Castle Hayne, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Castle Hayne, NC

June 23, 2024 8:17 PM EDT (00:17 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 8:28 PM
Moonrise 9:27 PM   Moonset 6:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 620 Pm Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from midnight edt tonight through Monday morning - .

Tonight - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers early this evening, then a chance of showers and tstms late this evening and overnight.

Mon - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then tstms likely with a chance of showers in the afternoon.

Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds. Showers and tstms likely.

Tue - E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the morning.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.

Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight.

Thu - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 620 Pm Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - A weak front will push across the area Monday night with a line of showers and Thunderstorms. Isolated severe weather is possible. Winds shift from sw to ne Tue before atlantic high pressure brings back southerly flow for the latter half of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Castle Hayne, NC
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 232345 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 745 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and humid weather will continue along with scattered thunderstorms as a weak front stalls across the Carolinas this week.

UPDATE
This was the hottest day of the year so far in Florence, SC where today's high temperatures reached 98 degrees. High humidity briefly pushed the heat index as high as 106 there.

Some substantial changes are being made to forecast low temperatures tonight based on very high dewpoints and anticipated sustained breezes within the shallow nocturnal boundary layer which should keep temperatures from falling very far. Along the coast I've bumped forecast lows upward by 3-4 degrees with upper 70s to around 80 degrees now forecast from Myrtle Beach to Southport to Wilmington. Smaller increases have been made inland as well where lows generally in the 75-77 range are expected. Even if coastal sites remain in the 80s overnight it's unlike these will go down as the daily low temperature for 6/24 as Monday evening's temperatures should slip quickly into the 70s.

Rain potential appears to be limited to small (20-30 percent)
chances near Cape Fear late this evening as the old remnant swirl from tropical disturbance 91L moves northeastward across the area. Winds out at the Frying Pan Shoals buoy are gusting to 25 knots currently. A Small Craft Advisory has already been issued for deteriorating winds and seas within 20 miles of shore overnight.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Isolated activity ongoing has finally started showing some lightning and thunder. Showers and storms are slow-moving and should stay non- severe, migrating more towards the coast this evening. Isolated activity could remain at the coast overnight as well as some low clouds. Warmed lows near the coast, but unsure how thick the cloud deck will be and how long it will linger overnight. Mid 70s inland with upper 70s near the coast. Tomorrow could see the threat for severe weather as a cold front approaches the area. The front should be pushing into the area around the morning along with a line of showers and storms which will make the high temp forecast difficult with increasing cloudiness. Went a bit warmer with the SW flow ahead of the line, highs in the mid 90s. Heat indices could near advisory thresholds in some areas but with the incoming precip around the same time opted to not put one out at this time. Instability is near 2-2.5k but still not looking like much deep layer shear for storm organization. Seeing a bit of an inverted V in the soundings and with mixing to around 800mb isolated damaging winds and some hail can't be ruled out in stronger storms. The line should shift towards the coast by the end of the period.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Pops will linger into Monday evening via a cold front and mid level trough. The boundary will get bogged down or dissipate through Wednesday with pops being more confined to southern zones Tuesday. By Wednesday a more seasonal sea breeze boundary will be the main catalyst for showers and thunderstorms. While there is almost no cooling in the wake of the front some slightly lower dewpoints will decrease heat concerns Tuesday with moisture recovery Wednesday bringing the possibility of headlines back into play.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Decent pops remain in the forecast for Thursday and Friday although the coverage and or intensity have taken a hit in recent medium range model cycles. Although the mid level trough and front are decent enough it appears the trough is advecting relatively dry and stable air from the massive ridge out west that extends into the Gulf of Mexico. Next weekend seems to offer more of a sea breeze/isolated pulse convection set up. Temperatures will be on the warm side of climatology but probably just short of any headline criteria.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Very humid onshore breezes have generated low stratocumulus clouds along the coast for the second evening in a row. These clouds should be most prevalent at KMYR, KCRE, and KILM through 02z, then are expected to diminish to SCT coverage. While these cloud ceilings are expected to remain generally in the 1000-2500 ft AGL range, there is some potential for IFR ceilings at KMYR and KCRE.

VFR conditions with steady south-southwest breezes are expected overnight with wind directions veering more westerly by sunrise Monday. Hot temperatures developing during the day should help develop a broken eastward-moving line of thunderstorms Monday afternoon, potentially affecting KFLO and KLBT as early as 17-18z, then moving down to the coast a couple hours later.
High-res model blends show the highest risk for convective impacts occurring at the KILM airport between 19z-22z where low visibility in heavy rain has a moderate potential to occur.

Extended Outlook... VFR should prevail outside of periodic MVFR/IFR during diurnal showers/thunderstorms plus spotty morning low clouds/fog.

MARINE
Through Monday...
Small Craft conditions should be met in both gusts and seas tonight with questionable ending time as the 6ft seas look to take a bit longer to leave our outer waters. Current advisory is running through Monday morning. Isolated strong storms may move over the waters Mon PM ahead of a cold front but winds should stay SW through the period.

Monday Night through Friday...
Residual southwest winds of 10-15 knots late Monday are seemingly the strongest of the week as a cold front pushes across briefly. A brief and weak offshore flow will then develop followed by south to southeast winds ten knots or so through late week.
Significant seas will be 2-4 feet.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Other - Rip Currents: A high risk of rip currents possible for the Brunswick County and Northern Horry County Beaches for Mon with a gradually decreasing risk of rip currents Tue and Wed for all county beaches.

For today, a strong south to north longshore current expected across Pender and New Hanover County Beaches. This may need to be expanded to other county beaches for Mon as modest SSW to SW winds continue, possibly increasing ahead of an approaching cold front.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106- 108.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Monday for NCZ107.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ250-252-254-256.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
WLON7 9 mi59 min 84°F29.86
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 12 mi59 minS 21G23 82°F29.87
MBNN7 14 mi77 minSSW 7G15 83°F 29.8578°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 18 mi69 minSSW 18G21 82°F 81°F29.8775°F
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 18 mi51 min 81°F4 ft
MBIN7 18 mi77 minSSW 11G19 82°F 29.8878°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi69 minS 19G27 82°F 80°F29.9076°F
41108 44 mi47 min 81°F 81°F4 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 46 mi69 minS 14G16 82°F 83°F29.8680°F
SSBN7 46 mi102 min 83°F3 ft


Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KILM WILMINGTON INTL,NC 6 sm24 minS 11G1910 smMostly Cloudy82°F73°F74%29.87
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Wind History graph: ILM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Castle Hayne, Northeast River, North Carolina
   
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Castle Hayne
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Sun -- 01:41 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:11 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:58 PM EDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:04 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Castle Hayne, Northeast River, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
1.8
1
am
2
2
am
2.1
3
am
1.9
4
am
1.7
5
am
1.3
6
am
1
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.1
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.7
12
pm
1.2
1
pm
1.5
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
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Sun -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:17 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:14 AM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:10 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:38 PM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wilmington, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
4.7
1
am
4.2
2
am
3.3
3
am
2.5
4
am
1.6
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.4
8
am
1.4
9
am
2.7
10
am
3.5
11
am
3.8
12
pm
3.7
1
pm
3.3
2
pm
2.5
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
1.5
9
pm
3.1
10
pm
4.3
11
pm
4.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Wilmington, NC,




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