Camarillo, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Camarillo, CA

June 22, 2024 3:46 AM PDT (10:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM
Moonrise 9:27 PM   Moonset 6:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 240 Am Pdt Sat Jun 22 2024

Today - Light winds. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog this morning with vsby 1 nm or less.

Tonight - W wind 5 to 10 kt in the evening, becoming light. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog after midnight with vsby 1 nm or less.

Sun - Light winds, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Sun night - W wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Mon - Light winds, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the morning with vsby 1 nm or less.

Mon night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Tue - W wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Tue night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Wed - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Wed night - NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

PZZ600 240 Am Pdt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 09z, or 2 am pdt, a 1030 mb high was located 1800 nm nw of point conception and a 997 mb thermal low was near yuma.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camarillo, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 220638 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1138 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
21/945 PM.

A hot weather pattern will develop across the area away from the coast over the weekend. Dangerously hot conditions are forecast across the interior portions of Southern California this weekend.
Very hot conditions will persist into next week away from the coast. While temperatures will not be as hot closer to the coast, very warm temperatures are expected this weekend into early next week for some of the coastal valleys and nearby foothills. While mostly dry conditions are expected, there is the possibility for a few thunderstorms to form over the region late Saturday into Saturday night and Sunday, as moisture from the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Alberto affects Southern California.

.SHORT TERM (FRI-MON)...21/944 PM.

The latest satellite imagery shows a broad upper-level ridge of high pressure centered near the Texas-Arkansas border this evening. This ridge will build west into Far West Texas and the Borderland region of New Mexico through Monday. 500 mb heights are already climbing across the region with heights at KLAX up by about 5 decameters versus this time last night, and 1000-500 mb thickness values up by about 7 decameters. 500 mb heights will likely climb through the weekend. Subsiding air aloft with the high pressure system will press down on the marine intrusion, thin the marine layer depth, and reduce the effects of the sea breeze each day. The latest NAM-WRF solutions indicate onshore flow remaining in place, albeit weaker than the last several days and weeks. While onshore flow and night through morning low clouds and fog will continue at the coast and into the Santa Ynez Valley each night and morning, areas outside the marine influence will be hot through at least the weekend and likely into much of next week.

A few tweaks were made for low clouds and fog to bring some clouds into the Santa Ynez Valley late tonight and into Saturday morning.
Some low clouds were tweaked for the coastal areas south of Point Conception, as well to introduce a bit more coverage along the beaches.

Otherwise, the package is in agreeable shape, and no additional updates are planned.

***From Previous Discussion***

A large and strong midlevel anticyclone will expand westward across the southern United States this weekend, as diffuse vorticity from the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Alberto circulate around the southern and then western peripheries of the anticyclone.
By Monday, 500-mb heights are forecast to rise to 593 dam over AZ and NM, with the accompanying ridge axis overspreading the forecast area this weekend. As the midlevel heights rise this weekend, temperatures will increase to dangerously hot levels from the Antelope Valley and nearby foothills and westward to the Santa Barbara County interior mountains. Excessive Heat Warnings have been posted in these areas, where high temperatures are expected to reach 95-105 degrees (locally to around 108 in the Antelope Valley) producing Major to Extreme HeatRisk. For the Antelope Valley and eastern Antelope Valley Foothills, these conditions are expected to be prolonged into next week, and the Excessive Heat Warning extends through next Thursday.

HeatRisk will be more moderated in a surrounding area from the eastern San Gabriels and the San Gabriel Valley through the San Fernando Valley and the Santa Clarita Valley, and across the Cuyama Valley and the San Luis Obispo County mountains and interior valleys. In these areas, a Heat Advisory is in effect as heat impacts are still anticipated, though impacts are not expected to be as significant as in the Warning area. High temperatures in the Heat Advisory area should reach the 90-100 degree range this weekend.

Overall day-to-day variability in temperatures should be limited through Monday, though the increase in midlevel moisture from the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Alberto could be accompanied by a couple degrees of cooling from Saturday into Sunday and Monday.
As a result, outside of the Antelope Valley and eastern Antelope Valley Foothills, Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories are set to expire Sunday evening, though extensions cannot be ruled out in later forecasts (20-40% chance). However, with the increase in moisture tempering nocturnal radiational cooling, overnight low temperatures will remain elevated this weekend -- lower to middle 70s in many areas -- potentially worsening the magnitude of heat impacts this weekend.

Also of note, temperatures closer to the coast, away from the ongoing heat headlines, will be relatively cooler given the influence of the marine layer. However, the marine layer will be shallow given the rising heights aloft, and will efficiently mix out of the coastal valleys and retreat toward the immediate coast each day. While uncertain, this could potentially bring hazardous heat impacts closer to the coast, and there is a chance for areal expansion of the Heat Advisories this weekend (30% probability).
And within the shallow marine layer, areas of nighttime and morning dense fog will be possible near the immediate coast and nearby coastal valleys tonight through this weekend and early next week.

Gusty south to southwest winds are expected over the Interstate 5 corridor, and the western Antelope Valley and nearby foothills each afternoon and evening. However, Wind Advisories are not currently anticipated.

Present indications are that the aforementioned increase in midlevel moisture accompanying the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Alberto will still have the potential to bring a few thunderstorms to the local area. Most locations will remain dry, and chances for thunderstorms are currently very low, less than 20 percent.
There is a good chance that no storms form anywhere across the region. However, if enough moisture is able to move into the area this weekend, isolated thunderstorms will have the potential to form. Right now, the most-likely timing of this activity will be Saturday night, though a couple storms cannot be ruled out as early as Saturday afternoon or as late as Sunday afternoon. If thunderstorms were to form, cloud-to-ground lightning would be the main concern, though locally small hail, gusty winds, and brief heavy downpours cannot be ruled out -- highly conditional at this time. Areas south of Point Conception will have the greatest chance of experiencing this activity. By Sunday night into Monday, the thunderstorm risk will be decreasing, as weak, positive theta-e advection aloft decreases behind the leading edge of the elevated moisture surge.

.LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)...21/247 PM.

There is high confidence that the persistent midlevel anticyclone over the southwest states will prolong Major to Extreme HeatRisk across the Antelope Valley and eastern Antelope Valley Foothills through the middle of next week. The Excessive Heat Warning is currently in effect for these areas through next Thursday. This will occur as 500-mb heights build to around 596 dam over the southern Rockies by the middle of next week. Meanwhile, strong heating across the intermountain west, combined with an approaching midlevel trough over the Pacific Northwest, will drive strengthening onshore flow and perhaps an increase in marine stratus near the coast. In addition to bringing gusty southwest winds over interior sections, this will cool off the coast and coastal valleys by a few degrees into the middle of next week, with highs in the 70s and 80s, limiting the spatial extent of significant heat to interior sections. However, additional heat headlines will be possible across other interior areas next week.
By the end of next week, medium-range model guidance indicates lowering 500-mb heights corresponding to a cooling trend for interior areas, as well.

Present indications are for dry conditions to prevail through middle and latter parts of next week. However, the strong heating across the Intermountain West ahead of the aforementioned trough will foster an additional northward influx of monsoonal moisture across the Desert Southwest. Richer tropospheric moisture is expected to reside east of the forecast area next week. However, given anticipated daily increases in convection over the higher terrain of Arizona, there is a remote potential for residual convective debris to be advected over the local area for the middle of next week. Very low-predictability vorticity and moisture enhancements have a non-zero risk of bringing about a potential for showers and thunderstorms to the forecast area, as they circulate around the larger-scale anticyclone. However, confidence in such activity is too limited for mention in the forecast at this time.

AVIATION
22/0638Z.

At 0515Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 800 feet deep. The top of the inversion was at 2200 ft with a temperature of 25 deg C.

Very good confidence in valley and desert 00Z TAFS.

Moderate confidence in TAFs for KSMX and KSBP. There is a 25 percent chc of 1/4SM VV002 conds through 15Z. VFR transition could occur +/- 1 hour from fcst time.

Moderate confidence in TAFS KSBA, KOXR, KCMA, KLAX, KSMO, and KLGB. There is a 30 percent chc of no cigs at any given site.
There is a 20 percent chc of 1/4SM VV002 conds 11Z-15Z. Cig arrivals/departures could be off by +/- 2 hours and cig heights could be off by 300 feet.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 30 percent chc of no cigs. There is a 20 percent chc of 1/4SM VV002 conds 11Z-15Z. VFR conds could arrive any time between 16Z and 18Z. There is a 40 percent chc of no cigs Sunday morning. Any east wind component will be less than 6 kt.

KBUR...High confidence in TAF.

MARINE
21/727 PM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) winds will continue through this evening.
Thereafter, SCA conditions are not expected through at least early next week, though there is a 40% chance for SCA winds to return by next Wednesday.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. SCA winds are likely this evening. Thereafter, SCA conditions are not expected into next week.

For the inner waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. SCA winds are not expected over most of the area, though the western third of the Santa Barbara Channel will have local gusts to 25 kts this evening. Otherwise, SCA conditions are not expected into next week.

In addition, there will be some possibility for a few thunderstorms to impact the local waters this weekend, as remnant moisture aloft from Tropical Cyclone Alberto advances into the region. Please reference the Marine Weather Statement (LAXMWSLOX) for additional information regarding the thunderstorm potential, as well as the potential for night and morning dense fog.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Heat Advisory remains in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zones 38-88-343>345-372-373-548. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Excessive Heat Warning remains in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zones 353-376>379-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Heat Advisory now in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zone 380. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Excessive Heat Warning now in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Thursday for zones 382-383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Saturday for zones 645-670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
46268 27 mi47 min 67°F2 ft
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 31 mi47 min 62°F 65°F29.79
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 33 mi21 min 65°F4 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 34 mi27 minNNW 3.9G5.8 64°F4 ft29.80
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 38 mi71 minSE 1.9G1.9 29.79
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 44 mi27 minSW 12G14 53°F 57°F4 ft29.75
46251 44 mi21 min 56°F 62°F4 ft


Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCMA CAMARILLO,CA 5 sm51 mincalm7 smClear61°F54°F77%29.78
KNTD POINT MUGU NAS (NAVAL BASE VENTURA CO),CA 10 sm51 mincalm8 smOvercast55°F54°F94%29.79
KOXR OXNARD,CA 11 sm12 minWNW 046 smMostly Cloudy Mist 57°F55°F94%29.78
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Wind History graph: CMA
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Tide / Current for Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California
   
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Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier)
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Sat -- 04:57 AM PDT     -1.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:45 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:33 AM PDT     3.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:41 PM PDT     2.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:27 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:56 PM PDT     6.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California, Tide feet
12
am
4.2
1
am
2.7
2
am
1.3
3
am
0
4
am
-0.8
5
am
-1
6
am
-0.7
7
am
0.1
8
am
1.1
9
am
2.2
10
am
3
11
am
3.4
12
pm
3.4
1
pm
3.2
2
pm
2.8
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
2.5
5
pm
2.8
6
pm
3.4
7
pm
4.3
8
pm
5.3
9
pm
6
10
pm
6.2
11
pm
5.9


Tide / Current for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
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Sat -- 04:59 AM PDT     -1.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:45 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:40 AM PDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:43 PM PDT     2.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:12 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:27 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:03 PM PDT     6.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Hueneme, California, Tide feet
12
am
4.4
1
am
2.9
2
am
1.4
3
am
0.1
4
am
-0.8
5
am
-1.1
6
am
-0.8
7
am
-0
8
am
1
9
am
2.1
10
am
2.9
11
am
3.4
12
pm
3.5
1
pm
3.3
2
pm
2.9
3
pm
2.6
4
pm
2.6
5
pm
2.8
6
pm
3.5
7
pm
4.4
8
pm
5.3
9
pm
6.1
10
pm
6.4
11
pm
6.1


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Los Angeles, CA,




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