Saturday, May30, 2020
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ogden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:18PM Saturday May 30, 2020 4:25 AM EDT (08:25 UTC) Moonrise 12:32PMMoonset 1:08AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 317 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A slight chance of tstms early. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt during the morning. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 317 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front in the western carolinas should move off the coast tonight around midnight. Cooler and drier weather is expected as canadian high pressure builds in. The high will move off the east coast Tuesday, followed by increasing southwest winds Tuesday and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ogden, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 34.24, -77.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KILM 300708 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 308 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected today as a cold front slowly approaches. The front will gradually move offshore tonight into early Sunday. High pressure will rebuild into the area Sunday through early next week, bringing cooler and drier weather to the area. A warming trend is expected through the middle of next week as high pressure moves offshore.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. The same airmass that supported yesterday's widespread thunderstorm activity and locally heavy rain will remain across the Carolinas again today. One difference is that yesterday's favorably positioned 250 mb jet streak has moved farther north and east. However synoptic support for convection should again develop as an upper level disturbance approaches from the west during the afternoon. Models all suggest convection will first develop between 1-2 PM along the coast, aided by low level convergence produced by the seabreeze. Convection should then spread inland in a scattered fashion during the mid to late afternoon ahead of the upper disturbance.

Plentiful instability with CAPE around 2000 J/kg but with weak 0-6 km bulk shear and 0-1 km helicity favors disorganized convection featuring heavy rainfall but with little potential for severe weather. Flash Flood Guidance values are less than 1.5 inches in three hours across many inland locations where heavy rain has occurred this month and particularly over the past couple of days. There are no plans for a Flash Flood Watch at this time, however we are in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall per the latest WPC outlooks.

A surface cold front now entering the western Carolinas should move slowly east during the day, entering the Coastal Plain this evening. Although instability will be waning, scattered showers or storms may persist along the front as it pushes to the coast around midnight. High pressure moving east across the Great Lakes will push drier and slightly cooler air in from the north and northeast late tonight into Sunday as the front moves offshore.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. No changes to the thinking for this part of the forecast, which will be highlighted by below normal temperatures and dry weather as the meteorological summer begins. Surface high pressure initially over the Ohio River Valley to start the period will settle over the area through Monday night. Meanwhile, dry NW flow aloft will commence as a long wave trough shifts offshore. This will bring precipitable water values down to 50-75% of normal, helping bring abundant sunshine for Monday with highs in the upper 70s to near 80, roughly 5 to 8 degrees below normal. Guidance similar for temps on Sunday and Monday nights, but with high over area Monday night have used local radiational cooling tool to nudge typical cool spots down a bit. Will need to watch for light return flow developing late which could impact cooling though.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. A gradual warming trend and mostly dry weather are anticipated Tuesday through Thursday, as high pressure moves offshore and mid level ridging builds over the SE U.S. Temps will be slightly below to near normal again for Tuesday but trend above normal for Wednesday and especially Thursday, when highs in the upper 80s to low 90s are expected to be common. Model time height RH plots suggest a modest increase in clouds Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning as weak mid level energy dives down from the NW, and inland surface troughing starts to develop. Not expecting any measurable precip from this at this time though. A bit better precip chances expected Thursday night into Friday, as a somewhat more robust short wave and associated cold front approach from the north. Shower chances may continue into Saturday as front slowly sags south through the area. However, confidence is low in how far south the front will make it at this time, and also the 30/00z ECMWF has trended a bit less bullish with this. Have handled with low end chance PoPs for now, but confidence low at this time in related specifics. Temps may trend down a bit late week but depends on southwards progression of front.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Lingering convection across eastern South Carolina should largely dissipate or move offshore around 0800Z. Until then, convective showers in the Myrtle Beach (MYR and CRE) area could create short-lived ceiling or visibility concerns. Prevailing conditions should remain VFR here. Farther inland at the FLO and LBT airports, IFR ceilings should become more widespread by 0800Z and are expected to continue through daybreak.

Cloud ceilings will gradually improve to VFR across the area between 13-16Z. Models indicate convection should develop along the coast around 18Z and may persist through sunset. Farther inland convection will be more widely scattered and may not pose as significant impact as was seen yesterday.

Extended Outlook . Lingering low ceilings may linger into early Sunday near a cold front. VFR conditions are expected to develop Sunday through Wednesday.

MARINE. A cold front moving into the western Carolinas this morning will slowly make its way down to the coast tonight, moving offshore around midnight. Scattered showers early this morning should clear offshore by daybreak, but should be joined by a new round of scattered showers and storms this afternoon. South to southwest winds 10-15 kt ahead of the front should veer northerly after the frontal passage tonight, then should turn northeast on Sunday. Models suggest there will be a roughly six hour period Sunday morning of 15-20 knot northeast winds which could create a very uncomfortable 3 or 4 second chop before winds die down some during the afternoon.

Mostly moderate (11-16kt) NE winds and associated 3-5ft short period seas are expected Sunday night into Monday. Winds should briefly pulse up a bit Monday morning as a slight reinforcement in high pressure ridges in from the Ohio River Valley, but expected to be below 20kts. Later Monday into Tuesday look fairly benign as high pressure settles over the area, with winds/seas at or below 10kts/3ft from roughly 01/21z to 02/18z. SW/SSW return flow ramps up after that as the high slides offshore and inland troughing begins to set up. Not anticipating Small Craft criteria at this time but could get close at times as we move through the middle and second part of the week, with the strongest winds likely in the afternoon/evening nearshore with sea breeze enhancement. Expect the greatest surf/rip current risks to transition from east facing beaches Sunday/Monday to the more south facing beaches through middle of the week with this pattern.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MCW NEAR TERM . TRA SHORT TERM . MCW LONG TERM . MCW AVIATION . TRA MARINE . TRA/MCW


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 2 mi56 min SSW 8 G 8.9 75°F 73°F1015.8 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 8 mi78 min SW 12 G 16 75°F 75°F1016 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 8 mi46 min 75°F3 ft
WLON7 9 mi56 min 74°F 74°F1016.3 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi78 min WSW 14 G 18 77°F 76°F1016.9 hPa
41108 38 mi56 min 75°F3 ft
41064 45 mi78 min SW 16 G 21 78°F 77°F1016.2 hPa
41159 45 mi56 min 77°F4 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 46 mi78 min WSW 19 G 25 74°F 77°F1016 hPa
41119 46 mi66 min 76°F3 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last
24hr
S14
S15
S11
S12
SW14
G17
S15
S15
S16
S16
S19
S18
S19
S17
S16
S13
NE7
E6
E1
S7
S11
SW14
S15
S10
SW7
1 day
ago
SE10
S9
S9
SE10
S14
S11
G14
S13
S14
S14
S14
S12
S11
SE11
SE12
S10
SE7
SE10
SE11
G14
S14
S11
S13
S14
G17
S14
S13
2 days
ago
NE12
NE17
NE12
E13
E15
E9
G13
E15
E17
E15
E14
SE16
SE15
SE17
SE16
SE14
SE14
SE13
SE14
SE15
SE11
SE15
SE15
S12
G15

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC7 mi33 minSSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds73°F73°F100%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KILM

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last 24hrS7S9S8SW7SW9SW10SW10SW13
G18
SW13
G20
SW13
G23
SW9S15
G21
SW12
G19
NW13E4SE3CalmS3S5S8S8SW5SW3SW3
1 day agoSE6S6S5S96S13
G20
S12
G23
S15
G22
S16
G26
S11
G23
S14
G24
SE9S12S12S9S7S8S6S7S8S8S8S8S7
2 days agoNE9NE9NE8NE7E9E11
G18
E8E11E12
G20
SE13
G21
SE12
G22
SE14
G22
SE14
G20
SE14
G19
SE12
G17
SE7SE9S9S12
G18
SE9S10
G15
S9
G17
S8SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:53 AM EDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:24 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:27 PM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:49 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.13.843.62.91.910.3-0.1-0.10.41.22.23.13.63.63.12.31.40.60.1-0.10.21

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Wilmington
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:53 AM EDT     4.51 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:23 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:56 PM EDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.92.33.64.34.54.33.72.71.81.10.500.112.33.444.243.22.31.40.80.3

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (4,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.