNARD,CA | 12 sm | 31 min | ENE 05 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 63°F | 48°F | 59% | 29.96 | |
Wind History from CMA
(wind in knots)Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier)
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:46 AM PST 2.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM PST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:01 AM PST 5.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:03 AM PST Moonset
Thu -- 04:46 PM PST Sunset
Thu -- 05:55 PM PST -0.34 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:45 PM PST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:46 AM PST 2.73 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM PST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:01 AM PST 5.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:03 AM PST Moonset
Thu -- 04:46 PM PST Sunset
Thu -- 05:55 PM PST -0.34 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:45 PM PST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.4 |
| 1 am |
| 3.3 |
| 2 am |
| 3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.8 |
| 4 am |
| 2.7 |
| 5 am |
| 2.9 |
| 6 am |
| 3.4 |
| 7 am |
| 4.1 |
| 8 am |
| 4.9 |
| 9 am |
| 5.4 |
| 10 am |
| 5.7 |
| 11 am |
| 5.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.8 |
Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM PST 3.44 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 AM PST 2.84 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM PST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:04 AM PST Moonset
Thu -- 10:08 AM PST 5.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:47 PM PST Sunset
Thu -- 05:57 PM PST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:45 PM PST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM PST 3.44 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:48 AM PST 2.84 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM PST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:04 AM PST Moonset
Thu -- 10:08 AM PST 5.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:47 PM PST Sunset
Thu -- 05:57 PM PST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:45 PM PST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Hueneme, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.4 |
| 1 am |
| 3.3 |
| 2 am |
| 3.1 |
| 3 am |
| 2.9 |
| 4 am |
| 2.8 |
| 5 am |
| 3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.5 |
| 7 am |
| 4.2 |
| 8 am |
| 4.9 |
| 9 am |
| 5.5 |
| 10 am |
| 5.8 |
| 11 am |
| 5.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 5 |
| 1 pm |
| 4 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.8 |
Los Angeles, CA,
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