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Marine Weather and Tides Holly Ridge, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:00AM

Sunset 4:59PM

Thursday December 5, 2019 4:41 PM EST (21:41 UTC)

Moonrise 1:34PM

Moonset 12:36AM

Illumination 65%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Ridge, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 052044 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 344 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

SYNOPSIS. Warmer weather on Friday will be followed by clouds and chance of rain Friday night as a cold front moves through. Cool and dry high pressure will build down from the north on Saturday with a wedge developing by Sunday. Unsettled but warm weather will come Sun night through early next week as a warm front lifts north. A cold front will move through by Wednesday bringing colder weather for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. The main focus for the near term now shifts to the system currently moving across the Four Corners Region. Really no changes with the forecast or the way this system evolves over our area. As the dampening shortwave moves across a Coastal Trough will be developing as high pressure moves offshore. There seems to be a little enhancement to the trough by the weakening mid level system but most of the heavier activity seems to remain offshore. Long story short, low chance pops are in place west to east but higher values will occur late east and mainly offshore. All of this occurs Friday night into the morning Saturday. As for tonight and Friday very quiet with lows in the middle 30s and highs Friday a bit higher than today's values with middle 60s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. High pressure will build in behind exiting cold front on Saturday. Any lingering clouds will clear out leaving plenty of sunshine with cooler and drier air mass building in. Northerly winds will increase, especially along the coast as wedge and coastal trough produce a tightened gradient late Sat into Sunday. With cool shallow air locked in and warm moist southerly flow developing, expect low clouds to develop across area into Sunday. Should see increasing chc of pcp mainly associated with coastal trough just off shore and increasing lift along the coast by later on Sunday into Sun night coastal trough/warm front pushes inland and north eroding wedge. Temps will remain on the cool side in northerly flow through the weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Increasing deep S-SW return flow develops on Mon with plenty of warm and moist air flowing into the Carolinas. As warm front and best lift moves well north, should see a break in pcp and may see some breaks in clouds later on Mon into early Tues. Can not rule out a shwr, but looks like best lift and support aloft will reach the area from the west Tues aftn into Tues night. Temps should warm considerably Mon and Tues, especially in places with breaks in clouds.

Cold high pressure will build in behind front on Wed. Max temps should hold in the 50s both Wed and Thurs. GFS pushes front well to south as a gulf coast system develops into Thurs. This would allow area to clear out Wed into Thurs with more in the way of sunshine. ECMWF is much faster and more aggressive with this southern stream system which would keep more unsettled weather through mid week with greater chc of clouds and pcp.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Clear skies with a few cirrus passing overhead and VFR throughout the period. Winds will be out of the northwest during the day and become calm overnight. A few gusts are possible this afternoon, mainly along the coast. Very low chance for fog/stratus overnight.

Extended Outlook . Mostly VFR. TEMPO MVFR conditions possible, associated with a cold front, late Fri and again Sun into Mon.

MARINE. Very light wind fields expected across the waters through the near term period. Wind speeds will be ten knots or less. Wind direction however will be quite changeable. The current northwest flow will swing around to east, southeast by Friday afternoon and by early Saturday a northerly component will have returned with the passage of a cold front. Significant seas will be mostly in a tight range of 1-2 feet.

High pressure will build in from the north on Saturday with coastal trough developing into Sunday. Will see increasing NE flow in tightening gradient late Sat into Sun. Seas will rise up to 3 to 5 ft with possible SCA conditions, especially for the outer waters and north of Cape Fear. As coastal trough/warm front lifts north Sun night into Mon, deep southerly return flow will develop and should increase late Tues into Wed as a cold front approaches from the west. SCA thresholds should be met for portions of early to mid week in increasing southerly flow. The cold front will move through Tues night into Wed with veering winds to the W-NW as cold high pressure builds in.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ILM NEAR TERM . SHK SHORT TERM . RGZ LONG TERM . RGZ AVIATION . 21 MARINE . RGZ/SHK

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	21 mi	59 min	W 5.1 G 8.9	60°F	57°F		1017.8 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	25 mi	93 min	NW 9.7 G 16	58°F	58°F		1017.7 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	25 mi	61 min			58°F	1 ft
WLON7	26 mi	59 min		63°F	54°F		1018.4 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	37 mi	93 min	NW 12 G 18	58°F	65°F		1017.8 hPa
41064	40 mi	93 min	NNW 12 G 18	57°F	66°F		1017.7 hPa
41159	40 mi	41 min			66°F	3 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
MCAS New River, NC	17 mi	45 min	NW 9	10.00 mi	Fair	57°F	23°F	27%	1018.7 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC	22 mi	48 min	NW 6	10.00 mi	Fair	60°F	23°F	24%	1018.8 hPa
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC	23 mi	1.8 hrs	W 7	10.00 mi	Fair	57°F	26°F	30%	1018.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNCA

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)

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W12 G17

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Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (16,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC

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