|
Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
Version 3.4 |
1/3/2023 Added localized weather radar images. The national image is still available by clicking the heading. Please let me know if you encounter any issues with the new images. 1/7/2023 Added second weather radar images for next closest station. 3/1/2023 Testing new version. |
| Sunrise 6:58AM | Sunset 7:13PM | Wednesday March 22, 2023 2:52 AM PDT (09:52 UTC) | Moonrise 7:43AM | Moonset 8:37PM | Illumination 0% |  |
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 209 Am Pdt Wed Mar 22 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Today..SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 7 to 10 ft at 11 seconds. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 to 10 ft at 12 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt by the afternoon. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 7 to 10 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt, becoming 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..Western portion, nw winds 30 to 40 kt in the evening, becoming 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, nw winds 25 to 35 kt in the evening, becoming 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Combined seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft.
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Today..SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 7 to 10 ft at 11 seconds. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 to 10 ft at 12 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt by the afternoon. Combined seas 7 to 9 ft dominant period 11 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 7 to 10 ft dominant period 10 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt, becoming 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..Western portion, nw winds 30 to 40 kt in the evening, becoming 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Eastern portion, nw winds 25 to 35 kt in the evening, becoming 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Combined seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Combined seas 5 to 7 ft.
PZZ600 209 am pdt Wed mar 22 2023 synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park...at 08z, or 1 am pdt, there was a 996 mb low near bodega bay with a trough of low pressure extending south of the low into the northern coastal waters. Gusty W to nw winds and choppy seas will affect much of the coastal waters over the next several days. Additionally, there is a slight chance of Thunderstorms this morning for the southern coastal waters.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara city, CA
Hourly EDIT Help
location: 34.4, -119.71 debug
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionFXUS66 KLOX 220602 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1102 PM PDT Tue Mar 21 2023
SYNOPSIS. 21/211 PM.
Periods of moderate to heavy rain, thunderstorms, and mountain snow will continue through Wednesday as a strong storm moves over the region. Strong and potentially damaging winds are possible as well. Generally dry and cool conditions are then expected Thursday through Monday.
SHORT TERM (TUE-FRI). 21/844 PM.
***UPDATE***
Very active wx this evening with numerous bands of showers moving thru the fcst area along with an occasional lightning strike. Large cyclonic flow aloft along with decent instability was also bringing favorable conditions for waterspouts over the coastal waters, some of which could move ashore as weak tornadoes. There was a possible tornado in Carpinteria around 545 PM today based on spotter reports, and a possible tornado near Point Mugu around 815 PM this evening based on RADAR (Tornado Warning was issued for this). Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms will continue overnight as the storm system remains nearby.
Peak rainfall rates have been about 0.10 to 0.30 inch per hour, but short term bursts of heavier precipitation have been noted. The showers were moving quickly so hourly rainfall amounts have been held in check for the most part. There are Flood Advisories in effect this evening for central and southern VTU/SBA Counties and additional Flood Advisories may be needed overnight. Some rocks on roadways and some urban and small stream flooding will be the main issues with the Advisories. There is also a Flood Watch in effect for most areas into Wednesday due to the potential for heavier rainfall which could lead to more significant urban and small stream flooding.
Snow levels were falling this evening and were down to about 3500 to 4000 feet for the most part. Snow was falling on Interstate 5 over the Grapevine and there is a chance for some accumulating snow there overnight which may cause travel delays. Otherwise, Winter Storm warnings continue for the SBA/VTU/L.A. County mtns thru Wed evening. There will continue to be moderate to heavy snow at times through the period. Please see the latest Winter Weather Message product (LAXWSWLOX) for further details.
Winds have come down pretty significantly this evening, but were still gusting to around 50 mph in some mtn areas and in a few locations across the Santa Monica mtns. High Wind warnings were in effect until 11 PM for much of SLO/SBA Counties as well as the Antelope vly, but these will likely be cancelled shortly. Elsewhere outside of the mtns, Wind Advisories were in effect, but these may need to be cancelled as well as most wind gusts in these areas were below Advisory levels.
***From Previous Discussion***
Should be a very active night tonight as models show a large area of PVA along with a 120kt jet overhead at 06z. High res models indicate shower and thunderstorm activity becoming more widespread and eventually spreading into LA County. Snow levels have risen to around 6000 feet this afternoon but expecting those to drop quickly tonight back down to 4000 feet or possibly lower. Periods of heavy rain expected tonight with rates around a half inch per hour, though steering flow is 30-40kt from the west so storms won't be lingering too long over any one area unless some training develops.
Additional rain amounts will be somewhat variable as we've transitioned to more of a showery pattern. However, most areas should see at least another half inch and as much as 3 inches in the foothills and mountains and near heavier and more persistent storms. With snow levels lowering back down tonight there's about an 80% chance of 2 inches of snow over the Grapevine tonight and even about a 30% chance of as much as 4 inches. Some of that will melt as it hits the road but there likely will be impacts to travel through the mountains tonight into Wednesday.
Showers to continue into Wednesday as the upper low moves just north of the area. Showers will becoming more scattered but still briefly heavy at times. Air mass isn't quite as unstable but can't rule out a thunderstorm or two in LA County in the morning hours. Snow levels expected to remain around the 4000' level.
By Thursday we should be looking at the start of a dry period that will likely continue through the weekend. One possible exception could be the northern mountain slopes where increasing northwest flow could interact with some lingering moisture to create some light showers with the snow level still around 4000 feet. Wind advisories may be needed for the gusty northwest winds Thursday night from the eastern Santa Barbara mountains to the Grapevine, and possibly even into the Santa Clarita and western San Fernando Valley.
LONG TERM (SAT-TUE). 21/210 PM.
A weak trough will move through the state over the weekend keeping temperatures on the cooler side but no precipitation is expected. Generally clear skies with highs in the low to mid 60s. Weak ridging develops late in the weekend into Monday for some additional warming.
Plenty of uncertainty in the ensembles after Monday as a cold upper low drops out of the Gulf of Alaska. Models have been bouncing back and forth with this, sometimes bringing rain to the area Tuesday and other times keeping it too far offshore. Latest ensembles are split, and there are even a few that have some moderate to heavy rain amounts. Official 6 hour pops are in the 20-30 percent range, but chances for rain at some point between Monday and Wednesday are closer to 60-70%.
AVIATION. 22/0600Z.
At 0455Z at KLAX, there was a deep moist layer at KLAX.
Overall, low confidence in TAFs. Showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms will continue across all sites through 12Z, with the shower threat continuing into Wednesday afternoon. CIGs will likely vary between VFR and MVFR levels with VSBYs varying between VFR and IFR levels. However, timing of flight category changes will be low through the TAF period.
KLAX . Low confidence in TAF. CIGs will vary frequently between VFR and MVFR levels with scattered showers through the TAF period. Brief periods of IFR Vis will occur under heavier showers. Confidence is low in timing of any flight category changes. There is a 10 percent chc of TSTMs through 12Z with gusty winds, brief heavy rain and small hail. There is a 25% chance of a 6 kt east wind component 12Z-16Z.
KBUR . Low confidence in TAF. CIGs will vary frequently between VFR and MVFR levels with scattered showers through the TAF period. Brief periods of IFR Vis will occur under heavier showers. Confidence is low in timing of any flight category changes. There is a 10 percent chc of TSTMs through 12Z with gusty winds, brief heavy rain and small hail.
MARINE. 21/807 PM.
For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Tonight through Thursday, high confidence in combination of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds and seas. For Thursday night through Sunday, high confidence in combination of SCA level winds and seas with a 50-60% chance of Gale force winds.
For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Tonight through Thursday, high confidence in combination of SCA level winds and seas. For Thursday night through Friday night, high confidence in SCA level winds continuing with a 50-60% chance of Gale force winds. For Saturday, high confidence in SCA level winds and seas continuing. On Sunday, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds.
For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Tonight through Thursday, high confidence in SCA level winds with seas hovering near SCA levels. For Thursday night through Friday night, high confidence in SCA level winds with a 50-60% chance of Gale force winds. On Saturday, high confidence in SCA level winds. On Sunday, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level winds.
BEACHES. 21/224 PM.
A powerful storm will move into the coastal waters today into Wednesday, resulting in high surf and strong rip currents from late tonight into Thursday morning. Surf will range from 5-10 feet south of Point Conception, and 8-13 feet along the Central Coast. Surf will be highest across west and southwest- facing beaches.
The combination of high surf and above normal tides will bring the risk of minor coastal flooding to low-lying beach locations this morning into Wednesday night. There is also the potential for localized minor coastal flooding this morning through Wednesday evening across the San Luis Obispo Coast (especially near Pismo Beach and Oceano), and Wednesday morning through Thursday evening for the Ventura County beaches as a fetch of southwest onshore winds will couple with increasing surf and high tides.
There is a chance of another round of high surf over the weekend for the Central Coast Beaches.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CA . Flood Watch in effect through Wednesday afternoon for zones 38-88-340>352-354>358-362-366>376-378>380. (See LAXFFALOX). Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until 11 PM PDT Wednesday for zones 340-346. (See LAXCFWLOX). High Surf Advisory in effect until 2 AM PDT Thursday for zones 340-346-349-350. (See LAXCFWLOX). Winter Storm Warning in effect until 11 PM PDT Wednesday for zones 353-376>380. (See LAXWSWLOX). High Surf Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT Thursday for zone 354. (See LAXCFWLOX). Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 5 AM Wednesday to 11 PM PDT Thursday for zone 354. (See LAXCFWLOX). High Surf Advisory in effect until 5 AM PDT Thursday for zones 362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ . Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 AM PDT Wednesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Wednesday for zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX). Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Friday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC . MW/Sirard AVIATION . Rorke MARINE . RAT BEACHES . Sweet/Lund SYNOPSIS . MW
weather.gov/losangeles
Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 | 1 mi | 76 min | NNW 1.9G | 48°F | 29.84 | |||
| 46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA | 13 mi | 32 min | WSW 14G | 53°F | 54°F | 6 ft | 29.83 | |
| 46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA | 41 mi | 32 min | WSW 14G | 54°F | 55°F | 10 ft | 29.81 | |
| 46251 | 44 mi | 176 min | 56°F | 11 ft |
Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off) Help| 3 am | 4 am | 5 am | 6 am | 7 am | 8 am | 9 am | 10 am | 11 am | 12 pm | 1 pm | 2 pm | 3 pm | 4 pm | 5 pm | 6 pm | 7 pm | 8 pm | 9 pm | 10 pm | 11 pm | 12 am | 1 am | 2 am | |
| Last 24 hr | S | S | E G | E G | E G | E G | E G | S G | S G | S G | S G | S | S G | S G | S | W G | -- | N | E | N | N | N | N | E |
| 1 day ago | W G | W | W G | W G | S G | W | S | S | S | S | S G | S | S | S | S | S G | S G | S G | S | S | S | S | E G | S G |
| 2 days ago | N G | S G | S | N G | S G | S G | S G | N | S G | S G | S G | S G | S G | N | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | W |
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA | 7 sm | 59 min | NW 06 | 3 sm | Overcast | Rain | 50°F | 43°F | 76% | 29.83 |
| KIZA SANTA YNEZ,CA | 24 sm | 17 min | E 07 | 5 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain Mist | 45°F | 45°F | 100% | 29.83 |
Link to 5 minute data for KSBA
Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
| 3 am | 4 am | 5 am | 6 am | 7 am | 8 am | 9 am | 10 am | 11 am | 12 pm | 1 pm | 2 pm | 3 pm | 4 pm | 5 pm | 6 pm | 7 pm | 8 pm | 9 pm | 10 pm | 11 pm | 12 am | 1 am | 2 am | |
| Last 24 hr | S | E | E G | E G | E G | E G | S G | S G | W G | S | S G | S G | S G | S | S | W | N | E | W | N | N | 0 | N | N |
| 1 day ago | 0 | W | S | W | 0 | 0 | W | W | S | W | S | S | S | W | W | W | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | S | S | |
| 2 days ago | N | 0 | N | S G | E | E | E | S | S | E | E | S G | S | E | S | E | N | S | 0 | 0 | 0 | S | W | W |
Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help One Week of DataTide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California, Tide feet
Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
EDIT (on/off) Help One Week of DataTide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California, Tide feet
Weather Map
(on/off) Help Weather Map
GEOS Local Image of Southwest EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: GEOS-West Contential US Full GOES-East
