Topsail Beach, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Topsail Beach, NC

June 17, 2024 1:54 PM EDT (17:54 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 3:26 PM   Moonset 1:40 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 928 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Rest of today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 13 seconds.

Tonight - E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds.

Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds.

Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight.

Wed - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 5 ft at 8 seconds.

Wed night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 5 ft at 8 seconds.

Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri - E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 928 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure centered across coastal new england will expand southward toward the carolinas. A tropical wave/disturbance expected to remain to the south may lead to enhanced winds and seas late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Topsail Beach, NC
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 171742 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 142 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure centered just to our north should provide dry weather and onshore winds for much of the upcoming week.
A tropical disturbance expected to remain to our south could spread a few showers across the Carolinas Thursday or Friday.
Warming trend forecasted for late week into next weekend.

UPDATE
12Z GSO sounding shows a very moist layer below 700 mb.
Associated cloud cover is working its way southward around a 700 mb ridge centered over the NC Piedmont, and will be the most significant challenge with todays forecast. This ridge will lift north today, and flow will become more easterly, and should allow for some of the drier air over eastern NC to erode the cloud cover from east to west through the afternoon. No significant changes to going forecast other than to initialize sky cover based on morning satellite imagery.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Ridging aloft overhead and elongated surface high east of Cape Cod extended southwest will keep the region dry today and tonight. Strong mid-level subsidence will keep any clouds that develop from moisture in the 800-900mb layer relatively flat.
Some of the guidance is showing some shower development this afternoon, but given the strength of the subsidence this seems unlikely. Have noticed a lot of the CAMs have started backing off on coverage this afternoon. Highs today will be near climo as the strongest subsidence from the ridging aloft is located farther north. Even though there will be some subsidence the easterly low level flow will ensure a healthy marine influence, despite water temps running about a degree above normal. Should be enough boundary layer mixing tonight that fog is not an issue, but moisture under the inversion may lead variably cloudy skies overnight. The combo of clouds and boundary layer winds will keep lows above climo.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Strong subsidence associated with deep ridging from the north will keep the area dry, sunny, and seasonable for the short term period, with PWATs below normal near 1 inch. High temps near normal both Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs around 90F inland and mid 80s across coastal counties with onshore flow and sea breeze. Low temps Tuesday and Wednesday nights in the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Main feature of the long term is a mid-upper trough that moves east to west south of the area Thursday into Friday. Looks like we may remain dry Thursday before pops increase a bit Friday with the disturbance. WAA and moisture advection dominates next weekend between Bermuda high and trough inland, with latest GFS and CMC keeping a piece of the late week disturbance lingering nearby into the weekend. Current forecast has increasing temps and chance pops for next weekend, and ensemble data supports warming trend late week into next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
An upper ridge centered over NC-SC will suppress convection for the next several days. Surface high pressure will remain off the NE CONUS, maintaining general easterly flow. Boundary layer winds and dry low level air will prevent any fog/low stratus development tonight.

Extended Outlook...VFR.

MARINE
Through Tonight...East-northeast winds this morning will become more easterly during the day as the elongated ridge axis shifts west-northwest and a weak sea breeze develops. Gradient will keep speeds 10-15 kt. Seas will run a little higher than speeds would suggest due to the prolonged onshore flow and decent fetch. The easterly wind wave at 6-7 seconds will be dominant.

Tuesday through Friday...Easterly/onshore winds persist Tuesday through end of the week around high pressure centered to the northeast. Winds sustained around 10-15 kts, with gusts to 20 kts through Thursday. A trough is forecasted to move either across or just south of the area around Friday, which will lighten the winds a bit while increasing thunderstorm chances over the waters Thursday night and Friday. Seas 3-4 ft Tuesday increase to 4-5 ft Wednesday through Friday as easterly swell builds. 6-footers possible late Wednesday through early Friday, particularly for outer coastal waters near 20nm from shore.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Other - Rip Currents: A building easterly swell will maintain an elevated rip current risk for east and southeast facing beaches in our area through (at least) the end of the week. A high risk of rip currents is forecasted for Pender, New Hanover and Georgetown county beaches, along with Myrtle Beach southward in Horry, Wednesday through Friday. The south facing beaches of Brunswick county (east of Ocean Isle) will likely have strong east to west longshore currents these days due to easterly swell and winds versus strong rip currents. Breaking wave heights approach 6 feet at east-facing beaches late Thursday through early Friday.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 11 mi54 minENE 13G15 78°F 81°F30.21
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi46 minENE 12G16 78°F 79°F30.2270°F
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 14 mi28 min 79°F3 ft
MBNN7 15 mi54 minE 7G12 82°F 30.1973°F
WLON7 17 mi54 min 84°F 83°F30.19
MBIN7 20 mi54 minE 8.9G14 81°F 30.2073°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi46 minE 12G16 79°F 80°F30.2268°F
41064 39 mi46 minE 14G18 79°F 80°F30.2271°F
41159 39 mi28 min 80°F3 ft
41108 47 mi54 min 79°F 80°F3 ft


Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KILM WILMINGTON INTL,NC 14 sm61 minE 11G2010 smClear84°F64°F52%30.21
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KILM
   
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Wind History graph: ILM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
   
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New Topsail Inlet
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Mon -- 02:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:42 AM EDT     2.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:16 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:11 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.4
3
am
2
4
am
2.4
5
am
2.5
6
am
2.3
7
am
1.9
8
am
1.4
9
am
1
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
2.3
4
pm
2.9
5
pm
3.1
6
pm
3
7
pm
2.7
8
pm
2.2
9
pm
1.7
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
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Mon -- 02:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:32 AM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:07 PM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:23 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
1.3
2
am
2
3
am
2.5
4
am
2.8
5
am
2.8
6
am
2.5
7
am
2
8
am
1.3
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.2
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
3
4
pm
3.5
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.6
7
pm
3.1
8
pm
2.3
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.3


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Morehead City, NC,




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