Thursday, July18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:15PM Thursday July 18, 2019 2:26 PM PDT (21:26 UTC) Moonrise 8:44PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 209 Pm Pdt Thu Jul 18 2019
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 8 seconds.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 209 Pm Pdt Thu Jul 18 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 20z, or 1 pm pdt, a 1030 mb high was located around 1000 nm W of san francisco, with a 1000 mb low from las vegas to yuma az.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 182030
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
130 pm pdt Thu jul 18 2019

Synopsis 18 846 am.

Night through morning low clouds and fog will affect the coast
and adjacent valleys through Saturday, with a decrease in cloud
cover in the valleys Sunday through Wednesday. Otherwise, mostly
clear skies can be expected during the period. Cooler-than-normal
temperatures can be expected through Sunday, then warm to slightly
above normal Monday through Wednesday.

Short term (tdy-sun) 18 115 pm.

Minimal changes in the weather Fri Sat as high pressure aloft
remains to the east and a weak trough continues along the west
coast. Marine layer depth will hover around the 2000' level at
least through Saturday and linger near the beaches into the
afternoon. The ridge will begin to expand west later Sat into sun
and that will start a slow warming trend into early next week.

Highs Sunday will still be a couple degrees below normal across
inland areas but near normal for the coast. We may start to see
some increasing high clouds from some moisture moving up from the
southeast but still too dry at lower levels to get any convection.

Long term (mon-thu) 18 129 pm.

High pressure will strengthen near the 4 corners through the
middle of next week continuing the warming trend from the weekend.

Models also still advertising weakening onshore flow by Tuesday
that will provide an additional warming influence so all areas
should see a significant boost in temps, though more so across
inland areas than the coast as the marine layer will likely still
be present. MOS guidance from the deterministic runs still
showing highs 3-5 degrees cooler than the last heat event and this
one, while maybe not quite as warm as that, should at least be a
close second given the similar pattern. Ensemble MOS means are
similar to the deterministics but several members are supporting
the higher temps and the forecast follows that lead. The one
caveat is the monsoon. Last couple runs have kept most of the
lower level moisture to the east but if that surge shifts west
that could lead to slightly lower temps, though higher humidities.

Have left in small pops for possible convection across eastern la
county Wed Thu though a vast majority of the ensemble solutions
still keep the precip east of the area.

Aviation 18 2010z.

At 1731z at klax... The marine layer depth was 2000 feet. The top
of the inversion was around 2500 feet with a temperature of about
20 degrees celsius.

A similar depth in the marine layer today has been slower to
clear along some coastal locations, mainly from morro bay down to
malibu. Ksmx and ksba have been slow to clear this afternoon.

Elsewhere, the marine clouds have already cleared out.

For tonight, the marine layer depth will range from around 1200
feet on the central coast to 2200 feet near klax. The marine
clouds will push into all coastal and valley locations tonight
with ifr conditions on the central coast to MVFR conditions in
coastal sections south of point conception and la valleys.

As onshore flow increases, the antelope valley TAF sites will
experience gusty afternoon winds each day.

Klax... Moderate confidence in the 18z taf. There is a 30 percent
chance of the marine clouds arriving more than 2 hours from the
forecasted time.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in the 18z taf. There is a 30 percent
chance of the marine clouds arriving more than 2 hours from the
forecasted time.

Marine 18 110 pm.

For the outer waters... Expect winds will remain below SCA levels
through the period, although near-sca conditions (10 to 20 kt)
are expected Friday and Saturday nights.

For the all of the inner waters, conditions will remain below
advisory levels through at least Monday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (sun-thu)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw
aviation... Sweet
marine... Sweet
synopsis... Sirard
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi47 min 4 ft
HRVC1 24 mi57 min 60°F 1015.5 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi87 min S 7 G 8.9 58°F 1015 hPa (-0.3)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi37 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 60°F 61°F2 ft1015.5 hPa
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi51 min SSW 8.9 G 9.9 64°F 1015.2 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi57 min 58°F5 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi52 minWSW 11 G 1410.00 mi81°F59°F48%1013.9 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi31 minWNW 810.00 miFair72°F60°F66%1014.5 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi34 minVar 57.00 miFair70°F60°F71%1014.8 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12
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W12W11W9W8SW6SW4SW3CalmSW3CalmSW4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5SW6W9W8SW9
1 day agoW10W10W8W10W8SW5SW4SW3SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW4SW6W4W4W8W10
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W15W12W11W13W9SW4SW5SW3CalmCalmSW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmW6W7W9W8

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Thu -- 05:58 AM PDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:33 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:34 PM PDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:10 PM PDT     2.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:43 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:19 PM PDT     5.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.44.53.21.80.6-0.2-0.4-0.20.61.52.53.33.83.83.532.62.32.52.93.74.55.25.6

Tide / Current Tables for Point Arguello, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.