Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harkers Island, NC

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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC

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FXUS62 KMHX 271509 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1009 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cooler and drier weather as high pressure builds over the area through the weekend, then a warming trends begins early next week. The next cold front looks to move through around the mid week period next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 1010 AM Thurs . Little change to the previous forecast. High pressure over the northwest Gulf Coast is slowly ridging into the Carolinas from the southwest with clear skies and gusty winds. With ideal downsloping conditions did lower forecast Tds a couple degrees.

Prev disc . The latest analysis is showing the cold front well offshore with high pressure building in from the southwest and a departing low pressure system in the New England region. Today will be a chilly and breezy day with downsloping effect occurring behind the cold front. Though it will be sunny, expect temps to reach into the low 50s with gusty W up to 30 mph inland and higher along the Outer Banks

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 230 AM Thurs . The wind finally relax, but cold air advection continues to filter into the region. Temps will drop into the upper 20s to low 30s inland and mid/upper 30s along the Outer Banks, under clear skies.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 AM Thu . High pressure will bring cooler and drier air late week into the weekend. A return to warm conditions by early next week with continued dry weather. Next cold front may move through around mid week.

Friday through Sunday . A broad upper level trough will persist across the eastern United States for the end of the week into the weekend as surface high pressure builds in from the north and west. This will lead to a period of slightly below normal temperatures and mostly dry weather. Reinforcing cold fronts will push through this weekend. Very little moisture with the fronts and associated shortwave energy, so will leave a dry fcst. Highs Fri and Sat in the low/mid 50s, then moderating to the mid/upr 50s by Sun. Overnight lows in the upper 20s to low 30s inland and mid/upr 30s along the coast.

Monday and Tuesday . Return to above climo as ridging returns to the Eastern CONUS. Attm it appears dry weather will persist as large sfc high pres will be set up along the east coast into the wrn Atlantic basin. Highs reach into the 60s to near 70 Mon, and into the 70s inland to 60s coast on Tue. Mild overnight lows in the mid/upr 30s Mon night and around 50 Tue night.

Wednesday . Full latitude trough will sweep across the mid CONUS by mid week, pushing a cold front towards E NC, when we will finally see the next chc of showers. Have introduced chc pops attm. It will continue very warm, with highs in the 70s and lows in the mid/upr 50s, some 10-20 degrees above climo.

AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Thursday/ . As of 700 AM Thurs . High confidence in VFR conditions as high pressure is building in from the southwest. A drier and cooler airmass will dominated the region leading sunny skies today, but with gusty W winds between 20-25 knots through late afternoon/early evening, then becoming around 5-10 knots.

Long Term /Thu night through Mon/ . As of 315 AM Thu . Dry weather and mainly SKC to prevail into early next week as sprawling high pres will dominate the region.

MARINE. Short Term /through Thursday/ . As of 700 AM Thurs . The latest buoy observations are showing gusty WNW 25-33 knots and seas 3-5 ft north of Oregon Inlet and 6-8 ft south. SCA remains in effect for all the waters and rivers, except for Alligator River, where occasional gusts to 25 kt are possible today due to CAA westerly flow mixing to the surface across larger bodies of water through the day. Seas are peaking now with the highest over the central waters. Seas will slowly subside mostly to 4-6 ft with 7 footer along the central waters late today. Tonight, WNW winds 15-25 kts continues as seas subside further to 3-6 ft.

Long Term /Fri through Tue/ . As of 315 AM Thu . High pressure slowly builds in from the W into early next week, keeping mainly west to northwest flow in place as several reinforcing shots of CAA bring marginal periods of SCA conditions through the weekend. Swrly flow will increase on Tue as gradient tighten, bringing 20-30 kt winds and seas above 6 ft, which will last through mid week as a strong cold front approaches the area.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ136- 137-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Friday for AMZ135-156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . BM/MS SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . TL/BM MARINE . TL/BM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC	16 mi	77 min	WNW 21 G 25	48°F			1012.8 hPa (+2.7)	41°F
41159	22 mi	47 min			62°F	6 ft
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC	22 mi	47 min	NW 8.9 G 18	47°F	54°F		1013.2 hPa
41064	23 mi	69 min	NW 23 G 31	50°F	62°F		1013 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	49 mi	69 min	NW 19 G 27		59°F		1012.5 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC

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SE13 G17

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC	23 mi	79 min	WNW 19 G 25	10.00 mi	Fair and Breezy	49°F	34°F	56%	1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRH

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout Bight, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout (ocean), North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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