Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 7:44 PM Moonrise 12:06 PM   Moonset 2:06 AM

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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1035 Pm Edt Mon Apr 15 2024
Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sat night - S winds 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.

AMZ200 1035 Pm Edt Mon Apr 15 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure offshore in the atlantic waters over the next several days, will produce an extended period of generally southwesterly wind.

FXUS62 KILM 160534 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 134 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will lead to unseasonably warm and quiet weather through midweek. A series of weak disturbances bring only a slight chance of showers towards later in the week. Rain chances may start to increase later in the weekend, with temperatures gradually starting to fall.

UPDATE
Warm night underway with lows in the low 60s. 6z aviation forecast discussion below.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
Other than the notable warmth quiet weather is expected through the period. Temperatures this afternoon have been running some 10 degrees above normal and very similar values are in the offering tomorrow. This is in response to surface high pressure off the coast and mid level ridging just to our west. The former providing the warmth in the low levels while the latter keeps the column extremely dry. For the same reasons tonight's lows will have similarly warm deviations from climatology.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Quiet forecast continues, with the offshore high pressure and Gulf ridging maintaining an influence on the area. Biggest thing to note is an increase in cloud cover this period, due to a weak cold front approaching from the west. Low levels still appear to be dry enough so as to not produce much rain. A couple sprinkles are possible Wednesday night at best. Highs Wednesday in the low-to-mid 80s inland, upper 70s at the coast. Lows each night in the low-to-mid 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Weak cold front moves through the area Thursday and Thursday night, which still appears to bring more cloud cover than rain chances. This front stalls offshore, before getting pushed back northward by Saturday as a warm front, which may actually bring some better rain chances to the area. By Sunday, a slightly stronger cold front moves through the area, bringing the best chances we've seen all week. High pressure looks to take over by the start of next week.

Widespread 80s Thursday and Friday, with a few spots possibly hitting 90. Mid 80s Saturday, before clouds and rain knock down the highs into the mid 70s. Highs next Monday only in the upper 60s. Lows in the lower 60s Thursday through Saturday nights.
Lows in the lower 50s Sunday night.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR with few to scattered high clouds through morning and again tonight. A weak front drops into the area, cross southeast NC, this morning, with light southwest winds south of the front and more variable winds along the front. With inland temps forecasted to push 90F again, sea breeze will kick in midday around 10-15 kts. A stray shower or thunderstorm may impact northern parts of the forecast area this afternoon and evening, but chances are low that they will move across ILM or LBT. Front lifts back north tonight, with potential for fog across Cape Fear region at the end of TAF period into Wednesday morning (ILM).

Extended Outlook...VFR is expected through the period.

MARINE
Through Tuesday...First day of wave detail being in the CWF! High pressure centered well offshore but with a ridge axis extending west into the Carolinas. This will keep the southerly component dominant, though a drifting of the ridge axis can lead to changes from SW to SE. Wind waves out of the south will combine with a SE swell coming around the western periphery of the high.

Tuesday Night through Saturday...Southwesterly winds at 10-15kts linger through Thursday, with 2-3ft seas expected. A weak cold front moves through Thursday night before stalling over the area Friday, which initially creates more westerly winds, but then the direction varies throughout the day Friday. Southerly winds lock in by late Friday night through Saturday. Seas remain at 2-3ft.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina, Tide feet

New Topsail Inlet
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Mon -- 01:44 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:52 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:05 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:10 PM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:14 PM EDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:51 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
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New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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