Carpinteria, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Carpinteria, CA

June 14, 2024 4:42 AM PDT (11:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:44 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM
Moonrise 1:29 PM   Moonset 1:19 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 146 Am Pdt Fri Jun 14 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 11 am pdt this morning through Saturday morning - .

.gale watch in effect from Saturday morning through late Sunday night - .

Today - Western portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog this morning.

Tonight - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Eastern portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 10 seconds.

Sat - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 9 seconds.

Sat night - Western portion, nw wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, becoming 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: W 8 ft at 10 seconds.

Sun - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, nw wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 6 ft at 10 seconds.

Sun night - Western portion, nw wind 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 10 seconds.

Mon - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, becoming 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, nw wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 9 seconds.

Mon night - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 9 seconds.

Tue - Western portion, nw wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, light wind, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 11 seconds.

Tue night - Western portion, nw wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the evening, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 9 seconds.

PZZ600 146 Am Pdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 06z, or 11 pm pdt, a 1029 mb high was located 700 nm west of Monterey. A 1004 mb thermal low was south of las vegas. Hazardous marine conditions, with strong winds and steep seas, will spread across the coastal waters beginning today and will continue through the weekend and into early next week. High-end gale force winds will occur over the outer waters, and gale force winds will be possible across the inner waters north of point sal and the western santa barbara channel.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 140433 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 933 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
13/909 PM.

Low clouds and fog will continue across coast and valleys through Friday morning. High pressure developing aloft along with increasing northerly flow will decrease marine layer coverage and bring warmer temperatures and areas of very gusty winds Friday through the weekend. Strongest winds will be in southern Santa Barbara County and the mountains.

.SHORT TERM (THU-SUN)...13/932 PM.

***UPDATE***

Marine layer stratus is slowly filling in across the coast this evening but later than previous nights. The upper low has moved east of the area with rising heights and thicknesses behind it as well as weakening onshore flow, especially to the north. The LAX- SFO gradient is almost 4mb weaker than it was 24 hours ago and northwest winds are picking up across the coastal waters west and north of Pt Conception. All these were well predicted in the models over the last several days so confidence is high that we are moving into a warmer pattern with gusty northerly winds in the usual favored areas. The focus of these winds will be across and below the Santa Ynez Range and where strong sundowners are expected beginning Friday night and continuing through at least early next week. And on Friday night (and to a lesser extent Saturday night) the winds will be accompanied by very warm temperatures and some parts of southern Santa Barbara County will stay well into the 80s all night long. Will likely need wind heat advisories.

Marine layer status will decrease substantially later Friday into Saturday, with low clouds only across coastal LA and possibly Ventura County. Temperatures Saturday will warm several degrees in most areas, making Saturday the warmest day for many areas in quite some time, with the exception of southern Santa Barbara County, not quite warm enough for heat advisories.

***From Previous Discussion***

The upper low will continue to move eastward tonight and Fri, and a weak broad upper ridge will build into the region. The marine layer will likely begin to shrink in depth due to height rises, so expect less inland penetration of the low clouds tonight/Fri morning, with clouds likely below the coastal slopes, and possibly not even pushing into the Santa Clarita Valley. With weakening onshore flow, expect faster clearing in most areas Fri, with the sun probably making an appearance at most beach locations. Rising heights, weakening onshore gradients, and decent warming at 850 and 950 mb should lead to significant warming on Fri across interior areas. Max temps in most valley, mtn and desert locations will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer on Fri than they are today, and some locations, such as in the Salinas Valley, max temps may be 20 degrees or more higher than those today.

N-S gradients will increase sharply late Fri into Fri night, and gusty NW to N winds will reach Wind Advisory levels across the southwestern SBA County coast, the western Santa Ynez Mountains, and thru the I-5 Corridor. Low clouds should be less widespread, especially in the valleys and across SLO/SBA Counties Fri night/Sat morning, and in fact, may be confined to southern and eastern L.A. County. Gusty N winds will keep temps elevated Fri night in the mtns/foothills, especially in SBA County.

N-S gradients will continue to increase across the region Sat.
Expect any low clouds to clear fairly quickly Sat. Falling heights may bring a bit of cooling to interior areas Sat, but strong N-S gradients will likely bring some additional warming to coastal and valley areas. This will be especially true for the south coast of SBA County. Winds will remain gusty from the NW-N across southwestern SBA County and the I-5 Corridor, and will likely increase and become more widespread Sat afternoon, affecting the Central Coast, the interior mtns of SBA County and northern Ventura County, the Antelope Valley and foothills, and some L.A.
County valley locations.

N-S gradients will peak across the region Sat night, with models showing an offshore gradient of over 5 mb between KSBA and KSMX, and increasing offshore gradients between KSBA/KBFL and KLAX/KBFL.
There will also be increasing W-NW flow at 500 mb, strengthening NW winds at 700 mb and N winds at 850 mb. At the same time, cold air advection will spread into the region late Sat, and subsidence will increase. This will bring the potential for NW-N winds to increase to damaging levels across much of southern SBA County including the foothills near the cities of Santa Barbara and Montecito, the northern mtns of VTU County, the I-5 Corridor, and the western Antelope Valley foothills. There is a High Wind Watch from Sat evening thru Sun morning for the potential for wind gusts of 60-70 mph in the more wind prone locations in these areas.

The powerful NW winds across SLO/SBA Counties and the coastal waters will gin up a good eddy circulation across the inner waters late Sat night/Sun. This will set up the age-old battle between the NW flow and the eddy, making for a difficult cloud forecast for Sat night/Sun morning. If the northerly flow wins out, some gusty winds will affect the L.A. County valleys, and clouds will be confined to southern L.A. County. There may also be clouds across southern portions of the Central Coast due to northerly upslope flow against the northern slopes of the Santa Ynez Range.
If the eddy wins, low clouds will push farther north and west, possibly into the valleys of L.A./VTU Counties. Not only will cloud cover be dependent on the outcome of the eddy/NW flow battle, but so will max temps Sun. In general, expect a few degrees of cooling Sun as heights fall, but cooling will be more significant and widespread in areas south of Pt Conception if the eddy becomes the dominant player.

N-S gradients will remain steep across SLO/SBA Counties Sun into Mon morning, so advisory level NW winds are likely in southern SBA County again late Sun afternoon into Sun night.

.LONG TERM (MON-THU)...13/125 PM.

Low clouds should become more widespread south of Pt Conception late Sun night/Mon morning. There should several degrees of cooling in most areas Mon as heights continue to fall.

An upper low will move thru the Pac NW Mon and into the northern Rocky Mountains Tue, with a sharpening trough across CA. The trough axis will be located right across the region Tue, then it will move to the east Wed. N-S gradients will remain offshore across SLO/SBA Counties Mon night, then actually increase Tue night. This should keep gusty N winds late each afternoon/evening across southern SBA County Mon thru Wed.

Expect night thru morning low clouds to remain fairly minimal across SLO and SBA Counties, with clouds in most coastal and valley areas of L.A./VTU Counties. Expect minor changes in max temps Tue with some warming possible Wed and Thu as heights begin to rise.

AVIATION
13/2022Z.

At 2000Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 2000 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 4000 ft with a temperature of 19 C.

High confidence in deserts TAFs, but low to moderate confidence in coastal/valley TAFs. For tonight, high confidence in return of CIG/VSBY restrictions to coastal/valley sites, but only moderate confidence in timing and flight category.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. For tonight, timing of return of CIG/VSBY restrictions could be +/- 2 hours of current forecast with a 40% chance conditions could drop to LIFR levels. No significant easterly wind component is expected.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of return of LIFR conditions could be +/- 2 hours of current 08Z forecast.

MARINE
13/733 PM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will develop late tonight and Friday morning, then will increase to Gale Force levels from Friday afternoon through Monday. Seas will peak in the 12 to 15 foot range this weekend. GALE WARNINGS are in effect from Friday afternoon through Monday, and high-end Gale Force Winds around 45 kt are expected. Additionally, there is a 30% percent chance of Storm Force gusts (48 knots or greater) Friday night through Sunday night.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Through much of Friday morning, winds and seas will remain below SCA levels. SCA-level winds will develop late Friday morning, and then increase to potentially Gale Force Winds (60-80% chance) Saturday morning through the remainder of the weekend. A GALE WATCH is in effect for Saturday afternoon through Sunday night.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. For the western Santa Barbara Channel, SCA-level winds will develop late Friday morning and then increase to potentially Gale Force Winds (60-80% chance) Saturday morning through the remainder of the weekend. A GALE WATCH is in effect for Saturday afternoon through Sunday night. The strongest winds, including high-end Gale Force Winds around 45 kt, are expected in the far western Santa Barbara Channel south of Gaviota. For the rest of the southern Inner Waters, winds will be notably weaker, though there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds Saturday and Sunday.

Across all the coastal waters, steep and dangerous seas can be expected this weekend.

BEACHES
13/738 PM.

There is increasing concern for hazardous beach conditions from Friday afternoon through this weekend and into early next week.
Wind-wave energy from relatively short-period swell, around 10-second wave periods and generated by strong winds over the nearby coastal waters, will impact the beaches starting late Friday. This will bring elevated surf conditions this weekend into early next week.

There is a 30% chance for High Surf conditions for west-facing beaches along the Central Coast, and Ventura and Los Angeles Counties through the weekend, and a 40%-60% chance of High Surf conditions early next week. Locally elevated surf is expected for the Santa Barbara County South Coast beaches as well. Dangerous rip currents will be of concern for all beaches Friday through at least early next week.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Friday afternoon through Sunday evening for zones 87-340-346-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 3 PM Friday to 6 PM PDT Saturday for zones 349>353-377-378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
High Wind Watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for zones 349>353-377-378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 11 AM Friday to 11 AM PDT Saturday for zones 645-650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Watch in effect from Saturday morning through late Sunday night for zones 645-650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 2 AM to 5 PM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 5 PM Friday to 2 PM PDT Monday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi66 minENE 9.9G12 59°F 29.94
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi32 minSW 7.8G9.7 59°F 60°F29.8957°F
46251 44 mi46 min 58°F 62°F5 ft


Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA 17 sm49 minENE 0410 smOvercast59°F55°F88%29.93
KOXR OXNARD,CA 22 sm51 minSSE 039 smOvercast59°F57°F94%29.94
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Wind History graph: SBA
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Rincon Island, California (2)
   
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Rincon Island
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Fri -- 01:18 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:07 AM PDT     3.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:45 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:45 AM PDT     1.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:51 PM PDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rincon Island, California (2), Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.9
2
am
3.1
3
am
3.3
4
am
3.4
5
am
3.4
6
am
3.1
7
am
2.6
8
am
2
9
am
1.6
10
am
1.2
11
am
1.1
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
1.9
2
pm
2.5
3
pm
3.3
4
pm
3.9
5
pm
4.3
6
pm
4.4
7
pm
4.2
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
3.3
10
pm
2.7
11
pm
2.3


Tide / Current for Rincon Island, California
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Rincon Island
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Fri -- 01:18 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:03 AM PDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:45 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:40 AM PDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:50 PM PDT     4.49 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Rincon Island, California, Tide feet
12
am
2.6
1
am
2.8
2
am
3.1
3
am
3.3
4
am
3.4
5
am
3.3
6
am
3
7
am
2.5
8
am
1.9
9
am
1.4
10
am
1.1
11
am
1
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
2.5
3
pm
3.3
4
pm
4
5
pm
4.4
6
pm
4.5
7
pm
4.3
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
3.2
10
pm
2.7
11
pm
2.2


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