Wednesday, July17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Santa Barbara, CA

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:12PM Wednesday July 17, 2019 2:25 AM PDT (09:25 UTC) Moonrise 9:04PMMoonset 6:36AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 813 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 16 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday...
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Strongest western portion. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 7 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 6 seconds.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 6 seconds.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 813 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 16 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 03z, or 8 pm pdt, a 1028 mb high was 1000 nm west of san francisco and a 998 mb thermal low was near las vegas. Gusty nw winds will continue over the outer waters through Wed evening along with short period seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Santa Barbara, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 170608
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1108 pm pdt Tue jul 16 2019

Synopsis 16 746 pm.

Strong and gusty winds will affect southern santa barbara county
and the interstate 5 corridor tonight. Temperatures will gradually
cool to below normal in many location by Sunday then will warm
again next week. Overnight and morning low clouds will be
widespread in coastal and adjacent valleys by midweek.

Short term (tue-fri) 16 801 pm.

***update***
strong northwest to north winds are affecting southern santa
barbara county this evening, mainly near and west of refugio, and
are expected to continue through late tonight. After 4 am
Wednesday, the winds will diminish some, with peak gusts near 30
mph through around 8 am. After that winds will diminish more
significantly over sba county. Meanwhile the moderate to strong nw
winds over the outer coastal waters have helped to spin up a
catalina eddy along the southern l.A. Coast. This combined with a
weak trough over the west coast will push a low cloud deck inland
over the l.A. And ventura coastal basins, the san gabriel valley,
and possibly the san fernando valley. Portions of the ventura
valleys closest to the coast will also see low clouds and patchy
fog. Along the central coast, low clouds are expected to move
inland overnight and into the santa ynez valley.

The coastal trough and increasing onshore flow will cause all
areas to trend cooler through the next few days. In addition,
gusty onshore southwest winds will affect interior passes and
canyons, strongest through the highway 14 corridor and the
antelope valley. Gusts to 40 mph or stronger will be likely in
this area each afternoon to overnight period through the next few
days, and possibly through the weekend.

Low clouds will push well inland starting tomorrow night, across
all of the valleys toward the western mountain slopes. This
pattern is likely to continue through late in the week, into
early this weekend. Temperatures are expected to fall to near
normal tomorrow and slightly below normal Thu fri.

Long term (sat-tue) 16 144 pm.

The west coast trough starts to weaken late Friday allowing the
high pressure ridge over the southern half of the country to
expand west again over the weekend into early next week. Daytime
highs will begin a slow climb Saturday then really kick in Mon tue
as both the GFS and ECMWF show a strong upper ridge developing
near the four corners as well as onshore flow weakening. Mos
guidance numbers seem low given the upper and surface patterns
but the agreement in the models and their ensembles on the
strength and position of the ridge gives more confidence that
we're heading into another warmup next week. While current
forecast temps Tuesday are about 5 degrees above MOS guidance
numbers they are at the upper end of the ensemble range and still
might be too low if the pattern evolves as models are showing
today.

This pattern will open the door for monsoon moisture to move up
from mexico but as of now no big sources have been identified by
the models and for the most part our area remains pretty dry aloft
while southeast california likely will see an increase in
afternoon convection.

Aviation 17 0606z.

At 0550z at klax, the marine layer depth was 1000 feet. The top
of the inversion was near 2900 feet with a temperature of 24 c.

High confidence in kprb, kpmd and kwjf tafs.

Low confidence in ksba TAF where there is a 40 percent chc of ifr
cigs 11z-18z.

Low confidence in ksbp TAF where there is a 40 percent chc of no
cigs.

Moderate confidence in remaining tafs. Arrival timing may be off
by 2 hours.VFR transition should occur within an hour of fcst.

There is a 30 percent chc of MVFR CIGS after 11z.

Klax... Moderate confidence in taf. Low clouds could arrive as
early as 07z. There is a 30 percent chc of MVFR CIGS after 11z.

Vfr transition is likely between 19z and 21z. There is a 30
percent chc of an 8kt east wind component 11z-16z.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in taf. Low clouds could arrive as
early as 09z. There is a 30 percent chc of MVFR CIGS after 11z.

Vfr transition is likely between 17z and 1830z.

Marine 16 706 pm.

For the outer waters, moderate confidence in current forecast.

Strong small craft advisory (sca) level winds will continue
through late tonight, and then will gradually diminish through
Wednesday evening. Local gusts to 35 knots are likely through
tonight. The winds will weaken Thursday into Friday, but increase
back to near-sca levels Friday evening and into the weekend.

For the inner waters north of point sal, high confidence in
current forecast. SCA level winds will subside by late this evening.

For Wednesday through Sunday, winds and seas are expected to
remain below SCA levels.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Across the western half of the
santa barbara channel, there is a 30% chance of SCA level winds
through tonight. Otherwise, high confidence in winds and seas
remaining below SCA levels through Sunday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Wind advisory in effect until 4 am pdt Wednesday for zones
39-52. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Wednesday for
zones 645-650. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 pm pdt Wednesday for
zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw smith
aviation... Rorke
marine... Smith
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 2 mi49 min ENE 9.9 G 12 64°F 1010.7 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 12 mi35 min NE 5.8 G 7.8 60°F 59°F4 ft1010.6 hPa
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 41 mi45 min 7 ft
46251 45 mi55 min 65°F5 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA6 mi32 minN 09.00 miFair61°F57°F90%1010.1 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA24 mi50 minN 07.00 mi54°F51°F94%1012.5 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSE3SW5S6SE6SE6S7SE8SE8SE8S8SE5SE5E5SE5SE4SE3NE4Calm
1 day agoSE6CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmS3SE5SE74S4SE8SE7SE6SE8SE9SE7S7SE5SE4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS3CalmCalmSE3S3CalmCalmS3SW4SW6W9W9W13W10W7SW5SE4SE4E4SE4SE4SE5E6SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.